The Rich Got a Bit Poorer Last Year

The wealthy took a big hit last year.

The global population of billionaires sank for the first time since 2018, dropping 3.5% to 3,194, while their wealth declined by 5.5% to US$11 trillion, London-based Altrata, a data firm focused on the rich, reported in its annual Billionaire Census earlier this week.

The drop in wealth was the second-largest fall in the last decade, although Altrata noted that it only partially offset a double-digit jump in billionaire wealth in 2021. The company’s report draws from data collected by its Wealth-X unit.

Zooming out, the global population of those with US$1 million or more in assets fell by 3.3% to 21.7 million individuals, while their wealth sank by 3.6% to US$83 trillion, Paris-based Capgemini, an information technology and services consulting company, said in its annual World Wealth Report released on Thursday. The drops are the biggest in 10 years, Capgemini said.

The population of the ultra-rich, those with at least US$30 million in assets, fell the most, sinking 4.6% last year after a 9.6% surge in 2021, the company said. The wealth of this group of 210,000 individuals fell by 3.7% last year.

Altrata noted that billionaires represent just 0.8% of those with at least $30 million or more in net worth, yet they have a 24% share of this group’s total wealth.

Both Altrata and Capgemini credit slumping economies, falling stock markets, rising interest rates, and geopolitical tensions as contributing to the declines. The reports also both noted that many of the world’s richest responded by turning to wealth preservation strategies.

Among billionaires, this had mixed results, Altrata said. Those who made their money in technology, healthcare, and real estate lost more than 5% of their wealth last year, while those whose wealth accumulated through aerospace and defense, construction and engineering, and food and beverage, saw their fortunes rise, the company said.

According to Capgemini, two-thirds of those with US$1 million or more turned to wealth preservation by cutting their stock holdings by nearly six percentage points to 23% of their total portfolios and boosting their cash and cash-equivalent holdings by almost 10 percentage points to 34% as of January this year.

While global and domestic economies, capital markets, and currency movements affect all the rich, Altrata noted that gains or losses are also due to individual strategies for business and investments, wealth planning, taxes, and philanthropy.

“No billionaire’s asset structure is the same as another’s, and the impact on their wealth will be different for each person,” the report said.

The Billionaire Census also reported that the richest of all, those with US$50 billion or more, lost 23.2% of their wealth, while those at the bottom of the pyramid, with US$1 billion to US$2 billion in assets (representing just over half of all billionaires), lost 3.2%.

Most billionaires, 955, live in the U.S., although the population dropped by 2.1% last year. There are 357 billionaires in China, down by 10.8% and 173 in Germany, down by 1.7%. The only population gains reported last year were in Singapore, which now has 54 billionaires, up by four; and in Moscow, which has 76 billionaires, up by one.

The average age of the world’s billionaires is 67, with those under 50 accounting for just 10% of the total, Altrata said. There are more female billionaires under 50 than over, although they comprise just under one-fifth of the under-50 group.

While the population of rich individuals, and their total wealth, dropped in Europe, Asia Pacific, and North America last year, both the population of the rich and their wealth rose in Africa, Latin America, and the Middle East, Capgemini said.

The number of rich in Latin America rose by 4.7% as their wealth increased by 2.1%; Africa’s rich gained 4.3% new members who combined wealth increased by 1.6%, while the Middle East’s rich gained 2.8% new members as their wealth rose by 1.5%, Capgemini said.

First, the good news for office landlords: A post-Labor Day bump nudged return-to-office rates in mid-September to their highest level since the onset of the pandemic.

Now the bad: Office attendance in big cities is still barely half of what it was in 2019, and company get-tough measures are proving largely ineffective at boosting that rate much higher.

Indeed, a number of forces—from the prospect of more Covid-19 cases in the fall to a weakening economy—could push the return rate into reverse, property owners and city officials say.

More than before, chief executives at blue-chip companies are stepping up efforts to fill their workspace. Facebook parent Meta Platforms, Amazon and JPMorgan Chase are among the companies that have recently vowed to get tougher on employees who don’t show up. In August, Meta told employees they could face disciplinary action if they regularly violate new workplace rules.

But these actions haven’t yet moved the national return rate needle much, and a majority of companies remain content to allow employees to work at least part-time remotely despite the tough talk.

Most employees go into offices during the middle of the week, but floors are sparsely populated on Mondays and Fridays. In Chicago, some September days had a return rate of over 66%. But it was below 30% on Fridays. In New York, it ranges from about 25% to 65%, according to Kastle Systems, which tracks security-card swipes.

Overall, the average return rate in the 10 U.S. cities tracked by Kastle Systems matched the recent high of 50.4% of 2019 levels for the week ended Sept. 20, though it slid a little below half the following week.

The disappointing return rates are another blow to office owners who are struggling with vacancy rates near record highs. The national office average vacancy rose to 19.2% last quarter, just below the historical peak of 19.3% in 1991, according to Moody’s Analytics preliminary third-quarter data.

Business leaders in New York, Detroit, Seattle, Atlanta and Houston interviewed by The Wall Street Journal said they have seen only slight improvements in sidewalk activity and attendance in office buildings since Labor Day.

“It feels a little fuller but at the margins,” said Sandy Baruah, chief executive of the Detroit Regional Chamber, a business group.

Lax enforcement of return-to-office rules is one reason employees feel they can still work from home. At a roundtable business discussion in Houston last week, only one of the 12 companies that attended said it would enforce a return-to-office policy in performance reviews.

“It was clearly a minority opinion that the others shook their heads at,” said Kris Larson, chief executive of Central Houston Inc., a group that promotes business in the city and sponsored the meeting.

Making matters worse, business leaders and city officials say they see more forces at work that could slow the return to office than those that could accelerate it.

Covid-19 cases are up and will likely increase further in the fall and winter months. “If we have to go back to distancing and mask protocols, that really breaks the office culture,” said Kathryn Wylde, head of the business group Partnership for New York City.

Many cities are contending with an increase in homelessness and crime. San Francisco, Philadelphia and Washington, D.C., which are struggling with these problems, are among the lowest return-to-office cities in the Kastle System index.

About 90% of members surveyed by the Seattle Metropolitan Chamber of Commerce said that the city couldn’t recover until homelessness and public safety problems were addressed, said Rachel Smith, chief executive. That is taken into account as companies make decisions about returning to the office and how much space they need, she added.

Cuts in government services and transportation are also taking a toll. Wait times for buses run by Houston’s Park & Ride system, one of the most widely used commuter services, have increased partly because of labor shortages, according to Larson of Central Houston.

The commute “is the remaining most significant barrier” to improving return to office, Larson said.

Some landlords say that businesses will have more leverage in enforcing return-to-office mandates if the economy weakens. There are already signs of such a shift in cities that depend heavily on the technology sector, which has been seeing slowing growth and layoffs.

But a full-fledged recession could hurt office returns if it results in widespread layoffs. “Maybe you get some relief in more employees coming back,” said Dylan Burzinski, an analyst with real-estate analytics firm Green Street. “But if there are fewer of those employees, it’s still a net negative for office.”

The sluggish return-to-office rate is leading many city and business leaders to ask the federal government for help. A group from the Great Lakes Metro Chambers Coalition recently met with elected officials in Washington, D.C., lobbying for incentives for businesses that make commitments to U.S. downtowns.

Baruah, from the Detroit chamber, was among the group. He said the chances of such legislation being passed were low. “We might have to reach crisis proportions first,” he said. “But we’re trying to lay the groundwork now.”

The Rich Got a Bit Poorer Last Year

Office owners are struggling with near record-high vacancy rates