A Table Outside? More Diners Say No Way

Stretches of severely high temperatures across the U.S. are taking a toll on restaurants.

Customers are avoiding patios during heat waves, cutting into a key source of summertime sales for many restaurants, owners said. Visits in July and August declined from earlier in the year, industry data showed, with chains including Chuy’s and Cheesecake Factory reporting a decline in outdoor business this summer.

“No one’s sitting out in the patio at 100 degrees,” Steve Hislop, chief executive of Texas-based Chuy’s, said during an Aug. 3 earnings call.

Utility expenses are also rising as restaurants run air conditioning at full blast for long stretches of time, operators and industry groups said.

Temperatures climbing to the highest levels in recorded history this summer have hurt hospitality, sports, agriculture and many other businesses. In states such as Texas, weeks of days topping 100 degrees are expected to reduce overall economic productivity.

Restaurants are contending with heat and smoke as many operators are fighting for sales from cash-strapped consumers, and dealing with high inflation in food, labour and other costs.

Diners overall at restaurants in Arizona, Florida and Georgia dropped between 6% and 8% in the first part of August compared with last year’s period, according to OpenTable. The reservation tech company also recorded diner declines in other states running hot this summer, including Texas and North Carolina.

“This summer does feel different,” said Kelsey Erickson Streufert, chief public affairs officer for the Texas Restaurant Association trade group. “It’s a little tougher to get people to come out.”

Employees working at restaurants and bars dipped 1.5% in July compared with the month prior, with steep declines in cities such as San Antonio, New Orleans and Phoenix that recorded high temperatures during the month, according to Homebase, a small business workforce app. The declines likely stemmed from extreme temperatures disrupting consumer spending and foot traffic, Homebase said.

Worker advocates are increasingly making heat an issue in campaigns for improved conditions for restaurant workers. Some are pushing for better enforcement of existing standards and additional federal indoor heat regulations to provide employees breaks and water when temperatures rise.

“We’ve seen 86 degrees on the coolest side of the kitchen,” said Ariana Lingerfeldt, a cook at an Asheville, N.C., restaurant who is a member of the Restaurant Opportunities Centers United worker advocacy group, during an Aug. 9 event pushing for more heat standards. “The air conditioner is unable to keep up with the equipment.”

Some restaurant operators said they are giving their workers more water and rest breaks, since kitchen temperatures can climb steeply despite air-conditioning.

Many restaurants set up patios in the early days of the Covid-19 pandemic, and have come to rely on them to drive summer sales. New York City, for example, is poised to make expanded outdoor dining in roadways permanent from April to November, and supporters say patios have helped restaurants maintain sales and jobs.

Now, some restaurant owners said those patio sales are drying up when temperatures surge, or wildfire smoke blows.

“When the sun’s on it, it’s literally scalding out there,” said Marc Hochmuth, general manager of City Social restaurant in downtown Chicago, which has a patio. Hochmuth said his business dropped about 20% overall when temperatures soared this summer.

Zoe Dean-Neil, a 20-year-old Pennsylvania resident who was on vacation in Chicago in August, said she opted to eat inside in the air conditioning after a day walking around in the heat. “I don’t want to sit outside and sweat,” she said.

Smoke drifting into the U.S. from Canadian wildfires also affected business at restaurants in parts of the country earlier this summer. John DuBuque, a 31-year-old management consultant from Chicago, said he tried to have a glass of wine outside during one heavily smoky period in the city, and regretted it.

“It was not the vibe,” said DuBuque, who said he now makes more outdoor dining decisions based on the air quality index.

Restaurant owners are trying to work around the weather. Sue Rigler, owner of Hundred Mile Brewing Company in Tempe, Ariz., said she is misting and putting extra fans on her outside beer chilling units to keep them cool. She has also cut back on labor in response to slower sales that she attributes to the heat.

“July was a really hard month,” Rigler said. “We finally got a break at 108, and they call that a break.”

Tom Hutchinson, owner of La Posta de Mesilla and Hacienda de Mesilla in New Mexico, said his hotel and restaurants are promoting cold beers and margaritas to attract customers. He is also hoping to keep people coming to the outdoor space surrounding their adobe building at night when temperatures may fall to the 90s.

“We don’t have humidity in our state and you can tolerate that,” he said.

Longer term, restaurant operators are trying to adjust to more climate-driven variables.

Avram Hornik, owner of the FCM Hospitality group of restaurants, bars and outdoor pop-up venues in Philadelphia, said his sales are down 30% this summer because of weeks of heat and rain. Smoky conditions in June didn’t help, he said.

“I look at it such as being a farmer. The weather controls all,” he said.

Former New Hampshire Gov. Chris Sununu delivered a warning to Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent during a recent visit to Washington: Already-high airfares will surge if the war in Iran doesn’t end soon.

Sununu, a Republican who represents some of the biggest airlines as president of the industry group Airlines for America, has for weeks sounded the alarm to Trump administration officials about the economic fallout from high jet fuel prices. The war, Sununu has argued, must come to a close soon, or things will get worse.

Administration officials have gotten the message.

Privately, President Trump’s advisers are increasingly worried that Republicans will pay a political price for the rising fuel costs, according to people familiar with the matter. Many of those advisers are eager to end the war, hoping prices will begin to moderate before November’s midterm elections.

The fallout from the U.S.-Israeli attack in late February has slowed traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, a vital shipping lane, triggering a sharp increase in oil, gasoline and jet-fuel prices.

That means consumers are grappling with high costs ahead of the summer travel season, as they consider vacation plans.

Sixty-three per cent of Americans said they put a great deal or a good amount of blame on Trump for the increase in gas prices, according to a new poll conducted by NPR, PBS and Marist.

More than 8 in 10 Americans said struggles at the gas pump are putting strain on their finances.

Jet-fuel prices roughly doubled in a matter of weeks after the war began, and they have remained high. Airlines have said that will add billions of dollars of additional expenses this year, squeezing profit margins.

U.S. airlines spent more than $5 billion on fuel in March—up 30% from a year earlier, according to government data.

Carriers have been raising ticket prices, hoping to pass the cost along to consumers, and they are culling flights that will no longer make money at higher price levels.

In March, the price of a U.S. domestic round-trip economy ticket rose 21% from a year earlier to $570, according to Airlines Reporting Corp., which tracks travel-agency sales.

So far, airlines have said the higher fares haven’t deterred bookings and they are hoping to recoup more of the fuel-cost increases as the year goes on.

Earlier this week, Trump said the current price of oil is “a very small price to pay for getting rid of a nuclear weapon from people that are really mentally deranged.”

Secretary of State Marco Rubio told reporters that if Iran got a nuclear weapon, the country would have more leverage to keep the strait closed and “make our gas prices like $9 a gallon or $8 a gallon.”

Trump has taken steps in recent days to bring the war to an end. Late Tuesday, the president paused a plan to help guide trapped commercial ships out of the Strait of Hormuz, expressing optimism that a deal could be reached with Iran to end the conflict.

Crude oil prices fell below $100 a barrel on Wednesday, after reports that Iran and the U.S. are working with mediators on a one-page framework to restart negotiations aimed at ending the conflict and opening the strait.

Sununu said Trump administration officials are conscious of the economic fallout from the war: “They get it…and I think that’s why they’re trying to get through the war as fast as they can.”

But he cautioned that it could take months for prices to return to prewar levels.

“Ticket prices won’t go down immediately” after the strait is fully reopened, Sununu said. “You’re looking at elevated ticket prices through the summer and fall because it takes a while for the prices to go down.”

Since the initial U.S.-Israeli attack in late February, Sununu has met in Washington with National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett, representatives from the Transportation Department and senior White House officials.

A White House official confirmed that Hassett and Sununu have discussed the effect of increased fuel prices on the airline industry. The official said the conversation touched on how the industry can mitigate the impact of high jet fuel prices on consumers.

“The president and his entire energy team anticipated these short-term disruptions to the global energy markets from Operation Epic Fury and had a plan prepared to mitigate these disruptions,” White House spokeswoman Taylor Rogers said, pointing to the administration’s decision to waive a century-old shipping law in a bid to lower the cost of moving oil.

Rogers said the administration is working with industry representatives to “address their concerns, explore potential actions, and inform the president’s policy decisions.”

A Treasury Department spokesman pointed to Bessent’s recent comments on Fox News that the U.S. economy remains strong despite price increases. The spokesman said Treasury officials have met with airline executives, who have reaffirmed strong ticket bookings.

“We’re cognizant that this short-term move up in prices is affecting the American people, but I am also confident, on the other side of this, prices will come down very quickly,” Bessent told Fox News on Monday.

The war has already contributed to one casualty in the industry: Spirit Airlines. Company representatives have said they were forced to close the airline because the sustained surge in jet-fuel prices derailed the company’s plan to emerge from chapter 11 bankruptcy.

The Trump administration and Spirit failed to come to an agreement for the company to receive a financial lifeline of as much as $500 million from the federal government.

Transportation Secretary Sean Duffy has argued that the Iran war wasn’t the cause of Spirit’s demise, pointing to the company’s past financial struggles, as well as the Biden administration’s decision to challenge a merger with JetBlue.

Other budget airlines have also turned to the federal government for help since the U.S.-Israeli attack. A group of budget airlines last month sought $2.5 billion in financial assistance to offset higher fuel costs, and they separately wrote to lawmakers asking for relief from certain ticket taxes.

A Table Outside? More Diners Say No Way

Restaurants say heat waves, smoke have hurt their outdoor dining business

Administration officials have spoken to the airline industry, which has voiced concerns about the rising costs.