The Exact Age When You Make Your Best Financial Decisions
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    HOUSE MEDIAN ASKING PRICES AND WEEKLY CHANGE     Sydney $1,694,137 (+0.07%)       Melbourne $1,032,352 (+0.13%)       Brisbane $1,180,671 (-0.55%)       Adelaide $1,049,309 (+0.70%)       Perth $1,084,212 (-0.24%)       Hobart $845,475 (+2.08%)       Darwin $854,475 (-0.20%)       Canberra $977,295 (-0.45%)       National Capitals $1,147,803 (+0.05%)                UNIT MEDIAN ASKING PRICES AND WEEKLY CHANGE     Sydney $794,556 (+0.48%)       Melbourne $547,365 (+0.09%)       Brisbane $754,072 (-0.37%)       Adelaide $572,519 (-0.29%)       Perth $640,628 (-0.82%)       Hobart $573,985 (-0.37%)       Darwin $470,510 (+2.22%)       Canberra $476,938 (-0.38%)       National Capitals $624,365 (-0.05%)                HOUSES FOR SALE AND WEEKLY CHANGE     Sydney 14,033 (+82)       Melbourne 16,031 (+18)       Brisbane 9,761 (+19)       Adelaide 3,349 (+15)       Perth 8,242 (+9)       Hobart 702 (-12)       Darwin 168 (+1)       Canberra 1,163 (-6)       National Capitals 53,449 (+126)                UNITS FOR SALE AND WEEKLY CHANGE     Sydney 9,492 (+86)       Melbourne 6,692 (-44)       Brisbane 2,164 (+15)       Adelaide 575 (-4)       Perth 1,586 (+4)       Hobart 156 (-4)       Darwin 206 (-23)       Canberra 1,237 (-1)       National Capitals 22,108 (+29)                HOUSE MEDIAN ASKING RENTS AND WEEKLY CHANGE     Sydney $880 (+$5)       Melbourne $620 ($0)       Brisbane $703 (-$8)       Adelaide $660 ($0)       Perth $750 ($0)       Hobart $620 (-$5)       Darwin $838 (+$8)       Canberra $730 (-$5)       National Capitals $736 (+$)                UNIT MEDIAN ASKING RENTS AND WEEKLY CHANGE     Sydney $840 ($0)       Melbourne $630 (+$60)       Brisbane $670 (-$10)       Adelaide $550 ($0)       Perth $700 ($0)       Hobart $520 (-$30)       Darwin $655 (+$5)       Canberra $590 ($0)       National Capitals $658 (+$3)                HOUSES FOR RENT AND WEEKLY CHANGE     Sydney 6,137 (-310)       Melbourne 7,411 (+17)       Brisbane 3,549 (+4)       Adelaide 1,283 (-27)       Perth 2,180 (-40)       Hobart 240 (+17)       Darwin 52 (+3)       Canberra 471 (-1)       National Capitals 21,323 (-337)                UNITS FOR RENT AND WEEKLY CHANGE     Sydney 10,130 (-68)       Melbourne 6,144 (-2,264)       Brisbane 1,981 (+9)       Adelaide 436 (+26)       Perth 732 (-32)       Hobart 67 (-13)       Darwin 112 (+5)       Canberra 769 (0)       National Capitals 20,371 (-2,337)                HOUSE ANNUAL GROSS YIELDS AND TREND       Sydney 2.70% (↑)        Melbourne 3.12% (↓)       Brisbane 3.09% (↓)       Adelaide 3.27% (↓)     Perth 3.60% (↑)        Hobart 3.81% (↓)     Darwin 5.10% (↑)        Canberra 3.88% (↓)       National Capitals 3.33% (↓)            UNIT ANNUAL GROSS YIELDS AND TREND         Sydney 5.50% (↓)     Melbourne 5.99% (↑)        Brisbane 4.62% (↓)     Adelaide 5.00% (↑)      Perth 5.68% (↑)        Hobart 4.71% (↓)       Darwin 7.24% (↓)     Canberra 6.43% (↑)      National Capitals 5.48% (↑)             HOUSE RENTAL VACANCY RATES AND TREND       Sydney 1.4% (↑)      Melbourne 1.5% (↑)      Brisbane 1.2% (↑)      Adelaide 1.2% (↑)      Perth 1.0% (↑)        Hobart 0.5% (↓)       Darwin 0.7% (↓)     Canberra 1.6% (↑)      National Capitals $1.1% (↑)             UNIT RENTAL VACANCY RATES AND TREND       Sydney 1.4% (↑)      Melbourne 2.4% (↑)      Brisbane 1.5% (↑)      Adelaide 0.8% (↑)      Perth 0.9% (↑)      Hobart 1.2% (↑)        Darwin 1.4% (↓)     Canberra 2.7% (↑)      National Capitals $1.5% (↑)             AVERAGE DAYS TO SELL HOUSES AND TREND         Sydney 35.5 (↓)       Melbourne 34.2 (↓)       Brisbane 37.6 (↓)     Adelaide 30.4 (↑)      Perth 44.4 (↑)        Hobart 29.0 (↓)       Darwin 27.9 (↓)     Canberra 35.1 (↑)        National Capitals 34.3 (↓)            AVERAGE DAYS TO SELL UNITS AND TREND       Sydney 34.1 (↑)      Melbourne 33.0 (↑)      Brisbane 37.2 (↑)      Adelaide 29.9 (↑)        Perth 42.1 (↓)       Hobart 30.2 (↓)     Darwin 48.2 (↑)        Canberra 39.1 (↓)     National Capitals 36.7 (↑)            
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The Exact Age When You Make Your Best Financial Decisions

There’s a magic number for when your expertise and cognitive powers align

By CLARE ANSBERRY
Mon, Aug 28, 2023 8:53amGrey Clock 4 min

The prime years for making smart financial decisions are, on average, 53 and 54.

At around that age, people have accumulated knowledge and experience about money, spending and saving, but haven’t begun losing key analytic cognitive skills. It’s also roughly the age when adults make the fewest financial mistakes, related to things like credit-card use, interest rates and fees.

Knowing what leads to the financial strength of your early 50s is valuable. Younger adults can delve more deeply into basics like inflation and interest rates to hedge against lack of experience, and those who are older can work to keep their analytical skills sharp.

“As we get older, we seem to rely more on past experience, rules of thumb, and intuitive knowledge about which products or strategies are better,” says Rafal Chomik, an economist in Australia at the ARC Centre of Excellence in Population Ageing Research.

Chomik led a 2022 study that looked at financial literacy, which is the ability to understand financial information and apply it to managing personal finances. Financial literacy typically peaks at age 54 and then declines, according to the study.

The study gauged financial literacy using questions about inflation, interest rates and diversification. One question: If in five years, your income has doubled and prices have doubled, will you be able to buy (A) less, (B) the same, (C) more than today. (Answer: B)

People can—and do—make good financial decisions from their 20s to their 40s, as well as into their 60s and 70s. Chomik, who is 45, says some of his best financial decisions came earlier in his life and involved his 401(k)-type savings account. Contributions were mandatory when he started his first job at around age 18, but once enrolled, he actively chose funds that benefit those who have a longer investment horizon.

Financial decision-making requires a combination of reasoning skills that differ by age. Those in their 20s are better at absorbing and processing new information and computing numbers—so-called fluid intelligence—but don’t have as much life experience or crystallised intelligence—the accumulation of facts and knowledge. Crystallised intelligence tends to improve with age.

Getting help

Beverly Miller, a financial coach who often works with people who are in debt, says she did most things right before her 50s, avoiding credit-card debt, paying off car loans and paying off a 30-year mortgage in 12 years.

But she didn’t invest as wisely as she could have. For example, she moved money in a retirement savings account out of growth funds and into fixed-income funds.

“We would let market changes scare us into making changes we shouldn’t have,” says Miller, 65.

Miller says she and her husband could have made more money if they had left it in growth funds. Likewise, she invested in rental properties, which she thought could be an easy source of income but weren’t.

It wasn’t until she was in her 50s that she and her husband finally turned to a certified financial planner to help with investments, she says.

“In your 50s, you have enough maturity and experience to know you need help,” says Miller.

Age of reason

People make financial mistakes at any and every age, but they made fewer mistakes at the age of 53, according to economic researchers. In one study, economists looked at financial choices made by adults in 10 financial areas, including home-equity loans, lines of credit, mortgages and credit cards, and how those decisions affected fees and interest payments.

Fees and interest payments, across all 10 areas, are at their lowest levels around age 53, according to the 2009 study in the Brookings Papers on Economic Activity. That age was referred to as the “age of reason,” or the point at which financial mistakes are minimised. A financial mistake would include overestimating the value of a house, for instance.

At the age of 53, “people have been dealing with financial markets for years and know how to look for the right financial product, and minimise fees and payments,” says Sumit Agarwal, a professor of finance at the National University of Singapore and an author of the study.

Agarwal turned 53 this year.

“I have a lot of experience capital right now,” he says. “Going forward, I will be making more mistakes and will be slower making decisions.” People can keep their analytical skills strong and continue to make good decisions by reading and exercising the brain, he says.

One financial mistake 50-year-olds tend to make involves underestimating their life expectancy, which can lead to flawed planning decisions about retirement. A typical 50-year-old expects to live until age 76, when actuarial estimates have that person living another decade to age 86, according to Chomik’s study, which looked at surveys in Australia. A 2020 study in the U.S. found that 28% of adults 50 and older underestimated their life expectancy by at least five years.

Kristen Jacks, a 55-year-old financial educator based in New Haven, Conn., says people in their 50s have often experienced enough financial pain to make them more acutely aware of the need to weigh all financial alternatives carefully and avoid mistakes.

“You’re also at the age when you look at your retirement savings and realise you’re running out of years to make it bigger,” says Jacks.

She also works with younger people who can underspend as well as overspend. One young man in his 20s, she says, earned good money as a traveling nurse but was living in a small $600 a month apartment that he hated.

She says her own best financial decisions are lifelong habits. Jacks, who bought a $1,500 certificate of deposit when she was 15 using babysitting money, doesn’t accumulate credit-card debt and lives below her means.

“You do that for 20-plus years, and you are so much better off,” she says.



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Wall Street Is Counting on Nvidia to Keep the AI Party Going

Nvidia’s earnings will test Wall Street’s confidence in the AI boom.

By David Uberti and Krystal Hur
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Chip makers are fighting to assure investors that the artificial-intelligence boom is racing forward. Wall Street might not believe it until Nvidia’s NVDA -0.98%decrease; down pointing triangle Jensen Huang says so.

When Huang steps up to the mic for his company’s earnings call Wednesday, he will have the world’s attention. What he says about Nvidia’s present will preview the future of AI, dictate the path forward for a tech-crazed stock market and influence an American economy increasingly tethered to hopes that the boom won’t go bust.

The $5 trillion chip maker has provided the key building blocks for AI since the launch of ChatGPT in 2022 set off a race for dominance among OpenAI, Anthropic and established Silicon Valley giants. Now, as Nvidia backstops sprawling data-center projects and an exotic money pipeline to boost chip demand, the company’s influence is arguably bigger than ever.

But there are signs of trouble ahead. Political pushback to AI is growing. A bond selloff propelled borrowing costs to their highest levels in years. The hyperscalers that include some of Nvidia’s key customers—once cash-printing machines—are relying more on debt. OpenAI recently told investors its revenue rose by a tepid 18% in the second quarter while its losses deepened.

Nvidia is increasingly stepping in to shore up potential weak points across the market. Earlier this month, the company teamed up with six of Wall Street’s biggest firms on a $500 billion AI-financing plan, pledging to backstop lending to customers that can’t afford its chips otherwise. The chip maker last week also took a stake in Cloverleaf Infrastructure, which arranges power for data centers, and struck a $6 billion deal with startup Poolside aimed at developing a powerful open-weight AI model.

After watching shares in other chip makers and the so-called Magnificent Seven tech companies swing wildly in recent months, Wall Street is hoping Nvidia can beat expectations—again. The countdown is on.

“It’s kind of becoming more and more like the World Cup final than the Super Bowl at this point,” said Brian Mulberry, chief market strategist at Zacks Investment Management. “It’s just gotten to be that big.”

The company has smashed analysts’ earnings estimates for each of the 14 quarters since the AI boom kicked into high gear. Nvidia posted 210% annual growth in net income in its last three-month period, according to FactSet, making Wall Street’s 126% projection look pedestrian.

Expectations for a blowout second quarter have risen rapidly over the course of this year. All Nvidia will have to do to beat this target: outrun 95% annual earnings growth to more than $51.5 billion. Analysts project the chip maker will report record sales of $92 billion for the period, up from a forecast of $78 billion at the start of this year.

In July, big-tech earnings sparked volatility. Concerns about runaway capital spending spread across the sector after Alphabet’s and Tesla’s results, driving a $890 billion wipeout that contributed to the unwind of hedge fund Situational Awareness. Microsoft posted the largest one-day gain in market capitalization by any company, ever, after a quarter proving that it could still show investors the money. SpaceX rocketed higher after a record-breaking initial public offering, only to see $1 trillion in value evaporate.

Surging memory prices and borrowing costs have fueled fears that those and other companies will be unable to keep plowing more money into supplies including Nvidia chips. Shaia Hosseinzadeh, founder of OnyxPoint Global Management, has recently bought dips in AI-infrastructure stocks when Wall Street has strained to absorb massive debt issued by Silicon Valley.

“The macro data is really quite robust,” he said. “Of course, there’s a level at which everything breaks.”

Investors have kept pumping money into the AI trade despite concerns around chip consumers—and to the benefit of chip producers. That is why Nvidia’s outlook for semiconductor demand could send ripples through counterparts such as Micron Technology and Sandisk, developers of the data centers in which their chips reside, and a supply chain of power producers, contractors and other specialists that underpin the globe-spanning AI build-out.

“We joke internally that we’re all Nvidia analysts now,” said David Lefkowitz, head of U.S. equities at UBS Global Wealth Management.

The irony is that investors have tended to sell Nvidia stock immediately after blockbuster earnings, with shares falling each trading session after its four past quarterly reports. Some are betting that will be the case this time around, too.

The options market is pricing in a 5.3% swing, higher or lower, in Nvidia shares during the session following earnings, according to Option Research & Technology Services. That is higher than the 4.8% average move in Nvidia’s stock over the last 12 months after the company reports quarterly results.

In recent days, some of the most actively traded Nvidia options have been put contracts tied to the stock falling from its Friday value of $214.75 to $205 and $210 apiece, according to Cboe Global Markets data. Put options give the right to sell a stock by a set price and typically represent a bearish wager.

Many analysts remain optimistic. Frank Lee, global head of tech hardware and semiconductor research at HSBC Global Investment Research, recently raised his price target for Nvidia shares to $360 from $325, citing, among other things, Nvidia’s strategic partnerships with suppliers and its role as a top contributor to open-source AI.

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