How Australian spending patterns are changing
There’s a rhythm to the way we choose to spend our money — and businesses are taking notice
2 min
October was the month for going out and partying, November saw spending on fashion spike while December shoppers will be turning to credit to have a happy Christmas.
That’s the pattern of spending by Australian consumers for the past three months according to recently released data.
Research from the Commonwealth Bank showed spending on ticketing services rose by 27 percent over October, with tickets to concerts by Oasis, Luke Combs, Metallica and even the F1 in Melbourne proving irresistible for many Australians looking to enjoy themselves.
In November, Black Friday sales — a retail event borrowed from the United States to bridge the day between Thanksgiving and the following Monday — have become a strong feature in Australia in recent years. While the sales events can begin at the start of the month and last for weeks rather than days, the Commonwealth Bank noted 8 of the 12 Household Spending Insights experienced an uptick over the month. This was led by women’s and men’s fashion, with shoppers hoping to take advantage of sales ahead of Christmas.
CBA Chief Economist Stephen Halmarick said in a year where cost of living pressures have been felt across Australian households, the possibility of securing a bargain moved Christmas spending forward.
“We’re seeing Black Friday and holiday spending shift earlier as retailers entice shoppers with early discounts on discretionary items,” Mr Halmarick said. “Collectively, sales for October and November 2024 were up 2 per cent compared to the same period last year.”
With Christmas Day a little over a week away, research by Roy Morgan, commissioned by the Australian Retailers Association showed more than half of Australian shoppers had begun their Christmas spend as early as October. The research also found that Australians are expected to spend $11.8 billion on presents this year, an increase of $1.6 billion on 2023.
Financial comparison service Finder research indicated more Australians will be leaning on credit to cover the shortfall in their budgets this year. The survey of 1009 respondents showed 26 percent regretted not saving more for Christmas, while a further 14 percent felt they had not saved enough.
In contrast, 34 percent revealed they had no need to set aside money for the holidays while another 26 percent had implemented a savings plan over the year to cover costs.
Sarah Megginson, personal finance expert Finder, said Australians struggling with Christmas expenses should avoid racking up debt on credit and instead focus on ways of trimming down costs.
“Many families have very little wiggle room in their budgets this festive season after a surge in living costs,” she said. “When you’re in this situation, planning and comparing to get the best deals and discounts is crucial.
“Avoid extending yourself and ending up with a credit card balance you’re struggling to pay off once the tree has been packed away.”
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Gold miners are emerging as a compelling way to navigate market uncertainty, with analysts pointing to strong cash flows, attractive valuations and rising profit margins. As gold prices stabilize above US$4,000 an ounce, mining stocks could offer investors both downside protection and long-term upside.
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Gold is one of the market’s go-to hedges in rocky times. Don’t forget that gold miners’ stocks are too.
The stock market’s gains in 2026 belie the rocky macroeconomic picture: elevated inflation, heightened geopolitical tensions, and jitters about the artificial-intelligence trade. That backdrop, in theory, should be the time for gold to shine. Instead, the price of the yellow metal has tumbled more than 5% so far, after last year’s blistering 65% rally. In part, the U.S. dollar’s recovery has stymied gold, which benefited from the greenback’s weakness in 2025.
Even with the precious metal’s recent weakness, gold mining stocks could be the best way to profit from this year’s uncertainty.
Gold miners “are a valuable hedge against macro risks that would likely be damaging for equities,” BCA Research’s Noah Weisberger and Rishabh Shah wrote this week.
Concerns about the Federal Reserve’s next moves to tackle inflation, the increasingly crowded AI trade, and steep valuations for tech stocks are just some of the drivers that could help gold’s price get on even footing— and lead to even bigger gains for miner stocks.
These stocks’ prices tend to outpace gold’s moves, because the companies have fixed operational costs. So when gold’s price rallies, their profit margins soar, and vice versa. For instance, the VanEck Gold Miners GDX +7.39% exchange-traded fund has fallen 11% this year as the metal has slumped.
Now, gold’s price just needs to stabilize to help miners’ stocks take off, and that seems to be happening. The precious metal has recently found support above the $4,000 level, and has stuck in a narrow range since the end of June. But its price rose ever so slightly in July, ending a four-month losing streak for the metal. Technical analysis also suggests that gold is due for a comeback.
Barron’s recently wrote that the pullbacks for both gold miners and the metal itself are overdone. Senior technical analyst Doug Busch noted that the VanEck ETF is on the “verge of a breakout” and has the potential to hit $11o in early 2027, up more than 40% from its current price.
Gold miners also have more than their role as a market hedge going for them. Their fundamentals are solid, too, says Chris Mancini, portfolio co-manager of the Gabelli Gold Fund.
“Precious metals miners are generating substantial amounts of free cash flow given profit margins of over $2,000 per ounce, and are returning this cash to shareholders through buybacks and dividends,” he said in an email.
“Buying the miners is a cheap way to get exposure to the price of gold,” he added. His fund owns Newmont NEM +6.71%, a Barron’s stock pick last year, and Agnico Eagle Mines as top holdings, as well as miners Northern Star Resources, Endeavour Mining, and Kinross Gold K+8.59%.
Miners are better businesses than they used to be, the BCA team added.
“Capex is more disciplined, margins are high and rising…and they are largely independent of the AI story,” Weisberger, BCA’s head of equities, and Shah, a senior analyst, wrote.
That last part is key. AI is disrupting the software industry and many other services and information-oriented businesses, and investors have piled into AI stocks. But ChatGPT, Claude, Grok, and other large-language models aren’t going to replace the need to mine for metals.
“Equity portfolios can benefit from exposure to quality that is uncorrelated to AI risk, and gold miners fit the bill,” the BCA team said.
They recommend that investors buy the VanEck Gold Miners ETF, which owns top miners such as Agnico, Barrick Mining ABX +7.24%, and Newmont.
An important bonus for big gold miners’ stocks is that their valuations are attractive after the gold’s pullback, too. The VanEck ETF is now trading at just a little more than nine times next year’s earnings estimates. That’s a big discount to its five-year average price-to-earnings ratio of 14, according to FactSet.
What’s more, the ETF is currently valued at a more than 50% discount to the S&P 500 SPX -0.17%, which is trading for about 19 times earnings estimates for 2027. Mining stocks have typically traded at just a 25% discount to the broader market over the past five years. So there is significant upside for the group if valuations move back toward normal levels.
One factor that complicates mining stocks as a market hedge, of course, is if stocks bounce back, which has been the case so far in August.
But both the market and economic outlooks remain cloudy, and investors remain nervous about the Fed’s next moves and AI stocks. Gold miners should do just fine, even if the anxious mood on Wall Street persists.
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