Elon Musk’s Twitter Poll Results Favour Tesla Stock Sale

Twitter users said Elon Musk should sell 10% of his Tesla Inc. TSLA -0.64% stock, a stake valued at about US$21 billion, after the chief executive polled them and pledged to abide by the outcome of the vote.

Voters backed the share sale by a wide margin, with roughly 58% in favour of a sale and 42% opposed, according to the polling data posted on Twitter. More than 3.5 million votes were cast.

“I was prepared to accept either outcome,” Mr. Musk tweeted after the poll closed.

Mr. Musk on Saturday put the potential share sale up for popular vote on the social-media platform as he waded back into the debate over how some of the wealthiest Americans should be taxed.

“Much is made lately of unrealized gains being a means of tax avoidance, so I propose selling 10% of my Tesla stock,” he tweeted as he launched the poll, adding, “I will abide by the results of this poll, whichever way it goes.”

Mr. Musk holds more than 17% of Tesla, a stake valued at over US$200 billion, according to the most recent available data in FactSet. One-tenth of that stake could be worth around $21 billion based on the stock’s Friday closing price of $1,222.09.

Mr. Musk and Tesla didn’t immediately respond to requests for comment after polling closed.

Mr. Musk doesn’t accept a cash salary from Tesla. His compensation package entitles him to stock awards. He typically doesn’t sell stock, though he has done so to cover taxes on past stock options. Tesla’s performance has entitled Mr. Musk to additional stock options this year. Selling shares he already holds could help the cash-poor billionaire exercise some of his vested options.

If Mr. Musk were to sell stock, now could be a good time. The current top tax rate on long-term capital gains is 23.8%, but Congress has been considering raising it. Changes in capital-gains tax rates often take effect immediately, to prevent gamesmanship.

Tesla shares have risen about 75% over the last three months.

Investors sometimes interpret stock sales by corporate insiders as a sign that leadership lacks confidence in the company. Neither Mr. Musk nor Tesla have said when a share sale would take place.

People who said they voted on the issue voiced a myriad of reasons for their decision. Luke Ma, a Tesla investor in the San Francisco Bay Area, said he took Mr. Musk’s willingness to sell shares as a sign that the billionaire is confident the stock can weather such a sale. “For shareholders, I think this is a test,” said Mr. Ma, a 45-year-old engineer who said he voted in favour of a sale.

Tesla investor Brian Teeter of Irvine, Calif., said he voted Sunday against a stock sale in part out of concern that if Mr. Musk were to unload shares, it could sink the company’s stock price. “I don’t necessarily like to see an artificial stimulus suddenly disrupt a stock’s price,” said Mr. Teeter, who is 68 and writes travel guidebooks.

Mr. Musk routinely makes unusual pronouncements on Twitter, where he now has more than 62 million followers.

Last week, the Tesla boss raised doubt about a deal between the car maker and Hertz Global Holdings Inc. when he tweeted that no contract had been signed in connection with the car-rental company’s announcement of a 100,000-car order. Last year, he tweeted that he thought Tesla’s stock was too high, sending shares lower. In 2018, he tweeted he might take Tesla private and had “funding secured” for the deal, spurring a Securities and Exchange Commission investigation. Mr. Musk agreed to pay a $20 million fine and relinquish his chairman title.

“Some people use their hair to express themselves. I use Twitter,” Mr. Musk said at a recent conference.

Mr. Musk, considered the world’s richest person after a surge in the value of his Tesla stock, previously blasted a proposed tax on billionaires that would have subjected some holdings of about 700 Americans to annual capital-gains taxes on increases in value.

“Eventually, they run out of other people’s money and then they come for you,” Mr. Musk wrote on Twitter last month.

The plan would have taxed the billionaires’ unrealized gains on publicly traded assets, so they would have owed tax annually on rising values whether the assets were sold or not. (Losses would have offset gains.) This change would have effectively eliminated the billionaires’ ability to defer capital-gains taxes indefinitely.

The plan drew strong opposition and was dropped soon after it was proposed in late October. Opponents feared that the tax could be broadened to apply to the assets of less-wealthy taxpayers, among other things.

In a tweet Saturday he said, “the only way for me to pay taxes personally is to sell stock.”

Mr. Musk’s poll drew a response Saturday from Senate Finance Committee Chairman Ron Wyden. “Whether or not the world’s wealthiest man pays any taxes at all shouldn’t depend on the results of a Twitter poll,” the Democrat from Oregon said in a statement in which the lawmaker voiced support for a tax on the income of billionaires.

Mr. Musk in September said he “would prefer to stay out of politics” after Texas Gov. Greg Abbott, a Republican, said the billionaire supported the state’s social policies. Mr. Musk, who has since said he would move Tesla’s corporate headquarters from California to Texas, has become increasingly critical of the Biden administration after his car company wasn’t invited to a White House event aimed at accelerating the adoption of electric vehicles.

Selling shares could weaken Mr. Musk’s control over Tesla. Unlike Facebook parent Meta Platforms Inc. and Google parent Alphabet Inc., Tesla lacks a dual-class of stock ownership that gives founders supervoting power over common shareholders.

Mr. Musk has some personal loan obligations pledged against his Tesla stock, according to a company regulatory filing.

Australia is in the midst of a ‘baby recession’ with preliminary estimates showing the number of births in 2023 fell by more than four percent to the lowest level since 2006, according to KPMG. The consultancy firm says this reflects the impact of cost-of-living pressures on the feasibility of younger Australians starting a family.

KPMG estimates that 289,100 babies were born in 2023. This compares to 300,684 babies in 2022 and 309,996 in 2021, according to the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS). KPMG urban economist Terry Rawnsley said weak economic growth often leads to a reduced number of births. In 2023, ABS data shows gross domestic product (GDP) fell to 1.5 percent. Despite the population growing by 2.5 percent in 2023, GDP on a per capita basis went into negative territory, down one percent over the 12 months.

“Birth rates provide insight into long-term population growth as well as the current confidence of Australian families,” said Mr Rawnsley. “We haven’t seen such a sharp drop in births in Australia since the period of economic stagflation in the 1970s, which coincided with the initial widespread adoption of the contraceptive pill.”

Mr Rawnsley said many Australian couples delayed starting a family while the pandemic played out in 2020. The number of births fell from 305,832 in 2019 to 294,369 in 2020. Then in 2021, strong employment and vast amounts of stimulus money, along with high household savings due to lockdowns, gave couples better financial means to have a baby. This led to a rebound in births.

However, the re-opening of the global economy in 2022 led to soaring inflation. By the start of 2023, the Australian consumer price index (CPI) had risen to its highest level since 1990 at 7.8 percent per annum. By that stage, the Reserve Bank had already commenced an aggressive rate-hiking strategy to fight inflation and had raised the cash rate every month between May and December 2022.

Five more rate hikes during 2023 put further pressure on couples with mortgages and put the brakes on family formation. “This combination of the pandemic and rapid economic changes explains the spike and subsequent sharp decline in birth rates we have observed over the past four years,” Mr Rawnsley said.

The impact of high costs of living on couples’ decision to have a baby is highlighted in births data for the capital cities. KPMG estimates there were 60,860 births in Sydney in 2023, down 8.6 percent from 2019. There were 56,270 births in Melbourne, down 7.3 percent. In Perth, there were 25,020 births, down 6 percent, while in Brisbane there were 30,250 births, down 4.3 percent. Canberra was the only capital city where there was no fall in the number of births in 2023 compared to 2019.

“CPI growth in Canberra has been slightly subdued compared to that in other major cities, and the economic outlook has remained strong,” Mr Rawnsley said. “This means families have not been hurting as much as those in other capital cities, and in turn, we’ve seen a stabilisation of births in the ACT.”

Elon Musk’s Twitter Poll Results Favour Tesla Stock Sale

Billionaire CEO pledged to abide by vote’s outcome.

Continued stagflation and cost of living pressures are causing couples to think twice about starting a family, new data has revealed, with long term impacts expected