While consumer prices declined more than expected in October, there were some odd parts of the inflation report that stood out more than others.
The consumer price index climbed 3.2% in October from the previous year, which was a decline from September’s 3.7% increase. Growth from the prior month was flat, the Bureau of Labor Statistics said on Tuesday. Economists surveyed by FactSet were expecting gains of 3.3% for the year and 0.1% for the month.
“We need to see more months with soft inflation data, but the stock and bond market is celebrating today. We’re set up nicely for a year-end rally,” Gina Bolvin, president of Bolvin Wealth Management Group, wrote on Tuesday. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 461 points, or 1.3%. The S&P 500 gained 1.8% while the Nasdaq Composite jumped 2.1%.
Many investors and economists are focusing on data points such as how the gasoline index decreased from September, or how shelter costs increased. But digging deeper into the report provides some interesting—and arguably strange—details of prices that have changed drastically in the past month.
Overall food prices increased 0.3% in October from September. While that number might not be too noteworthy, there were certain food items that stuck out. For one, the price of uncooked beef roasts increased 4.1% from the previous month, while the cost of pork chops rose 3.5%. According to reports from the Agriculture Department, total cattle and hog inventory has been declining in recent months.
But while beef roasts and pork chops cost more for the American consumer, prices for apples dropped a whopping 7.9% in October from September.
It wasn’t only food that had some funky results. The prices of laundry equipment declined 5% in the month while photographic equipment and supplies increased 6.8%.
For sports fans, admission prices for sporting events jumped 3.6% from the previous month.
“These are things that could be affected by seasonal factors,” Raymond James’ Chief Economist Eugenio Aleman tells Barron’s. The National Hockey League began its regular season schedule on Oct. 10 while the National Basketball Association began its season on Oct. 24.
For people who are looking to buy their loved one a new jacket for the holiday season, women’s outerwear prices dropped 5.9%. But wrapping that coat will cost more as the price of stationary, stationary supplies, and gift wraps was up 3.5%.
Aleman said that these individual items—while interesting outliers—aren’t heavily weighted when looking at the total report.
“There are some of these items that are so small in the overall CPI that basically it’s probably not affecting much of the direction of the overall core CPI,” Aleman said.
Even if these items aren’t heavily weighted against the total inflation outcome, consumers are sure to notice these changes as they head into stores during the holiday season.
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Australian shares fell on Thursday as Wall Street weakness, rising oil and persistent rate concerns weighed on most of the market. The S&P/ASX 200 declined 0.72 per cent to 8,702. The All Ordinaries lost 0.66 per cent to finish at 8,897. Mining stocks were hit particularly hard, while real estate also dragged on the index. …
Continue reading “ASX falls 0.7 per cent as miners and property stocks retreat”
Australian shares fell on Thursday as Wall Street weakness, rising oil and persistent rate concerns weighed on most of the market.
The S&P/ASX 200 declined 0.72 per cent to 8,702. The All Ordinaries lost 0.66 per cent to finish at 8,897. Mining stocks were hit particularly hard, while real estate also dragged on the index.
Energy was the notable exception, gaining more than one per cent as Brent crude traded above US$103 a barrel. Oil had moved higher amid uncertainty surrounding potential US diesel-export restrictions and broader geopolitical supply risks. The move supported energy producers but renewed concern about inflation inputs across transport and the wider economy.
Gold shares were weak even as spot bullion remained historically elevated. The All Ordinaries Gold index fell about 2.25 per cent, showing that equity performance can diverge from the commodity because of valuation, currency, operating and company-specific factors.
Zip was a prominent loser, falling 11.38 per cent after the company reported short sales after the previous close. Nine Entertainment also weakened after UBS analysts warned of near-term revenue challenges associated with its advertising-supported subscription tier.
Premier Investments led larger winners despite caution about the retail environment. Breville, in which Premier owns a significant stake, also appeared among leading movers. In the broader ASX 300 screen, Myer gained 11.43 per cent and MAAS Group rose 7.93 per cent, while Lotus Resources fell 10.53 per cent. These percentage moves should be checked against company announcements and trading liquidity before attributing causes.
The Australian dollar was broadly flat at US70.38 cents. Spot gold was around US$4,280 an ounce, Brent crude approximately US$103.08 a barrel and iron ore near US$96.90 a tonne late in the session.
The rate outlook remains the central domestic catalyst. Labour-market weakness has not eliminated the possibility of an RBA increase next week, leaving banks, listed property and other rate-sensitive sectors exposed to changing expectations.
Market dashboard
S&P/ASX 200: 8,702, down 0.72 per cent.
All Ordinaries: 8,897, down 0.66 per cent.
Best sector: Energy, up more than one per cent.
Weakest areas: Real estate and materials were the major drags; confirm final sector percentages before publication.
Material winner: Premier Investments led the large-company gainers. Confirm its final closing move from the ASX before publication.
Material loser: Zip, down 11.38 per cent.
ASX 300 percentage leader: Myer, up 11.43 per cent.
ASX 300 percentage laggard: Zip, down 11.38 per cent.
AUD/USD: Approximately US$0.7038, broadly flat.
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