The Case for and Against Investing in Emerging Markets Now
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    HOUSE MEDIAN ASKING PRICES AND WEEKLY CHANGE     Sydney $1,455,257 (+1.86%)       Melbourne $939,047 (+0.87%)       Brisbane $807,503 (-0.36%)       Adelaide $776,642 (+1.97%)       Perth $663,542 (+0.53%)       Hobart $725,310 (-0.13%)       Darwin $628,752 (-0.50%)       Canberra $945,068 (-0.50%)       National $937,840 (+0.95%)                UNIT MEDIAN ASKING PRICES AND WEEKLY CHANGE     Sydney $708,884 (-0.36%)       Melbourne $480,103 (+0.14%)       Brisbane $446,784 (+0.58%)       Adelaide $362,663 (+2.01%)       Perth $377,189 (+0.73%)       Hobart $536,098 (+0.28%)       Darwin $355,667 (+3.76%)       Canberra $490,461 (-1.86%)       National $495,198 (+0.01%)                HOUSES FOR SALE AND WEEKLY CHANGE     Sydney 8,985 (-175)       Melbourne 12,700 (-109)       Brisbane 9,286 (-64)       Adelaide 2,841 (+103)       Perth 8,366 (+33)       Hobart 1,123 (+25)       Darwin 257 (-1)       Canberra 926 (-10)       National 44,484 (-198)                UNITS FOR SALE AND WEEKLY CHANGE     Sydney 7,920 (+22)       Melbourne 7,053 (-113)       Brisbane 2,062 (-26)       Adelaide 476 (-10)       Perth 2,299 (-9)       Hobart 159 (+6)       Darwin 389 (+10)       Canberra 534 (+12)       National 20,892 (-108)                HOUSE MEDIAN ASKING RENTS AND WEEKLY CHANGE     Sydney $700 (+$10)       Melbourne $530 (+$5)       Brisbane $570 ($0)       Adelaide $550 ($0)       Perth $575 ($0)       Hobart $555 (-$10)       Darwin $700 ($0)       Canberra $688 (-$3)       National $616 (+$1)                    UNIT MEDIAN ASKING RENTS AND WEEKLY CHANGE     Sydney $695 (+$35)       Melbourne $500 ($0)       Brisbane $540 (-$10)       Adelaide $430 (+$10)       Perth $520 ($0)       Hobart $465 (-$5)       Darwin $528 (-$3)       Canberra $550 ($0)       National $539 (+$5)                HOUSES FOR RENT AND WEEKLY CHANGE     Sydney 5,712 (+34)       Melbourne 5,560 (+64)       Brisbane 3,823 (-32)       Adelaide 1,147 (0)       Perth 1,688 (+32)       Hobart 268 (-6)       Darwin 110 (-12)       Canberra 668 (-37)       National 18,976 (+43)                UNITS FOR RENT AND WEEKLY CHANGE     Sydney 6,667 (0)       Melbourne 4,237 (+88)       Brisbane 1,265 (-39)       Adelaide 337 (-14)       Perth 696 (-12)       Hobart 126 (-2)       Darwin 184 (-15)       Canberra 534 (+8)       National 14,046 (+14)                HOUSE ANNUAL GROSS YIELDS AND TREND         Sydney 2.50% (↓)     Melbourne 2.93% (↑)      Brisbane 3.67% (↑)        Adelaide 3.68% (↓)       Perth 4.51% (↓)       Hobart 3.98% (↓)     Darwin 5.79% (↑)        Canberra 3.78% (↓)       National 3.42% (↓)            UNIT ANNUAL GROSS YIELDS AND TREND       Sydney 5.10% (↑)      Melbourne 5.42% (↑)        Brisbane 6.28% (↓)     Adelaide 6.17% (↑)        Perth 7.17% (↓)       Hobart 4.51% (↓)       Darwin 7.71% (↓)     Canberra 5.83% (↑)      National 5.66% (↑)             HOUSE RENTAL VACANCY RATES AND TREND       Sydney 1.6% (↑)      Melbourne 1.8% (↑)      Brisbane 0.5% (↑)      Adelaide 0.5% (↑)      Perth 1.0% (↑)      Hobart 0.9% (↑)      Darwin 1.1% (↑)      Canberra 0.5% (↑)      National 1.2% (↑)             UNIT RENTAL VACANCY RATES AND TREND       Sydney 2.3% (↑)      Melbourne 2.8% (↑)      Brisbane 1.2% (↑)      Adelaide 0.7% (↑)      Perth 1.3% (↑)      Hobart 1.4% (↑)      Darwin 1.3% (↑)      Canberra 1.3% (↑)      National 2.1% (↑)             AVERAGE DAYS TO SELL HOUSES AND TREND       Sydney 27.3 (↑)      Melbourne 27.4 (↑)        Brisbane 32.7 (↓)     Adelaide 25.3 (↑)      Perth 32.9 (↑)      Hobart 28.5 (↑)      Darwin 39.8 (↑)      Canberra 27.1 (↑)      National 30.1 (↑)             AVERAGE DAYS TO SELL UNITS AND TREND       Sydney 26.3 (↑)      Melbourne 26.4 (↑)      Brisbane 29.9 (↑)      Adelaide 24.3 (↑)        Perth 36.5 (↓)     Hobart 25.2 (↑)        Darwin 32.0 (↓)       Canberra 28.6 (↓)       Canberra 28.6 (↓)           
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The Case for and Against Investing in Emerging Markets Now

Economic growth is expected to be relatively strong. But these stocks also carry risks.

By Dan Weil
Mon, Jul 5, 2021 10:45amGrey Clock 4 min

Emerging markets stocks have outpaced developed-market shares over the past 12 months, making them a tempting investment option. So is now a good time to take the plunge, or should investors stay away?

On the plus side, economic growth in emerging markets is expected to surpass growth in developed markets in the next few years. And emerging-markets stocks can be useful to U.S. investors for diversifying a portfolio, since they don’t move in lockstep with U.S. shares.

But emerging-markets shares come with higher volatility than developed-market stocks and an array of risks, including political risk, currency risk, liquidity risk—and economic risk, despite the rosy projections. And investors can get exposure to emerging markets more safely with a portfolio of U.S. stocks that includes companies doing business in those markets.

“Investing in emerging markets is a high-risk, high-reward proposition,” says Eswar Prasad, a trade-policy professor at Cornell University. “Many emerging markets have done well growth-wise, and their financial markets have had periods of success, but it tends not to last too long.”

With that in mind, here’s a closer look at the cases for and against investing in emerging markets now.

The Positive Case

The biggest advantage of emerging markets today is their potential for stronger economic growth than advanced economies, investment pros say.

“About 90% of the world’s population under 30 lives in emerging markets,” says Michael Sheldon, chief investment officer at RDM Financial Group, Hightower, a wealth-management firm in Westport, Conn. “This may lead to stronger labor-market growth, increased productivity and stronger GDP and corporate profits over time.”

In contrast, developed countries have rapidly expanding senior populations and low birthrates, which makes it more difficult to find workers to fill new jobs, says Karim Ahamed, investment strategist at Cerity Partners, a wealth-management firm in Chicago. That can limit economic growth.

The International Monetary Fund forecasts average annual GDP growth of 5.5% for emerging markets in 2021-23, compared with 3.5% for advanced economies.

Emerging markets also represent diversification opportunities for U.S. investors. That’s partly because economic growth and financial-market performance in emerging markets are less correlated with the U.S. than advanced economies and financial markets are. In addition, emerging markets give U.S. investors currency diversification, which can be helpful when the dollar is weak.

While investors can gain exposure to emerging markets through stocks of U.S. companies that earn revenue from those markets, those stocks won’t give investors the full diversification benefit, Prof. Prasad says.

The strong economic and corporate performance that is boosting emerging-markets stocks also makes their bonds attractive, says Robert Koenigsberger, chief investment officer at Greenwich, Conn.-based Gramercy Funds Management, which specializes in emerging markets.

Inflation is less of a problem in most major emerging markets today than it has been at times in the past. Also, emerging-markets countries’ external deficits generally have narrowed, or totally reversed in some cases. “This should give emerging-market central banks more flexibility to absorb external shocks and deal with post-pandemic inflationary pressures, allowing them to tighten monetary policy without slowing growth momentum too much,” Mr. Koenigsberger says.

The Negative Case

Emerging-markets stocks are more volatile than those in advanced economies. The MSCI Emerging Markets Index had a standard deviation of 18 over the past 10 years, compared with 14 for the MSCI World Index of developed markets, according to Morningstar. Standard deviation measures volatility, with a higher number representing more volatility.

The factors behind that higher volatility in emerging markets include political risk, economic risk, currency risk and liquidity risk.

And while emerging-markets economies generally have been on a sharp uptrend for years, some also have experienced serious downturns. Russia’s economy, for instance, shrank 2% in 2015, compared with 2.9% growth for the U.S. that year.

Emerging-markets currencies are a double-edged sword, providing diversification but also volatility. “When you try repatriating your investment, everything may be going wrong at the same time,” with the emerging market’s economy, financial markets and currency dropping together, Prof. Prasad says.

A declining emerging-market currency makes an investment less valuable when converted into dollars. And emerging-markets currencies aren’t only vulnerable to trouble in their own country—they also tend to decline against the dollar when the U.S. currency is gaining against other developed-market currencies like the euro or yen, regardless of what’s happening in emerging markets.

Meanwhile, market liquidity isn’t as deep in emerging markets as in advanced ones. “There’s always a risk with emerging markets: It’s easy to bring money in, but not always to take it out,” Prof. Prasad says.

On the bond side, corporate debt outstanding has soared 400% in emerging markets since 2010, Mr. Koenigsberger says. So, plenty of securities are available. But liquidity isn’t just about supply. “Due to fewer banks and smaller market-making operations at those banks, there is insufficient liquidity when investors look to exit the market” in many cases, he says.

Another issue for bond investors: “There are a handful of emerging-market countries—South Africa, Turkey and Brazil, for example—that face high debt levels and large current-account imbalances,” Mr. Sheldon says. These countries are vulnerable to capital flight, which could trigger a plunge in bond prices.

One negative factor for emerging markets in the near term is that countries such as India and Brazil are having trouble dealing with Covid-19. That will likely weigh on emerging-markets stocks this year, Mr. Ahamed says.

How To Invest

For those who want to jump into emerging markets, what’s the best way? Mutual funds and exchange-traded funds will suit most investors better than individual stocks and bonds, because researching and trading individual securities in these markets is often difficult.

When it comes to the question of actively managed funds versus passive index funds, “you can make an argument for active management to provide some downside protection,” Mr. Ahamed says. “But an ETF gives you very broad-based exposure in a way that’s generally cost effective, with lower fees.” Most ETFs passively track a market index.

For bond funds, actively managed is the way to go, Mr. Koenigsberger says. The growth of emerging-markets debt amid continuing economic challenges in many countries puts a premium on active management to sort out the winners, he says. Emerging-markets bond indexes tracked by passive funds are usually weighted by market capitalization, so the most heavily indebted issuers have higher weightings. “Emerging-market debt isn’t an asset class that is suitable for index funds,” Mr. Koenigsberger says.

Reprinted by permission of The Wall Street Journal, Copyright 2021 Dow Jones & Company. Inc. All Rights Reserved Worldwide. Original date of publication: July 4, 2021

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The wealth creation guide, no matter what your age

There’s more to building substantial savings than putting away what you can after paying your bills

By Nina Hendy
Mon, Mar 27, 2023 4 min

Whether you’re starting your wealth creation journey in your 20s, 30s, 40s, 50s or beyond, the core principles remain consistent. Create more income, manage your savings, and invest intelligently. 

We look at the best wealth creation strategies depending on which decade you’re in right now. 

In your 20s 

The key to wealth creation is to start early. So if you’re reading this and you’re in your 20s, you’re well ahead of the game. 

Accept that the greatest investment you can make is in yourself and your ability to earn an income. 

“If you want to build wealth in Australia, you need to have a plan to be earning more than $100,000 per annum either now or within the next five years,” financial planner Chris Carlin says. “Most finance experts focus on ways to reduce your expenses, which is important, but for sustainable long-term wealth creation, we believe that you should be focusing on ways to increase your income rather than just focus on reducing your expenses. 

For more stories like this, order your copy of the latest issue of Kanebridge Quarterly magazine here.

“If you need to change careers, study, start a business or ask for a pay rise, do whatever it takes to get your income above that level while you’ve got time on your side. Next step is to buy a house, because the sooner you get your foot in the door of the property market, the easier it will be for you to build wealth over the long term.” 

Bear in mind that your first home doesn’t need to be your forever home. Think of it as your foot in the door to build wealth. 

“If you’re accessing a first home buyers grant, you only need to live in it for 12 months and then you can consider converting it into an investment property or selling it,” Carlin says. 

In your 30s 

This is the time in life to establish a regular investment strategy. Consider long-term investments that you can lock up for five to 10 years. You can take on more risk at this time of your life, which can generate higher returns. 

Set your priorities for life, and don’t take on more debt than you can afford to pay back. 

Also, keep track of expenses and income with budget planners — a great habit to get into now. 

There are many other things you should be considering too, such as topping up your super above the Super Guarantee and reviewing your personal insurance and investments. 

In your 40s 

This can be an expensive time of life, particularly if you’re supporting a family. But you’re probably in a more stable financial position by now, giving you a good springboard into investments such as a diversified portfolio of shares. 

Investing in property is the best option at this age, whether it’s the family home or an additional property that can be utilised for an Airbnb. Also, make sure you rein in your debt. A bank loan for a mortgage is one thing, but debt on credit cards is hard to justify by this stage of your life. 

Invest in your retirement by topping up your superannuation. Even an additional $50 a month will benefit from the wonders of compound interest. 

Generally speaking, shares outperform other investments over the longer term. And if you invest in companies that pay dividends, you’ll benefit from being paid part of the company’s profits, generally twice a year. While dividends are less common in a downturn like we’re having now, they are likely to increase once company profits recover. 

In your 50s (and beyond)

If you’re in your 50s or older, traditional financial planning tends to encourage less aggressive asset classes as people near retirement. 

If you’re in a low asset position due to divorce and having to start again or you’ve missed the real estate boom and are still renting, the main focus should be on controlling spending and pumping money into super and savings and then investing aggressively, advises financial adviser and money coach Max Phelps.

“Property investing is either an option through super, or outside of super if the deposit can be raised,” he says. “Outside of super, properties with scope to improve, extend or subdivide will help build capital faster than normal market growth, to help catch up.”

Share investing could also be an option, with particular focus on high growth funds, such as international securities. 

“Controlling spending at a level just above the aged pension should be a key focus, otherwise it’ll be a big step down when you finally stop work. Use a good budgeting and planning app,” Phelps says.

However, if you own your own home, and have a standard super balance, focus on the home and perhaps look at downsizing opportunities in the future. 

“Maximising super contributions is likely to be beneficial to get the tax savings, potentially using a transition to retirement strategy,” he says. “For those looking for a sea or tree change, we would always recommend keeping the family home until a year or two after moving to a new area to make sure it really suits. 

“For those wanting to stay in the same home forever, releasing equity to buy a couple of high yielding investment properties could be a good option, with the time to pay down the mortgages and keep them for additional income for retirement,” Phelps says. 

If your own home is paid off and you have a high super balance and a strong asset position, the focus will likely be on asset protection and less risky asset allocation for investments, he says. 

Whatever age you are, consider getting help now. The right financial advice early can set you on the right track. 

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