Australian shoppers adopt new strategy for Boxing Day sales
The thrill of bargain shopping is no longer the strongest draw for the post Christmas sales period
2 min
Cost of living pressures are expected to impact Boxing Day sales with more Australians planning to spend less, new consumer research shows.
The survey conducted on behalf of the Commonwealth Bank showed almost one in two people, or 49 percent of Australians, expect to spend during the annual post Christmas sale period, up from 42 percent last year and 40 percent in 2021. However, the average planned spend this year is expected to be $475.70, or $4.6bn nationally, down from $483.20 in 2022 and $557.05 in 2021.
People under the age of 39 are most likely to spend over this period as they use the sales to buy necessities, CBA chief economist Stephen Hlamarick said.
“The increase we’ve seen in spending at discount and variety stores in November is partly explained by Christmas and holiday shopping with discretionary spend up 1.9 percent,” he said. “However, people are also using the sales to stock up on essentials – with essential spending edging up 0.3 per cent.
“Essential spending usually falls after the “gift giving” period. However, given consumers are clearly seeking sales bargains for both essential and discretionary items, Boxing Day sales could also see a similar trend with a larger share of essential spending.”
CBA personal finance expert Jess Irvine said it was important for shoppers to have a plan before heading out.
“For anyone planning to use Boxing Day as an opportunity to bag a bargain, it is important to have a clear plan in advance of which items you plan to purchase. Write a list and stick to it to limit impulse purchases” said Ms Irvine.
“A good rule of thumb is that if the first time it occurs to you to purchase something is during a sale period, you probably don’t need it.
“If you are stocking up, make sure to do your research and check first for any cashback offers that may be available for that retailer.
She also warned to be wary of suspicious text messages or online scams.
“Stay scam aware when shopping, as scammers are known to be more active during sales periods,” Ms Irvine said. “Always remember to remain cautious, especially at this busy time of year, and stop, check and reject any suspicious websites or text messages.”
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Continued stagflation and cost of living pressures are causing couples to think twice about starting a family, new data has revealed, with long term impacts expected
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Australia is in the midst of a ‘baby recession’ with preliminary estimates showing the number of births in 2023 fell by more than four percent to the lowest level since 2006, according to KPMG. The consultancy firm says this reflects the impact of cost-of-living pressures on the feasibility of younger Australians starting a family.
KPMG estimates that 289,100 babies were born in 2023. This compares to 300,684 babies in 2022 and 309,996 in 2021, according to the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS). KPMG urban economist Terry Rawnsley said weak economic growth often leads to a reduced number of births. In 2023, ABS data shows gross domestic product (GDP) fell to 1.5 percent. Despite the population growing by 2.5 percent in 2023, GDP on a per capita basis went into negative territory, down one percent over the 12 months.
“Birth rates provide insight into long-term population growth as well as the current confidence of Australian families,” said Mr Rawnsley. “We haven’t seen such a sharp drop in births in Australia since the period of economic stagflation in the 1970s, which coincided with the initial widespread adoption of the contraceptive pill.”
Mr Rawnsley said many Australian couples delayed starting a family while the pandemic played out in 2020. The number of births fell from 305,832 in 2019 to 294,369 in 2020. Then in 2021, strong employment and vast amounts of stimulus money, along with high household savings due to lockdowns, gave couples better financial means to have a baby. This led to a rebound in births.
However, the re-opening of the global economy in 2022 led to soaring inflation. By the start of 2023, the Australian consumer price index (CPI) had risen to its highest level since 1990 at 7.8 percent per annum. By that stage, the Reserve Bank had already commenced an aggressive rate-hiking strategy to fight inflation and had raised the cash rate every month between May and December 2022.
Five more rate hikes during 2023 put further pressure on couples with mortgages and put the brakes on family formation. “This combination of the pandemic and rapid economic changes explains the spike and subsequent sharp decline in birth rates we have observed over the past four years,” Mr Rawnsley said.
The impact of high costs of living on couples’ decision to have a baby is highlighted in births data for the capital cities. KPMG estimates there were 60,860 births in Sydney in 2023, down 8.6 percent from 2019. There were 56,270 births in Melbourne, down 7.3 percent. In Perth, there were 25,020 births, down 6 percent, while in Brisbane there were 30,250 births, down 4.3 percent. Canberra was the only capital city where there was no fall in the number of births in 2023 compared to 2019.
“CPI growth in Canberra has been slightly subdued compared to that in other major cities, and the economic outlook has remained strong,” Mr Rawnsley said. “This means families have not been hurting as much as those in other capital cities, and in turn, we’ve seen a stabilisation of births in the ACT.”
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