Home values still growing but at slower speeds
Perth and Adelaide now more expensive than Melbourne
Perth and Adelaide now more expensive than Melbourne
Australian home prices increased for the 19th consecutive month in August, with the national median price rising by 0.5% to a median $802,357, according to new figures from CoreLogic. However, there is significant diversity between the capital city markets, with some areas recording price falls. Home values rose the most in Perth at 2 percent but fell the most in Canberra by 0.4 percent.
CoreLogic says the pace of price growth across the country is slowing, primarily due to affordability constraints and an easing of very tight supply and demand in the strongest markets. Over the three months ending August 30, the national median rose by 1.3 percent, which is less than half the 2.7 percent increase recorded over the same period last year.
Perth remains the hottest property market in the country, with values rising 2 percent to a median of $785,250 last month. Values rose by 1.4% in Adelaide to a median $790,789, and by 1.1% in Brisbane to a median $875,040. Sydney home values lifted by 0.3% to a median price of $1,180,463.
Four capital cities saw a fall in home prices in August, led by Canberra with an 0.4 percent fall to a median value of $845,875. Melbourne and Darwin recorded an 0.2 percent drop to a median of $776,044 and $504,367, respectively. Hobart values softened by 0.1 percent to $655,114.
For the first time since February 2015 when Western Australia was coming out of a mining boom, Perth’s median home value is now higher than Melbourne’s median price. Adelaide has also reached a new milestone with its median value also exceeding Melbourne’s for the first time in the four decades that CoreLogic has been tracking home prices.
Melbourne’s median price is now the third lowest among the capital cities. While the city’s higher proportion of apartments skews its overall home price median lower, there are other factors behind Melbourne’s softening market. These include higher supply, with Victoria building more homes over the past decade than any other state or territory, and lower investor demand due to increased taxes.
CoreLogic’s Head of Research, Eliza Owen said seasonality may have contributed to weaker overall value growth throughout Winter, but affordability was the greater factor. Higher interest rates are limiting buyers’ borrowing capacity and high cost of living pressures are reducing demand.
CoreLogic estimates that an affordable purchase for a median-income household is just $500,000. However, the national median value has just risen above $800,000. Ms Owen said this discrepancy has likely narrowed the buyer pool to wealthier and higher-income buyers.
Sydney’s median house price rose by 0.3 percent in August to $1,471,892. The median apartment price rose by 0.5 percent to $859,050.
Melbourne’s median house price fell by 0.2 percent in August to $929,715. The median apartment price dipped 0.1 percent to $610,652.
Brisbane’s median house price increased by 0.9 percent in August to $966,382. The median apartment price rose by 1.7 percent to $653,325.
Adelaide’s median house value lifted 1.4 percent in August to $844,963. The median apartment price rose by 1.5 percent to $555,464.
Perth’s median house price rose strongly by 1.9 percent in August to $818,839. The median apartment price increased by 2.2 percent to $561,582.
Canberra’s median house price eased 0.3 percent in August to $967,933. The median apartment price fell 0.5 percent to $579,774.
Hobart’s median house price dipped 0.4 percent in August to $692,606. The median apartment price went the other way, rising by 1.3 percent to $549,569.
Darwin’s median house price dipped by 0.1 percent in August to $589,392. The median apartment price fell 0.5 percent to $355,297.
Australian shares fell on Thursday as Wall Street weakness, rising oil and persistent rate concerns weighed on most of the market. The S&P/ASX 200 declined 0.72 per cent to 8,702. The All Ordinaries lost 0.66 per cent to finish at 8,897. Mining stocks were hit particularly hard, while real estate also dragged on the index. …
Continue reading “ASX falls 0.7 per cent as miners and property stocks retreat”
Borrowers cannot control the Reserve Bank, but they can control how exposed their household budget is to its next decision. The RBA meets on 29 September with inflation concerns still elevated and major-bank economists increasingly bringing forward their rate-rise calls. Fixed mortgage rates have also been moving, reducing the value of waiting for perfect certainty. …
Continue reading “What mortgage holders should do before the next RBA decision”
A property portfolio can look comfortable until several small pressures arrive together: a rate increase, a vacancy, higher insurance and an unexpected repair. The correct time to model that combination is before it occurs.
Start by recalculating every loan at 0.25, 0.50 and one percentage point above its current rate. Include principal-and-interest repayments even where a loan is temporarily interest-only, because the eventual step-up may be larger than the next RBA move.
Then calculate true net rent. Deduct management, council and water charges, strata, insurance, maintenance, land tax where applicable and a vacancy allowance. A property advertised with an attractive gross yield can produce a very different result after these costs.
Third, review the portfolio’s liquidity. An offset account can reduce interest while keeping cash accessible, but investors should obtain tax advice before moving funds between loans. The distinction between investment and private debt affects deductibility, and poorly structured redraws can create lasting complexity.
Fourth, examine refinancing risk rather than just today’s rate. A highly leveraged investor may be unable to refinance on the same terms because the new lender tests total debt at a higher assessment rate. Credit-card limits, owner-occupied debt and shaded rental income can all reduce capacity.
Fifth, rank properties by resilience. Consider net yield, vacancy risk, near-term capital expenditure, tenant demand, debt attached and the cost of selling. This is not an instruction to sell the weakest performer automatically; transaction costs and tax consequences matter. It is a way to identify where pressure would emerge first.
Investors should also review fixed-rate and interest-only expiry dates. A portfolio with several facilities resetting in the same quarter carries concentration risk even when each loan appears manageable individually.
The goal is not to predict the RBA perfectly. It is to ensure that one policy decision does not force a rushed refinancing, sale or reduction in essential maintenance. A portfolio that can absorb higher rates and temporary income interruptions gives its owner time to make deliberate decisions.
Read more: What mortgage holders should do before the next RBA decision
Portfolio checklist
Stress test: Current rate plus 0.25, 0.50 and one percentage point.
Model: Net rent after every recurring cost and vacancy.
Check: Fixed-rate expiries, interest-only expiries and loan maturity.
Preserve: An accessible emergency buffer.
Review: Insurance, land tax, strata works and major maintenance.
Seek advice: Licensed credit, financial and tax advice before restructuring.
Borrowers cannot control the Reserve Bank, but they can control how exposed their household budget is to its next decision. The RBA meets on 29 September with inflation concerns still elevated and major-bank economists increasingly bringing forward their rate-rise calls. Fixed mortgage rates have also been moving, reducing the value of waiting for perfect certainty. …
Continue reading “What mortgage holders should do before the next RBA decision”
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