Underwhelming Chinese Stock Markets Show Concern Over Recovery

One mystery in global markets this year is that while China’s economy appears to be rebounding strongly, its stock market hasn’t been doing as well.

The MSCI China index has risen only 1.8% so far this year, underperforming many of the major markets. The S&P 500 index, for example, has gained 7.7%. Stocks listed in Shanghai and Shenzhen have done a bit better—the CSI 300 index has gone up 4.9% in 2023. That seems to be in contrast to the rebounding economy, after China scrapped its strict “zero-Covid” pandemic restrictions in December and scaled back its regulatory crackdown on its technology companies.

China’s gross domestic product grew 4.5% from a year earlier in the first quarter and, more significantly, consumption has also come back strongly: retail sales jumped more than 10% in March from a year earlier. Crowds were everywhere in Chinese scenic spots in the recent five-day “Golden Week” holiday. Total domestic trips during the holiday rose 19% from the same period in 2019, according to official figures. Tourism revenue also recovered to pre pandemic levels.

Of course, the rally in Chinese stocks late last year already priced in a big part of the recovery. The MSCI China index surged 34% in the last two months in 2022, after rumours of reopening started to circulate.

Yet earnings growth so far has been disappointing. For nearly 80% of Chinese listed companies that have reported their first-quarter results, profits only grew an average 1% year on year, with around 69% of them having missed consensus earnings estimates, according to Goldman Sachs. About 77% of A-share shares—companies listed in Shanghai and Shenzhen—revised down their earnings guidance for 2023, according to Bank of America.

Earnings growth will likely improve ahead, especially against a lower base last year, when lockdowns across the country battered the economy. The struggling housing sector also seems to have stabilised. But a big question that remains is how long the consumption bounce could last. The export sector may suffer with a potential recession looming in the U.S. and Europe. China’s job market, especially for younger workers, is still quite weak. That partly explains why investors have jumped back into shares of state-owned enterprises—a more stable choice in an uncertain time.

Chinese stocks have rebounded substantially from their lows last year, but are still way off their peaks in early 2021, when China appeared to have avoided the worst of the pandemic. A more sustained market recovery would require a more broad-based revival of earnings growth.

Bhutan has become the first country in the world to implement a national-level cryptocurrency payment system for tourism, marking a major milestone in digital innovation and travel.

Launched in partnership with Binance Pay and Bhutan’s fully digital DK Bank, the system enables travellers with Binance accounts to enjoy a seamless, end-to-end crypto-powered journey. More than 100 local merchants, from hotels and tour operators to small roadside vendors in remote villages, are already live on the system.

“This is more than a payment solution — it’s a commitment to innovation, inclusion, and convenience,” said Damcho Rinzin, Director of the Department of Tourism, Bhutan.

“It enables a seamless experience for travellers and empowers even small vendors in remote villages to participate in the tourism economy.”

Using supported cryptocurrencies, tourists can now pay for nearly every part of their trip, including airline tickets, visas, the Sustainable Development Fee (SDF), hotel stays, monument entry fees, local guides, and shopping, all through secure static and dynamic QR code payments.

Binance CEO Richard Teng praised the move, saying: “We are excited to partner with Bhutan as we are not only advancing the use of cryptocurrencies in travel but also setting a precedent for how technology can bridge cultures and economies. This initiative exemplifies our commitment to innovation and our belief in a future where digital finance empowers global connectivity and enriches travel experiences.”

Known as the “Kingdom of Happiness,” Bhutan has long prioritised Gross National Happiness over GDP, with a strong focus on sustainability, cultural preservation, and societal well-being. The new system aligns with these values by reducing payment friction and bringing financial inclusion to local communities.

Among the key features of the system:

Seamless Experience: Tourists can pay with crypto for all travel-related expenses.
Inclusive Reach: Small vendors, even in remote areas, can accept QR code payments.
Lower Fees: Transactions cost significantly less than traditional payment methods.
Comprehensive Support: More than 100 cryptocurrencies supported, including BNB, BTC, and USDC.
Secure and Instant: Real-time confirmations, 2FA, and encrypted transactions via the Binance app.

Behind the local settlement mechanism is DK Bank, Bhutan’s first fully digital bank. Licensed by the Royal Monetary Authority of Bhutan, it aims to deliver accessible financial services to all, including marginalised and unbanked communities.

The launch is being hailed as a bold step forward in integrating digital finance with global tourism — one that could set the benchmark for other nations looking to modernise the travel experience while empowering their local economies.

Underwhelming Chinese Stock Markets Show Concern Over Recovery

China’s stocks have underperformed this year as questions linger on durability of economic rebound

Bhutan is pioneering a new frontier in travel by allowing tourists to pay for flights, visas, hotels and even fruit stalls using cryptocurrency via Binance Pay.