How Hackers Can Up Their Game by Using ChatGPT
Artificial intelligence, by mimicking the writing style of individuals, can make cyberattacks much harder to detect
Artificial intelligence, by mimicking the writing style of individuals, can make cyberattacks much harder to detect
Consumers, beware: AI chatbots like ChatGPT are likely to drive an increase in the use and effectiveness of online fraud tools such as phishing and spear-phishing messages.
In fact, it could already be happening. Phishing attacks around the world grew almost 50% in 2022 from a year earlier, according to Zscaler, a cloud-security provider. And, some experts say, artificial-intelligence software that makes phishing messages sound more believable are part of the problem. AI reduces or eliminates language barriers and grammatical mistakes, helping scammers impersonate a target’s colleagues, friends or relatives.
“This new era is going to be worse than what we had before,” says Meredith Broussard, research director at the New York University Alliance for Public Interest Technology. “And what we had before was really, really bad.”
High stakes
AI chatbots have exploded in popularity, with perhaps the best-known being ChatGPT, developed by the AI-research company OpenAI, a strategic partner of Microsoft. But dozens of chatbots, using what are referred to as large language models, are becoming more widely available and can closely mimic human communication based on data they amass. These models can be used for many purposes, such as helping office workers create routine memos more quickly. But they can also be used by criminals—to defraud victims, for instance, or to spread malicious viruses.
Telltale signs of a phishing attack have long included mistakes in grammar or spelling. But AI can give a phishing attack more credibility—and reach—not just because of its ability to generate fluent, grammatical messages in many languages, but also because of its ability to mimic the speaking or writing styles of individuals.
“The whole point with large language models is their ability to emulate what humans sound like,” says Etay Maor, senior director of security strategy at Cato Networks, a cloud networking and security provider.
Thus, given the opportunity to learn the style in which a certain person writes emails and texts, Maor says, an AI program can be used to mimic communications from a company executive.
“It’s all about trust, and if I can make you think I’m one of you, you’re going to begin to do things with more trust and less skepticism,” says Roger Grimes, a computer-security professional with KnowBe4, a security-awareness training and simulated-phishing platform.
Using AI, Grimes says, criminals can quickly determine industry-specific terms that give them more ability to target companies such as hospitals, banks and fintech.
Targeted campaigns
AI’s usefulness in phishing and spear-phishing attacks doesn’t stop with its ability to mimic authentic human communication. The analytic skills of machine learning can also be useful in determining who best to target in an organization and how exactly to attack them.
Sean McNee, vice president of research and data at DomainTools, an internet intelligence company, offers a hypothetical example. Say an accountant at a company innocently posts on social media about his frustrations with a recent audit. AI could determine the accountant’s peers, his company’s reporting structure and who else at the company might be most susceptible to an attack. The attacker then could create a spear-phishing email purporting to be from the chief financial officer referring to a discrepancy in the audit and asking the recipient to open an attached spreadsheet that contains a virus.
Ramayya Krishnan, dean of Carnegie Mellon University’s Heinz College, recommends being proactive to protect against such attacks.
First, before acting on something, he says, people should always verify the legitimacy of the request through independent means. This means before clicking on a link or sending money, the recipient should call the individual through a familiar phone number or walk into the person’s office to confirm the request, Krishnan says.
Maintain a healthy dose of skepticism for everything you receive, Maor says. Ask yourself, why is my bank emailing me? Why is there a sense of urgency? Why is there an attachment to click on? It’s also advisable to hover over a link before clicking to see if it leads to an expected URL. “If you have some reason to think something is amiss, don’t click on it,” Maor says.
Other guardrails
Strong regulation of AI could also help, says Broussard, who is also an associate professor at the Arthur L. Carter Journalism Institute of New York University.
AI itself should also be enlisted to help identify malicious content with its origins in AI, says Dave Ahn, chief architect at Centripetal, a cybersecurity company. But first the models for doing so will have to evolve and the data will have to improve. Data on successful AI-based attacks will help cybersecurity experts train new models to identify malicious activity better, says Ahn.
Other possible security measures include giving users a way to distinguish their content as authentic. The use of hidden patterns known as “watermarks,” for instance, can be buried in AI-generated texts to help identify whether the words are written by a human or computer, Krishnan says. But the applicability of these tools is limited.
Says Krishnan, “We’re not near deploying them at scale where it’s a solution to the bad-actor potential we have today.”
Chris Dixon, a partner who led the charge, says he has a ‘very long-term horizon’
Americans now think they need at least $1.25 million for retirement, a 20% increase from a year ago, according to a survey by Northwestern Mutual
Office owners are struggling with near record-high vacancy rates
First, the good news for office landlords: A post-Labor Day bump nudged return-to-office rates in mid-September to their highest level since the onset of the pandemic.
Now the bad: Office attendance in big cities is still barely half of what it was in 2019, and company get-tough measures are proving largely ineffective at boosting that rate much higher.
Indeed, a number of forces—from the prospect of more Covid-19 cases in the fall to a weakening economy—could push the return rate into reverse, property owners and city officials say.
More than before, chief executives at blue-chip companies are stepping up efforts to fill their workspace. Facebook parent Meta Platforms, Amazon and JPMorgan Chase are among the companies that have recently vowed to get tougher on employees who don’t show up. In August, Meta told employees they could face disciplinary action if they regularly violate new workplace rules.
But these actions haven’t yet moved the national return rate needle much, and a majority of companies remain content to allow employees to work at least part-time remotely despite the tough talk.
Most employees go into offices during the middle of the week, but floors are sparsely populated on Mondays and Fridays. In Chicago, some September days had a return rate of over 66%. But it was below 30% on Fridays. In New York, it ranges from about 25% to 65%, according to Kastle Systems, which tracks security-card swipes.
Overall, the average return rate in the 10 U.S. cities tracked by Kastle Systems matched the recent high of 50.4% of 2019 levels for the week ended Sept. 20, though it slid a little below half the following week.
The disappointing return rates are another blow to office owners who are struggling with vacancy rates near record highs. The national office average vacancy rose to 19.2% last quarter, just below the historical peak of 19.3% in 1991, according to Moody’s Analytics preliminary third-quarter data.
Business leaders in New York, Detroit, Seattle, Atlanta and Houston interviewed by The Wall Street Journal said they have seen only slight improvements in sidewalk activity and attendance in office buildings since Labor Day.
“It feels a little fuller but at the margins,” said Sandy Baruah, chief executive of the Detroit Regional Chamber, a business group.
Lax enforcement of return-to-office rules is one reason employees feel they can still work from home. At a roundtable business discussion in Houston last week, only one of the 12 companies that attended said it would enforce a return-to-office policy in performance reviews.
“It was clearly a minority opinion that the others shook their heads at,” said Kris Larson, chief executive of Central Houston Inc., a group that promotes business in the city and sponsored the meeting.
Making matters worse, business leaders and city officials say they see more forces at work that could slow the return to office than those that could accelerate it.
Covid-19 cases are up and will likely increase further in the fall and winter months. “If we have to go back to distancing and mask protocols, that really breaks the office culture,” said Kathryn Wylde, head of the business group Partnership for New York City.
Many cities are contending with an increase in homelessness and crime. San Francisco, Philadelphia and Washington, D.C., which are struggling with these problems, are among the lowest return-to-office cities in the Kastle System index.
About 90% of members surveyed by the Seattle Metropolitan Chamber of Commerce said that the city couldn’t recover until homelessness and public safety problems were addressed, said Rachel Smith, chief executive. That is taken into account as companies make decisions about returning to the office and how much space they need, she added.
Cuts in government services and transportation are also taking a toll. Wait times for buses run by Houston’s Park & Ride system, one of the most widely used commuter services, have increased partly because of labor shortages, according to Larson of Central Houston.
The commute “is the remaining most significant barrier” to improving return to office, Larson said.
Some landlords say that businesses will have more leverage in enforcing return-to-office mandates if the economy weakens. There are already signs of such a shift in cities that depend heavily on the technology sector, which has been seeing slowing growth and layoffs.
But a full-fledged recession could hurt office returns if it results in widespread layoffs. “Maybe you get some relief in more employees coming back,” said Dylan Burzinski, an analyst with real-estate analytics firm Green Street. “But if there are fewer of those employees, it’s still a net negative for office.”
The sluggish return-to-office rate is leading many city and business leaders to ask the federal government for help. A group from the Great Lakes Metro Chambers Coalition recently met with elected officials in Washington, D.C., lobbying for incentives for businesses that make commitments to U.S. downtowns.
Baruah, from the Detroit chamber, was among the group. He said the chances of such legislation being passed were low. “We might have to reach crisis proportions first,” he said. “But we’re trying to lay the groundwork now.”
Chris Dixon, a partner who led the charge, says he has a ‘very long-term horizon’
Americans now think they need at least $1.25 million for retirement, a 20% increase from a year ago, according to a survey by Northwestern Mutual