Iger Lays Out Vision for Disney’s Future
CEO says streaming, parks, studios and ESPN are the building blocks of the company
4 min
Nearly a year after returning to Disney as chief executive, Bob Iger laid out his vision of the company’s future, putting streaming and live entertainment at the centre, fed by a studio business that he plans to personally help reinvent.
Iger told investors in a fourth-quarter earnings call that Disney will focus on four “building blocks” that provide the foundation for future growth: streaming, theme parks and cruises, studios and the ESPN sports network.
Disney said Wednesday it would slash $2 billion more in costs than previously planned as the company sharply narrowed losses in its streaming business.
There are still major challenges to overcome. Disney’s streaming business has lost nearly $11 billion since the launch of Disney+ in late 2019. Its movie studio is in the midst of a box-office slump that has been exacerbated by delays caused by Hollywood strikes, and ESPN is looking for strategic partners as it plans to eventually transform into a streaming-only business by 2025.
“A lot of time and effort was spent on fixing in the last year,” Iger said during a conference call Wednesday. The company’s progress means Disney can “move beyond this period of fixing and begin building our businesses again,” he said.
Iger said the studio would focus more on quality than quantity and that it lost some of its focus during and after the pandemic. “We’re all rolling up our sleeves, including myself, to do just that,” he said.
Some of Disney’s core franchises, including its Marvel superhero movies and series, have struggled to attract big audiences to theaters in recent years.
Lucasfilm, the Disney-owned studio behind the lucrative and popular “Star Wars” movies, hasn’t released a feature film since 2019 and doesn’t have one in production currently, meaning it will likely be several years before the next one comes out. And Pixar, the marquee computer animation studio that has dominated the box office for the last several decades, has had a series of box-office flops.
The common thread underlying Disney’s recent challenges and potential opportunities is the transition from traditional media like film and legacy TV to streaming, which has upended Hollywood’s business model and roiled nearly every entertainment company.
In his comments Wednesday, Iger stressed the importance of getting streaming right. The company’s main streaming service, Disney+, added 6.9 million “core” subscribers—those in North America and other markets such as Europe and Asia, excluding India, where it is able to charge higher subscription prices—in the most recent quarter, about twice what Wall Street analysts polled by FactSet predicted. Disney+ added 500,000 domestic subscribers.
The company highlighted the popularity on Disney+ of recent movies including “Elemental,” the Marvel superhero film “Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3” and the recent live-action remake of “The Little Mermaid.”
“One thing that we have recently really come to appreciate is the performance of our big title films,” Iger said. The strength of its films on streaming means Disney can spend less on TV series, which is a differentiator for the company, Iger said.
The entertainment giant said Wednesday it is seeking $7.5 billion in cost cuts, up from the $5.5 billion it targeted at the beginning of this year.
Disney reported that its streaming business is making progress in narrowing its losses. The business, which also includes Hulu and ESPN+, lost $387 million in the most recent quarter, down from $1.47 billion a year earlier. The company reiterated that it believes streaming will break even by next September.
Disney has begun reporting more detailed results from its ESPN sports network as it seeks strategic partners to invest in the flagship sports network’s future.
ESPN’s operating income for fiscal 2023 fell 1.7% to $2.8 billion, while revenue rose 2% to $16.4 billion. Disney owns 80% of ESPN through a joint venture with Hearst, and Iger has said the company is working to transform the network into a fully direct-to-consumer platform, with live sports and other sports content streamed to consumers outside the cable bundle.
Excluding ESPN, Disney’s traditional TV networks saw revenue fall 9.1% for the quarter to $2.62 billion. Operating income from the networks was flat at $805 million.
During a CNBC interview Wednesday, Iger said the company has been considering strategic options for each of its TV networks, though “not necessarily all of them,” and has been reviewing its TV operations for opportunities to reduce costs and improve the business. This past summer, he said the legacy networks may not be core to Disney, suggesting it could sell them.
Other bright spots in Wednesday’s quarterly earnings included Disney’s experiences segment, which includes theme parks, cruise ships, a family-adventure travel-guide business and merchandise licensing. The unit’s operating income rose 31% from the year-earlier quarter to $1.76 billion. Disney has raised prices at its theme parks and announced major investments in its cruise ship business in the hopes of capitalising on rising demand for in-person entertainment experiences.
The entertainment giant, which just passed its 100th birthday, generated sales of $21.2 billion for the quarter, up 5% from a year earlier. Revenue for the period was slightly below the $21.4 billion predicted by analysts polled by FactSet.
Disney’s net income rose to $264 million in the September quarter, from $162 million a year earlier. Disney’s earnings per share, excluding certain items, were 82 cents, beating Wall Street’s projections by 11 cents.
Disney shares rose nearly 3% in after-hours trading. Before the earnings report, the stock had fallen 2.7% in 2023.
Overall, Disney+ ended the quarter with 150.2 million global subscribers, including those signed up to its Hotstar service in India. That service has shed millions of customers over the last year after Disney lost a bidding war for the rights to stream matches from a popular cricket league, and Disney is exploring a sale of its India unit, The Journal has reported.
Although the company fended off an activist campaign by Nelson Peltz earlier this year, Iger now faces the specter of another battle.
The Wall Street Journal reported in October that Peltz’s Trian Fund Management is planning a fresh push for board seats. Billionaire and former Marvel executive Isaac “Ike” Perlmutter has said he has entrusted his stake in Disney to Trian for that effort, giving the investment fund control over a stake worth upward of $2.5 billion.
Iger said in the CNBC interview that he had spoken recently with Peltz but he doesn’t “know what Nelson is really after.”
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Nvidia’s earnings will test Wall Street’s confidence in the AI boom.
3 min
Chip makers are fighting to assure investors that the artificial-intelligence boom is racing forward. Wall Street might not believe it until Nvidia’s NVDA -0.98%decrease; down pointing triangle Jensen Huang says so.
When Huang steps up to the mic for his company’s earnings call Wednesday, he will have the world’s attention. What he says about Nvidia’s present will preview the future of AI, dictate the path forward for a tech-crazed stock market and influence an American economy increasingly tethered to hopes that the boom won’t go bust.
The $5 trillion chip maker has provided the key building blocks for AI since the launch of ChatGPT in 2022 set off a race for dominance among OpenAI, Anthropic and established Silicon Valley giants. Now, as Nvidia backstops sprawling data-center projects and an exotic money pipeline to boost chip demand, the company’s influence is arguably bigger than ever.
But there are signs of trouble ahead. Political pushback to AI is growing. A bond selloff propelled borrowing costs to their highest levels in years. The hyperscalers that include some of Nvidia’s key customers—once cash-printing machines—are relying more on debt. OpenAI recently told investors its revenue rose by a tepid 18% in the second quarter while its losses deepened.
Nvidia is increasingly stepping in to shore up potential weak points across the market. Earlier this month, the company teamed up with six of Wall Street’s biggest firms on a $500 billion AI-financing plan, pledging to backstop lending to customers that can’t afford its chips otherwise. The chip maker last week also took a stake in Cloverleaf Infrastructure, which arranges power for data centers, and struck a $6 billion deal with startup Poolside aimed at developing a powerful open-weight AI model.
After watching shares in other chip makers and the so-called Magnificent Seven tech companies swing wildly in recent months, Wall Street is hoping Nvidia can beat expectations—again. The countdown is on.
“It’s kind of becoming more and more like the World Cup final than the Super Bowl at this point,” said Brian Mulberry, chief market strategist at Zacks Investment Management. “It’s just gotten to be that big.”
The company has smashed analysts’ earnings estimates for each of the 14 quarters since the AI boom kicked into high gear. Nvidia posted 210% annual growth in net income in its last three-month period, according to FactSet, making Wall Street’s 126% projection look pedestrian.
Expectations for a blowout second quarter have risen rapidly over the course of this year. All Nvidia will have to do to beat this target: outrun 95% annual earnings growth to more than $51.5 billion. Analysts project the chip maker will report record sales of $92 billion for the period, up from a forecast of $78 billion at the start of this year.
In July, big-tech earnings sparked volatility. Concerns about runaway capital spending spread across the sector after Alphabet’s and Tesla’s results, driving a $890 billion wipeout that contributed to the unwind of hedge fund Situational Awareness. Microsoft posted the largest one-day gain in market capitalization by any company, ever, after a quarter proving that it could still show investors the money. SpaceX rocketed higher after a record-breaking initial public offering, only to see $1 trillion in value evaporate.
Surging memory prices and borrowing costs have fueled fears that those and other companies will be unable to keep plowing more money into supplies including Nvidia chips. Shaia Hosseinzadeh, founder of OnyxPoint Global Management, has recently bought dips in AI-infrastructure stocks when Wall Street has strained to absorb massive debt issued by Silicon Valley.
“The macro data is really quite robust,” he said. “Of course, there’s a level at which everything breaks.”
Investors have kept pumping money into the AI trade despite concerns around chip consumers—and to the benefit of chip producers. That is why Nvidia’s outlook for semiconductor demand could send ripples through counterparts such as Micron Technology and Sandisk, developers of the data centers in which their chips reside, and a supply chain of power producers, contractors and other specialists that underpin the globe-spanning AI build-out.
“We joke internally that we’re all Nvidia analysts now,” said David Lefkowitz, head of U.S. equities at UBS Global Wealth Management.
The irony is that investors have tended to sell Nvidia stock immediately after blockbuster earnings, with shares falling each trading session after its four past quarterly reports. Some are betting that will be the case this time around, too.
The options market is pricing in a 5.3% swing, higher or lower, in Nvidia shares during the session following earnings, according to Option Research & Technology Services. That is higher than the 4.8% average move in Nvidia’s stock over the last 12 months after the company reports quarterly results.
In recent days, some of the most actively traded Nvidia options have been put contracts tied to the stock falling from its Friday value of $214.75 to $205 and $210 apiece, according to Cboe Global Markets data. Put options give the right to sell a stock by a set price and typically represent a bearish wager.
Many analysts remain optimistic. Frank Lee, global head of tech hardware and semiconductor research at HSBC Global Investment Research, recently raised his price target for Nvidia shares to $360 from $325, citing, among other things, Nvidia’s strategic partnerships with suppliers and its role as a top contributor to open-source AI.
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