Future Returns: Seeking Out Tech Trendsetters
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Future Returns: Seeking Out Tech Trendsetters

Where to look for the next big tech trend.

By Abby Schultz
Wed, Jul 28, 2021 11:15amGrey Clock 3 min

While many investors are focused on Facebook, Alphabet’sGoogle, Netflix, and other large tech companies that seem to change society daily, there are hundreds of smaller, under-the-radar companies that are transforming even mundane businesses such as mortgage applications into software companies.

Eaton Vance WaterOak Advisors, a US$14.3 billion registered investment advisor for wealthy individuals, foundations, and institutions, seeks out these smaller “analog-to-digital” companies across all of its investment strategies, says Duke Laflamme, chief investment officer of the firm, an arm of Boston-based asset manager Eaton Vance.

“We think there are a lot of companies out there that are smaller, less followed, and very similar in a lot of regards to some of the larger players that are getting all the attention,” Laflamme says.

Eaton Vance WaterOak owns larger, growth tech companies, too, including Netflix and Facebook, but says they will always be asking, “Is there something that has a clear path to a higher growth rate with great management?”

Penta recently spoke with Laflamme about the investment firm’s approach and the kind of companies it chooses.

Streamlining in Any Sector

Eaton Vance WaterOak’s premise is that “most companies are becoming software companies to a certain degree,” Laflamme says.

They are doing so to be more efficient—and therefore more profitable—and to improve the experience of their customers. These impulses are altering the trajectory of consumer-facing companies and industrial firms that can employ technology to streamline processes.

“We’re looking at it from the perspective of, ‘let’s find great companies that are already great companies, and see what they are doing in terms of some sort of transformation to make them even better,’” Laflamme says.

Take the unwieldy process of applying for a mortgage, which can involve lengthy sittings in legal offices signing documents “that no one really reads,” Laflamme says. “If you can digitize some of that, it’s a great way to improve the efficiency of that process.”

Black Night, a Jacksonville, Fla., company has capitalized on providing that efficiency with mortgage and consumer loans, from the point of origination to loan servicing and processing. The firm also provides mortgage lenders with insight on potential problem loans, Laflamme says. “It’s an end-to-end solution.”

A Pandemic Push

A theme during the height of the pandemic was how lockdowns to contain the spread of the virus speeded the digital transformation of many sectors of the economy. Zoom and Google Meet conferencing became the norm, art fairs and museums went digital, and more restaurants went online.

These dynamics benefited companies that already had been shifting to digital services, and helped others that were able to quickly adjust when the lockdowns went into effect.

Domino’s Pizza is an example of the latter, LaFlamme says. In the midst of the pandemic, “They really transformed the efficiency of their technology through [their] app, website, etcetera,” he says. “They now have a consumer base that is likely to stick with them through post-pandemic.”

Digital Stickiness

The investment firm likes companies that are nimble, and can create a moat around their business with that kind of customer “stickiness” through the use of technology, essentially making themselves the go-to provider in their sector, Laflamme says.

An example is Intuitive Surgical, a Sunnyvale, Calif.-based company that is a leader in providing robotic surgical equipment. If a doctor is trained by Intuitive Surgical on its machinery, he or she is unlikely to switch to another company that comes along with the same type of product, he says.

While competitors to Intuitive are coming out, they are “behind pace on adoption,” Laflamme says. “If Intuitive is the gold standard and you are a doctor and you get trained on the gold standard, if an equal [company] comes along, there’s no reason to get that training as well.”

Other companies the firm likes include Watsco, an air conditioning, heating, and refrigeration equipment distributor based in Miami, that has created a just-in-time inventory system allowing plumbing and heating providers to get what they need when they need it.

“It’s one of these smaller, sleepy companies that you wouldn’t think of as a tech company that is transforming themselves and getting to be even better companies through that technology,” he says.

Another is Ritchie Bros. Auctioneers in Burnaby, Canada, which sells heavy equipment via auctions. “They’ve done a good job of taking one of the oldest-school processes out there and bringing it into this century,” Laflamme says.

An advantage of the improved efficiencies and lower costs generated by the tech transformation is the deflationary effects it has on the economy. By reducing the amount of time and labour it takes to process a mortgage, for instance, many more mortgages can be processed. “There’s a lot that can be wrung out of the system,” he says.

Reprinted by permission of Penta. Copyright 2021 Dow Jones & Company. Inc. All Rights Reserved Worldwide. Original date of publication: June 25, 2021



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Australia is in the midst of a baby recession with preliminary estimates showing the number of births in 2023 fell by more than four percent to the lowest level since 2006, according to KPMG. The consultancy firm says this reflects the impact of cost-of-living pressures on the feasibility of younger Australians starting a family.

KPMG estimates that 289,100 babies were born in 2023. This compares to 300,684 babies in 2022 and 309,996 in 2021, according to the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS). KPMG urban economist Terry Rawnsley said weak economic growth often leads to a reduced number of births. In 2023, ABS data shows gross domestic product (GDP) fell to 1.5 percent. Despite the population growing by 2.5 percent in 2023, GDP on a per capita basis went into negative territory, down one percent over the 12 months.

“Birth rates provide insight into long-term population growth as well as the current confidence of Australian families, said Mr Rawnsley. “We haven’t seen such a sharp drop in births in Australia since the period of economic stagflation in the 1970s, which coincided with the initial widespread adoption of the contraceptive pill.”

Mr Rawnsley said many Australian couples delayed starting a family while the pandemic played out in 2020. The number of births fell from 305,832 in 2019 to 294,369 in 2020. Then in 2021, strong employment and vast amounts of stimulus money, along with high household savings due to lockdowns, gave couples better financial means to have a baby. This led to a rebound in births.

However, the re-opening of the global economy in 2022 led to soaring inflation. By the start of 2023, the Australian consumer price index (CPI) had risen to its highest level since 1990 at 7.8 percent per annum. By that stage, the Reserve Bank had already commenced an aggressive rate-hiking strategy to fight inflation and had raised the cash rate every month between May and December 2022.

Five more rate hikes during 2023 put further pressure on couples with mortgages and put the brakes on family formation. “This combination of the pandemic and rapid economic changes explains the spike and subsequent sharp decline in birth rates we have observed over the past four years, Mr Rawnsley said.

The impact of high costs of living on couples’ decision to have a baby is highlighted in births data for the capital cities. KPMG estimates there were 60,860 births in Sydney in 2023, down 8.6 percent from 2019. There were 56,270 births in Melbourne, down 7.3 percent. In Perth, there were 25,020 births, down 6 percent, while in Brisbane there were 30,250 births, down 4.3 percent. Canberra was the only capital city where there was no fall in the number of births in 2023 compared to 2019.

“CPI growth in Canberra has been slightly subdued compared to that in other major cities, and the economic outlook has remained strong,” Mr Rawnsley said. This means families have not been hurting as much as those in other capital cities, and in turn, we’ve seen a stabilisation of births in the ACT.”   

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