The wealthy took a big hit last year.
The global population of billionaires sank for the first time since 2018, dropping 3.5% to 3,194, while their wealth declined by 5.5% to US$11 trillion, London-based Altrata, a data firm focused on the rich, reported in its annual Billionaire Census earlier this week.
The drop in wealth was the second-largest fall in the last decade, although Altrata noted that it only partially offset a double-digit jump in billionaire wealth in 2021. The company’s report draws from data collected by its Wealth-X unit.
Zooming out, the global population of those with US$1 million or more in assets fell by 3.3% to 21.7 million individuals, while their wealth sank by 3.6% to US$83 trillion, Paris-based Capgemini, an information technology and services consulting company, said in its annual World Wealth Report released on Thursday. The drops are the biggest in 10 years, Capgemini said.
The population of the ultra-rich, those with at least US$30 million in assets, fell the most, sinking 4.6% last year after a 9.6% surge in 2021, the company said. The wealth of this group of 210,000 individuals fell by 3.7% last year.
Altrata noted that billionaires represent just 0.8% of those with at least $30 million or more in net worth, yet they have a 24% share of this group’s total wealth.
Both Altrata and Capgemini credit slumping economies, falling stock markets, rising interest rates, and geopolitical tensions as contributing to the declines. The reports also both noted that many of the world’s richest responded by turning to wealth preservation strategies.
Among billionaires, this had mixed results, Altrata said. Those who made their money in technology, healthcare, and real estate lost more than 5% of their wealth last year, while those whose wealth accumulated through aerospace and defense, construction and engineering, and food and beverage, saw their fortunes rise, the company said.
According to Capgemini, two-thirds of those with US$1 million or more turned to wealth preservation by cutting their stock holdings by nearly six percentage points to 23% of their total portfolios and boosting their cash and cash-equivalent holdings by almost 10 percentage points to 34% as of January this year.
While global and domestic economies, capital markets, and currency movements affect all the rich, Altrata noted that gains or losses are also due to individual strategies for business and investments, wealth planning, taxes, and philanthropy.
“No billionaire’s asset structure is the same as another’s, and the impact on their wealth will be different for each person,” the report said.
The Billionaire Census also reported that the richest of all, those with US$50 billion or more, lost 23.2% of their wealth, while those at the bottom of the pyramid, with US$1 billion to US$2 billion in assets (representing just over half of all billionaires), lost 3.2%.
Most billionaires, 955, live in the U.S., although the population dropped by 2.1% last year. There are 357 billionaires in China, down by 10.8% and 173 in Germany, down by 1.7%. The only population gains reported last year were in Singapore, which now has 54 billionaires, up by four; and in Moscow, which has 76 billionaires, up by one.
The average age of the world’s billionaires is 67, with those under 50 accounting for just 10% of the total, Altrata said. There are more female billionaires under 50 than over, although they comprise just under one-fifth of the under-50 group.
While the population of rich individuals, and their total wealth, dropped in Europe, Asia Pacific, and North America last year, both the population of the rich and their wealth rose in Africa, Latin America, and the Middle East, Capgemini said.
The number of rich in Latin America rose by 4.7% as their wealth increased by 2.1%; Africa’s rich gained 4.3% new members who combined wealth increased by 1.6%, while the Middle East’s rich gained 2.8% new members as their wealth rose by 1.5%, Capgemini said.
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New research suggests spending 40 percent of household income on loan repayments is the new normal
Requiring more than 30 percent of household income to service a home loan has long been considered the benchmark for ‘housing stress’. Yet research shows it is becoming the new normal. The 2024 ANZ CoreLogic Housing Affordability Report reveals home loans on only 17 percent of homes are ‘serviceable’ if serviceability is limited to 30 percent of the median national household income.
Based on 40 percent of household income, just 37 percent of properties would be serviceable on a mortgage covering 80 percent of the purchase price. ANZ CoreLogic suggest 40 may be the new 30 when it comes to home loan serviceability. “Looking ahead, there is little prospect for the mortgage serviceability indicator to move back into the 30 percent range any time soon,” says the report.
“This is because the cash rate is not expected to be cut until late 2024, and home values have continued to rise, even amid relatively high interest rate settings.” ANZ CoreLogic estimate that home loan rates would have to fall to about 4.7 percent to bring serviceability under 40 percent.
CoreLogic has broken down the actual household income required to service a home loan on a 6.27 percent interest rate for an 80 percent loan based on current median house and unit values in each capital city. As expected, affordability is worst in the most expensive property market, Sydney.
Sydney
Sydney’s median house price is $1,414,229 and the median unit price is $839,344.
Based on 40 percent serviceability, households need a total income of $211,456 to afford a home loan for a house and $125,499 for a unit. The city’s actual median household income is $120,554.
Melbourne
Melbourne’s median house price is $935,049 and the median apartment price is $612,906.
Based on 40 percent serviceability, households need a total income of $139,809 to afford a home loan for a house and $91,642 for a unit. The city’s actual median household income is $110,324.
Brisbane
Brisbane’s median house price is $909,988 and the median unit price is $587,793.
Based on 40 percent serviceability, households need a total income of $136,062 to afford a home loan for a house and $87,887 for a unit. The city’s actual median household income is $107,243.
Adelaide
Adelaide’s median house price is $785,971 and the median apartment price is $504,799.
Based on 40 percent serviceability, households need a total income of $117,519 to afford a home loan for a house and $75,478 for a unit. The city’s actual median household income is $89,806.
Perth
Perth’s median house price is $735,276 and the median unit price is $495,360.
Based on 40 percent serviceability, households need a total income of $109,939 to afford a home loan for a house and $74,066 for a unit. The city’s actual median household income is $108,057.
Hobart
Hobart’s median house price is $692,951 and the median apartment price is $522,258.
Based on 40 percent serviceability, households need a total income of $103,610 to afford a home loan for a house and $78,088 for a unit. The city’s actual median household income is $89,515.
Darwin
Darwin’s median house price is $573,498 and the median unit price is $367,716.
Based on 40 percent serviceability, households need a total income of $85,750 to afford a home loan for a house and $54,981 for a unit. The city’s actual median household income is $126,193.
Canberra
Canberra’s median house price is $964,136 and the median apartment price is $585,057.
Based on 40 percent serviceability, households need a total income of $144,158 to afford a home loan for a house and $87,478 for a unit. The city’s actual median household income is $137,760.
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