ASX shares are ‘vulnerable to further falls’: expert
Investors may still be in for a bumpy ride yet as a leading Australian economist forecasts that more volatility in global markets is likely over the coming months
3 min
Investors are nervous and “sensitive to weaker economic data”, with more volatility likely ahead for the Australian share market despite its stabilisation in recent days, says AMP chief economist Dr Shane Oliver. A dramatic global sell-off at the start of the month saw the ASX 200 plunge 465 points or 5.73 percent over two trading sessions, with other share markets around the world also tumbling.
A weak jobs report and manufacturing report out of the United States sparked the sell-off due to fears the world’s biggest economy may be slowing faster than thought and a recession may be imminent. Major ASX 200 companies were caught up in the sell-off, with shares in our biggest technology company, Wisetech, falling 12.58 percent over the two days. ASX 200 bank shares were also hit hard, with NAB shares dropping 8.52 percent and CBA shares shedding 8.35 percent.
Other major fallers included the ASX 200’s largest property stock, Goodman Group, with its share price diving 11.86 percent over the two days. Shares in the market’s biggest retail stock, Wesfarmers, fell by 6.19 percent, and the ASX 200’s biggest energy company, Woodside, lost 5.5 percent. Shares in the ASX 200’s biggest mining company, BHP, slipped 3.25 percent.
Another contributor to the global sell-off was the winding back of the Japanese yen ‘carry trade’. A carry trade is where global investors borrow money in a low-rate currency and invest in other currencies and assets, such as bonds and shares, that offer a higher rate of return. Japan had zero or negative interest rates for almost 14 years before the Bank of Japan raised rates in March to a range of 0–0.1 percent and again last month to 0.25 percent. This prompted investors to begin selling their investments, which are spread across share markets all over the world, to reduce or end their carry trades.
The threat of a recession in the US was somewhat quelled last week when the latest US initial jobless claims report showed the number of workers claiming welfare was lower than expected. Comments from the Bank of Japan’s deputy governor indicating the bank would not raise rates further while markets are unstable also calmed investors’ nerves. As a result, some losses were clawed back. The ASX 200 finished 2.08 percent lower last week, with Japanese shares down 2.5 percent and US shares down 0.04 percent.
Dr Oliver said ASX shares could rebound a little more but they remain “vulnerable to further falls over the next few months”. Dr Oliver said this was due to stretched valuations and a “very high” risk of recession both in Australia and the US. He said there were indications of deteriorating employment in both economies and share markets had not priced this into company valuations.
Dr Oliver added: “… geopolitical risk is high particularly around the US election and the Middle East with a high risk of escalation between Iran and Israel after the assassination of [a] Hamas’ leader in Iran; and we have only just started in the seasonally weak period of August and September which can sometimes extend into October/November in US election years”.
Dr Oliver said the Reserve Bank was “surprisingly hawkish” last week, with Governor Michele Bullock saying the board considered a rate rise at its meeting before deciding to keep rates on hold. She also said a rate cut was unlikely over the next six months. The RBA has also pushed out its expectations on the timing for a return of inflation to its target middle of the 2-3 percent band by six months.
“This hawkishness was a bit surprising given that in the last few months economic growth came in weaker than expected and inflation was broadly in line with RBA forecasts, the RBA’s near-term wage growth forecasts have been revised down and uncertainty regarding growth in China and the US has increased,” Dr Oliver said.
The 1860s Darlinghurst mansion Stoneleigh could become Sydney’s most expensive home ever sold under the hammer when it goes to auction. Clint Ballard is giving buyers a $28 million guide for the heritage-listed mansion on Darley Street, opposite Iona, the former home of Hollywood royalty Baz Luhrmann. Stoneleigh is being offered for sale for the …
Set on one of the city’s last absolute riverfront sites, The Riversdale by Mosaic combines irreplaceable waterfront ownership with one of Brisbane’s most significant residential opportunities.
The voices reshaping how Australians think about money — and why credibility matters more than reach.
6 min
The best financial advice many Australians are receiving right now is not coming from licensed advisers charging by the hour. It is coming through a phone screen, in the ten minutes between work and dinner, from creators who have built credibility the hard way: by being right, being transparent, and being specific in a space where vagueness has always been the easy default.
This is not a ranking by follower count. Follower count is a measure of distribution, not of quality. What follows is a ranking by substance — credentials, accuracy, community depth, and the quality of what an audience actually learns from following these accounts. The distinction matters, because the Australians acting on this content are making real financial decisions with real money.
1- Queenie Tan – Corporate Authorised Representative; Co-Founder & Director, Invest With Queenie & Billroo
There are finance influencers who talk about building wealth, and there are those who document it in real time with receipts. Queenie Tan belongs firmly in the second category. Starting from a $400-per-week income, Tan built her net worth past $1 million while publishing the actual numbers — income, savings rate, investment decisions — for an audience of more than 400,000 across platforms.
She is a Corporate Authorised Representative, co-founder of the personal finance app Billroo, and the author of a book that has become a practical reference for young Australians navigating ETFs, superannuation and property. What separates her from the crowded field of money educators is precision: she does not talk in principles when she can talk in percentages.
2- Alan Kohler – Editor-in-Chief, Eureka Report; Editor-in-Chief, InvestSMART Group; ABC News finance presenter, host of Inside Business.
If Queenie Tan represents the new wave of personal finance creators, Alan Kohler represents something the new wave will spend decades trying to build: institutional credibility that has survived multiple economic cycles. As Editor-in-Chief of the Eureka Report and InvestSMART Group, and a decades-long presence on ABC News, Kohler has spent more than thirty years making financial analysis accessible without dumbing it down.
His coverage of RBA decisions, market movements and economic policy is cited by podcasters, journalists and fund managers alike. He is not chasing virality. He does not need to.
3- Aleks Nikolic – Corporate lawyer; host, Big Swinging Stocks podcast
Most finance creators address the mechanics of money. Aleks Nikolic addresses the psychology — and that distinction explains why her following is as loyal as it is. Operating as Broke Girl Wealth across Instagram, TikTok and YouTube, Nikolic covers ETFs, crypto and investment strategy, but her real differentiator is a willingness to discuss the emotional architecture of financial decision-making.
Shame around debt. Fear around market volatility. The limiting beliefs that stop people acting on what they already know. In a space where confidence is routinely performed, her candour is a genuine competitive advantage.
4- Bryce Leske & Alec Renehan – Equity Mates Media
Equity Mates did not build a following. They built a media company. What began as a podcast by two friends learning to invest has grown into Australia’s most established investing media brand, covering ASX stocks, ETFs, global markets and fund manager interviews across podcast, social and YouTube.
The longevity is the credential. Equity Mates has operated through multiple market cycles, a global pandemic, and a generational shift in how Australians engage with investing — and its audience has grown through all of it. When the hosts speak, their listeners know they have been paying attention for years.
5- The Lazy CEO – CEO & Founder, Showpo; Shark Tank Australia investor
The metric that matters most on social media is not followers — it is engagement, because engagement signals trust. Jane Lu, known as The Lazy CEO, maintains an engagement rate of approximately 1.15 per cent on Instagram, which is exceptional for a finance account of his size. Her 242,000-plus followers are not passive consumers: they ask questions, share experiences and apply what they read.
Her content focuses on business finance and wealth building, and the active comment sections are the clearest possible evidence that her audience does not merely scroll past.
6- Tash Invests – Founder, Tash Lends; Forbes Australia 30 Under 30
Tash Invests built her following on a premise that sounds simple but is rarer in practice than it should be: she publishes the actual numbers. Not approximations or ranges or anonymised case studies — her salary, her savings rate, her portfolio value, her net worth, updated and on the record.
Having bought her first property at twenty-two and grown her documented net worth past $1 million, she has become the primary reference point for young Australians trying to understand what building wealth on a moderate income genuinely looks like. The specificity is the product.
7- David Scutt – APAC Market Analyst at StoneX Group
The authority of most finance social media content rests on research and reading. David Scutt‘s authority rests on having done the job. A former Treasury Dealer at Arab Bank and the Commonwealth Bank, former ASX Business Supervisor, and former Global Markets Editor at Business Insider Australia and anchor at ausbiz TV, Scutt now brings that direct market experience to his role as APAC Market Analyst at StoneX Group, rather than relying on secondary commentary.
When he discusses foreign exchange movements or ASX dynamics, it is not because he has read about them. It is because he has traded them.
8- Meddy Demars – Investing & crypto content creator
The gap Meddy Demars fills is specific and underserviced: connecting global macroeconomic events to the practical reality of Australian investors. When the US Federal Reserve adjusts interest rates, when inflation data moves, when commodity prices shift — most Australian finance content either ignores the local implications or translates them poorly.
Demars, operating across TikTok and Instagram from Sydney, does the translation well: explaining what global conditions mean for Australian stocks, savings rates and investment portfolios in terms that are accessible without being condescending.
9- Simran Kaur – Founder, Friends That Invest
Friends That Invest is arguably the most successful community-building exercise in Australian personal finance, and Simran Kaur is the reason why. The New Zealand-based creator — whose audience is predominantly Australian — built a podcast, a book and a social media presence around a single insight: that the personal finance world was not speaking to young women, and that the consequences of that gap were significant.
The measurable cultural shift that followed — women engaging with investing concepts in communities that had not previously existed — is the kind of impact that most financial literacy programmes aim for and rarely achieve.
10- Effie Zahos – Money Editor at 9News
Effie Zahos is one of Australia’s most recognised financial commentators, appearing regularly across 9News, A Current Affair, Today and Today Extra as 9News Money Editor. Her role puts everyday money questions, from mortgage rates to cost-of-living pressures, in front of a national broadcast audience.
Before television, she spent years as editor of Money magazine, building the editorial foundation for her current commentary. She is also Director and Money Commentator at InvestSMART, an ambassador for Canstar, and a published author, with her financial advice available in print as well as on screen.
That combination, decades of editorial experience, an active broadcast presence, and a body of published work, is what makes her commentary carry weight beyond any single platform or post.
Australia’s housing market rebounded sharply in 2025, with lower-value suburbs and resource regions driving growth as rate cuts, tight supply and renewed competition reshaped the year.
Scotch whisky expert, luxury hospitality strategist and Keeper of the Quaich inductee Ross Blainey is bringing a new philosophy of luxury experiences to Citizen Kanebridge.
