Bearish Bets Against Markets Are Surging
Kanebridge News
    HOUSE MEDIAN ASKING PRICES AND WEEKLY CHANGE     Sydney $1,617,056 (+0.24%)       Melbourne $1,000,525 (-0.63%)       Brisbane $1,042,046 (-0.57%)       Adelaide $935,729 (-0.10%)       Perth $926,969 (+0.05%)       Hobart $747,180 (-1.31%)       Darwin $765,724 (+2.11%)       Canberra $969,015 (+0.41%)       National $1,064,466 (+0.02%)                UNIT MEDIAN ASKING PRICES AND WEEKLY CHANGE     Sydney $762,768 (+0.19%)       Melbourne $477,217 (+0.91%)       Brisbane $655,017 (-0.25%)       Adelaide $503,220 (+0.13%)       Perth $506,109 (-0.69%)       Hobart $538,123 (+0.07%)       Darwin $392,695 (+2.21%)       Canberra $507,202 (+0.63%)       National $563,984 (+0.16%)                HOUSES FOR SALE AND WEEKLY CHANGE     Sydney 11,236 (+860)       Melbourne 14,447 (+809)       Brisbane 7,855 (+165)       Adelaide 2,564 (+97)       Perth 7,208 (+167)       Hobart 1,205 (+31)       Darwin 179 (+1)       Canberra 1,172 (+79)       National 45,866 (+2,209)                UNITS FOR SALE AND WEEKLY CHANGE     Sydney 8,798 (+348)       Melbourne 6,789 (+167)       Brisbane 1,627 (+44)       Adelaide 378 (-3)       Perth 1,628 (+21)       Hobart 230 (+2)       Darwin 257 (-2)       Canberra 1,162 (+42)       National 20,869 (+619)                HOUSE MEDIAN ASKING RENTS AND WEEKLY CHANGE     Sydney $800 ($0)       Melbourne $590 (-$5)       Brisbane $650 ($0)       Adelaide $620 ($0)       Perth $700 ($0)       Hobart $570 ($0)       Darwin $760 (+$10)       Canberra $700 (+$5)       National $682 (+$2)                UNIT MEDIAN ASKING RENTS AND WEEKLY CHANGE     Sydney $750 ($0)       Melbourne $600 ($0)       Brisbane $650 ($0)       Adelaide $500 ($0)       Perth $650 ($0)       Hobart $450 ($0)       Darwin $580 (-$3)       Canberra $580 ($0)       National $608 (-$)                HOUSES FOR RENT AND WEEKLY CHANGE     Sydney 6,578 (-8)       Melbourne 8,259 (-152)       Brisbane 4,220 (-209)       Adelaide 1,555 (-25)       Perth 2,249 (-66)       Hobart 200 (-5)       Darwin 136 (-8)       Canberra 600 (-30)       National 23,797 (-503)                UNITS FOR RENT AND WEEKLY CHANGE     Sydney 10,121 (-465)       Melbourne 7,272 (-299)       Brisbane 2,271 (-100)       Adelaide 433 (+6)       Perth 693 (-24)       Hobart 84 (+1)       Darwin 193 (-22)       Canberra 582 (-14)       National 21,649 (-917)                HOUSE ANNUAL GROSS YIELDS AND TREND         Sydney 2.57% (↓)       Melbourne 3.07% (↓)     Brisbane 3.24% (↑)      Adelaide 3.45% (↑)        Perth 3.93% (↓)     Hobart 3.97% (↑)        Darwin 5.16% (↓)     Canberra 3.76% (↑)      National 3.33% (↑)             UNIT ANNUAL GROSS YIELDS AND TREND         Sydney 5.11% (↓)       Melbourne 6.54% (↓)     Brisbane 5.16% (↑)        Adelaide 5.17% (↓)     Perth 6.68% (↑)        Hobart 4.35% (↓)       Darwin 7.68% (↓)       Canberra 5.95% (↓)       National 5.60% (↓)            HOUSE RENTAL VACANCY RATES AND TREND       Sydney 2.0% (↑)      Melbourne 1.9% (↑)      Brisbane 1.4% (↑)      Adelaide 1.3% (↑)      Perth 1.2% (↑)      Hobart 1.0% (↑)      Darwin 1.6% (↑)      Canberra 2.7% (↑)      National 1.7% (↑)             UNIT RENTAL VACANCY RATES AND TREND       Sydney 2.4% (↑)      Melbourne 3.8% (↑)      Brisbane 2.0% (↑)      Adelaide 1.1% (↑)      Perth 0.9% (↑)      Hobart 1.4% (↑)      Darwin 2.8% (↑)      Canberra 2.9% (↑)      National 2.2% (↑)             AVERAGE DAYS TO SELL HOUSES AND TREND         Sydney 37.5 (↓)       Melbourne 40.0 (↓)       Brisbane 38.2 (↓)       Adelaide 33.4 (↓)     Perth 45.9 (↑)        Hobart 39.4 (↓)       Darwin 42.4 (↓)       Canberra 40.6 (↓)       National 39.7 (↓)            AVERAGE DAYS TO SELL UNITS AND TREND         Sydney 35.0 (↓)       Melbourne 40.2 (↓)       Brisbane 34.4 (↓)       Adelaide 32.0 (↓)     Perth 46.6 (↑)        Hobart 39.6 (↓)     Darwin 49.6 (↑)      Canberra 49.0 (↑)        National 40.8 (↓)           
Share Button

Bearish Bets Against Markets Are Surging

Investors are loading up their bets against a number of big tech stocks, positioning for a reversal.

By KAREN LANGLEY
Wed, Feb 23, 2022 11:18amGrey Clock 3 min

Investors are wagering that the recent pain in markets will intensify.

Stocks dropped sharply in another wild session Tuesday after Russia deployed troops into two breakaway areas of Ukraine, escalating tensions in the region. The S&P 500 ended the day down 1%, extending the losses from its January record to more than 10% and meeting the criteria of a market correction. The index hadn’t suffered a similar decline since February 2020.

Short sellers have been adding to their positions against the SPDR S&P 500 Exchange-Traded Fund Trust, which tracks the broad U.S. stock index, at the fastest rate in nearly a year. Other investors are scooping up at record pace options contracts that would pay out if the recent declines in the stock and bond markets worsen.

The escalating geopolitical tensions come at a time when a surge in inflation and uncertainty about the pace of the Federal Reserve’s expected interest-rate increases have already whipsawed financial markets to start the year. Earnings growth, meanwhile, is expected to moderate from its red-hot pace in 2021, when profits were being compared with their knocked-down levels during the early stages of the pandemic.

The S&P 500 is down 9.7% in 2022, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite has tumbled 14%. In the bond market, benchmark borrowing costs rose above 2% earlier this month for the first time since mid-2019.

“Sentiment is really poor,” said Danny Kirsch, head of options at Piper Sandler, who said he has noticed more clients opting for hedges recently. “People are nervous.”

Short sellers added $8.6 billion to their positions against the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust over the four weeks through Thursday, according to projections from technology and data analytics company S3 Partners. That amount would be the highest since a four-week period ending in early March 2021.

Short sellers borrow shares and sell them, with a plan to repurchase them at lower prices and pocket the difference. Investors shorting the market may be placing an outright bet that stocks will fall or reducing their exposure to a market downturn while betting that particular stocks will outperform.

Jordan Kahn, chief investment officer at ACM Funds, said his firm has been trimming its positions in stocks in one of its strategies while adding to short positions against exchange-traded funds that track the broad market.

Mr. Kahn said he grew concerned near the end of 2021 when he saw that individual stocks were selling off, while the largest stocks kept major indexes afloat.

“That’s kind of a red flag for us,” he said. “We think that the most likely scenario is that those big stocks that haven’t had as big a correction yet will probably at some point play catch-up to the downside.”

Investors are loading up their bets against a number of big tech stocks that led the way higher in recent years, positioning for a reversal. Investors added $1.3 billion to their short positions against Tesla Inc. over the 30 days through Friday and almost $844 million to their bets against Nvidia Corp., according to S3 Partners. They have been trimming their bets, by contrast, against Bank of America Corp., Apple Inc. and Texas Instruments Inc.

Nvidia shares have fallen 20% in 2022 but are still up 63% over the past year. Tesla is down 22% this year but is up 15% from a year ago. Both stocks have skyrocketed since the end of 2019.

Many traders have stepped in to buy the stock market dips, despite the volatility. However, traders have also been tapping other options strategies to profit from the downturn or hedge their portfolios. Three out of five of the most active days for put options trading in history have occurred in the first weeks of 2022, according to Cboe Global Markets data as of Friday.

Call options on single stocks as a percentage of total options activity recently fell to the lowest level since April 2020, when the Covid-19 pandemic was first spreading through the U.S., according to Goldman Sachs Group Inc.

For much of last year, turbocharged bullish bets on stocks were in vogue, and many traders rode the S&P 500’s ascent to 70 fresh highs.

Calls give the right to buy shares at a later time, by a stated date. Puts confer the right to sell.

Investors are also hedging against potential declines in the bond market. The prospect of higher interest rates has triggered a rush out of bonds, with outflows from money-market and bond funds on pace to be the biggest in at least seven years.

The number of put options outstanding tied to the iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF, which goes by the ticker HYG, and iShares iBoxx $ Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF, or LQD, recently jumped to the highest level on record, according to Barclays PLC.

To some traders, the dour sentiment can be an opportunity to capitalize on any rebound.

Julien Stouff, founder of hedge-fund firm Stouff Capital in Geneva, Switzerland, said he placed short-term bullish bets on stocks in January around the time he noticed many traders growing more pessimistic on the market. Recently, he has taken a neutral stance through the options market.

“This fear normally creates a buying opportunity,” he said.



MOST POPULAR
11 ACRES ROAD, KELLYVILLE, NSW

This stylish family home combines a classic palette and finishes with a flexible floorplan

35 North Street Windsor

Just 55 minutes from Sydney, make this your creative getaway located in the majestic Hawkesbury region.

Related Stories
Money
Tech Giants Double Down on Their Massive AI Spending
By NATE RATTNER AND JASON DEAN 07/02/2025
Money
OpenAI in Talks for Huge Investment Round Valuing It Up to $300 Billion
By BERBER JIN and DEEPA SEETHARAMAN 31/01/2025
Money
DeepSeek Deep Sixes the Stock Market. How Far the S&P 500 Could Fall
By PAUL R. LA MONICA 28/01/2025
Tech Giants Double Down on Their Massive AI Spending

Amazon, Google, Microsoft and Meta pour billions into artificial intelligence, undeterred by DeepSeek’s rise

By NATE RATTNER AND JASON DEAN
Fri, Feb 7, 2025 3 min

Tech giants projected tens of billions of dollars in increased investment this year and sent a stark message about their plans for AI: We’re just getting started.

The four biggest spenders on the data centers that power artificial-intelligence systems all said in recent days that they would jack up investments further in 2025 after record outlays last year. Microsoft , Google and Meta Platforms have projected combined capital expenditures of at least $215 billion for their current fiscal years, an annual increase of more than 45%.

Amazon.com didn’t provide a full-year estimate but indicated on Thursday that total capex across its businesses is on course to grow to more than $100 billion, and said most of the increase will be for AI.

Their comments in recent quarterly earnings reports showed the AI arms race is still gaining momentum despite investor anxiety over the impact of China’s DeepSeek and whether these big U.S. companies will sufficiently profit from their unprecedented spending spree.

Investors have been especially shaken that DeepSeek replicated much of the capability of leading American AI systems despite spending less money and using fewer and less-powerful chips, according to its Chinese developer. Leaders of the U.S. companies were unbowed , touting advances in their own technology and arguing that lower costs will make AI more affordable and grow the demand for their cloud computing services, which AI needs to operate.

“We think virtually every application that we know of today is going to be reinvented with AI inside of it,” Amazon Chief Executive Andy Jassy said on Thursday’s earnings call.

Here is a breakdown of each company’s plans:

Amazon said a measure of its capex that includes leased equipment rose to a record of about $26 billion in the final quarter of 2024 , driven by spending in its cloud-computing division on equipment for data centers that host AI applications. Executives projected it would maintain the fourth-quarter spending volume in 2025, meaning an annual total of more than $100 billion by that measure.

The company—which gets most of its revenue from e-commerce and most of its profit from cloud computing—also projected overall sales for the current quarter that missed analysts’ expectations. Its shares slid about 4% in after-hours trading Thursday. The stock rose more than 40% in 2024 and was up nearly 9% this year before its earnings report.

Jassy said AI has the potential to propel historic change and that Amazon wants to be a leader of that progress.

“AI represents for sure the biggest opportunity since cloud and probably the biggest technology shift and opportunity in business since the internet,” Jassy said.

Google shares are down about 7% since its earnings report Tuesday, which showed disappointing growth in its cloud-computing business. Still, parent-company Alphabet said it is accelerating investments in AI data centers as part of a surge in capital expenditures this year to about $75 billion, from $52.5 billion in 2024. The spending will go to infrastructure both for Google’s own use and for cloud-computing clients.

“I think part of the reason we are so excited about the AI opportunity is we know we can drive extraordinary use cases because the cost of actually using it is going to keep coming down,” said CEO Sundar Pichai .

AI is “as big as it comes, and that’s why you’re seeing us invest to meet that moment,” he said.

Microsoft has said it plans to spend $80 billion on AI data centers in the fiscal year ending in June, and that spending would grow further next year , albeit at a slower pace.

Chief Executive Satya Nadella said AI will become much more extensively used , which he said is good news. “As AI becomes more efficient and accessible, we will see exponentially more demand,” Nadella said.

Growth for Microsoft’s cloud-computing business in the latest quarter also disappointed investors, leaving its stock down about 6% since its earnings report last week.

Meta, too, outlined a sizable increase in its investments driven by AI, including $60 billion to $65 billion in planned capital expenditures this year, roughly 70% higher than analysts had projected. Shares in Meta are up about 5% since its earnings report last week.

CEO Mark Zuckerberg said investing vast sums will enable it to adjust the technology as AI advances.

“That’s generally an advantage that we’re now going to be able to provide a higher quality of service than others who don’t necessarily have the business model to support it on a sustainable basis,” he said.

MOST POPULAR
11 ACRES ROAD, KELLYVILLE, NSW

This stylish family home combines a classic palette and finishes with a flexible floorplan

35 North Street Windsor

Just 55 minutes from Sydney, make this your creative getaway located in the majestic Hawkesbury region.

Related Stories
Money
Top 5 ways to stay safe online — and avoid the holiday horror stories
By KANEBRIDGE NEWS 19/12/2024
Money
Stock Futures Are Little Changed Ahead of Jobs Data
By JANET H. CHO 06/01/2025
Money
China Pumps Up Support for Country’s Stock Markets
By TRACY QU 23/01/2025
0
    Your Cart
    Your cart is emptyReturn to Shop