Drop in inflation announced just a day after interest rates stay on hold
Decreasing automotive fuel and energy prices have been major contributors to a falling inflation rate, but the RBA is advising caution
Decreasing automotive fuel and energy prices have been major contributors to a falling inflation rate, but the RBA is advising caution
The rate of inflation has fallen to its lowest levels since August 2021, the Australian Bureau of Statistics revealed today. The news comes just a day after the Reserve Bank of Australia announced it would be keeping interest rates on hold at 4.35 percent.
The drop in the rate of inflation to 2.7 percent has been largely attributed to moderating prices of petrol and diesel, with automotive fuel 7.6 percent lower than a year ago, and electricity, which fell 17.9 percent over the same period.
Michelle Marquardt, head of Prices Statistics at Australian Bureau of Statistics, said the decrease in electricity prices was largely due to Commonwealth and State Government energy rebates in Queensland, Western Australia and Tasmania.
“Electricity fell 17.9 percent in the 12 months to August, which is the largest annual fall since the electricity series started in the early 1980s,” Ms Marquardt said. “Commonwealth Government and State Government rebates led to a 14.6 percent fall in electricity prices in the month of August, which followed a 6.4 percent fall in July.
“Excluding the rebates, electricity prices would have risen 0.1 percent in August and 0.9 per cent in July.”
The news was less positive for renters and those seeking to build or renovate, with rents up 6.8 percent over the past year and new dwelling prices also up by 5.1 percent.
Following a meeting of the RBA board yesterday, governor Michele Bullock announced that the cash rate would remain unchanged, citing persistently high inflation and economic uncertainties as major influences on the decision.
“Inflation has fallen substantially since the peak in 2022, as higher interest rates have been working to bring aggregate demand and supply closer towards balance,” Ms Bullock said in a statement. “But inflation is still some way above the midpoint of the 2–3 per cent target range.
“Headline inflation is expected to fall further temporarily, as a result of federal and state cost of living relief. However, our current forecasts do not see inflation returning sustainably to target until 2026. In year-ended terms, underlying inflation has been above the midpoint of the target for 11 consecutive quarters and has fallen very little over the past year.”
While the decision to keep rates on hold was widely anticipated, it has raised eyebrows in some quarters given the US Federal Reserve announced last week it was dropping the official cash rate by 50 basis points. However, research director at CoreLogic Asia Pacific, Tim Lawless, says there was good reason for keeping rates on hold in Australia for now.
“Importantly, Australia hasn’t gone ‘as hard’ on monetary policy as most other Western nations, increasing the cash rate by 425 basis points compared with a 525 basis point increase in the US and NZ, and a 515 basis point rise in the UK,” he said.
“Also, our tightening cycle has lagged most other nations, with the cash rate increasing from May 2022 compared with the US where the hiking cycle commenced in March 2022 or the UK where interest rates started rising in December 2021, or NZ and the EU which commenced rate hikes even earlier, in October and July 2021 respectively.”
Ms Bullock said the RBA board would be keeping a close on labour markets both here and overseas as it navigates a path to sustained lower inflation at the target rate of between 2 and 3 percent.
“Sustainably returning inflation to target within a reasonable timeframe remains the board’s highest priority,” she said. “This is consistent with the RBA’s mandate for price stability and full employment. To date, longer term inflation expectations have been consistent with the inflation target and it is important that this remain the case.
“While headline inflation will decline for a time, underlying inflation is more indicative of inflation momentum, and it remains too high.”
As tariffs bite, Sydney’s MAISON de SABRÉ is pushing deeper into the US, holding firm on pricing and proving that resilience in luxury means more than survival.
Early indications from several big regional real-estate boards suggest March was overall another down month.
The government in Switzerland has waived residency requirements in a handful of locations, including one that’s growing fast.
While golden visa schemes proliferate, Switzerland remains famously protective about buying property in the country.
Rules known as Lex Koller, introduced in 1983, prohibit foreigners from buying homes in cities like Geneva and Zurich. And in the few locations where foreigners can buy, purchase permits come with rules around size and occupancy.
But non-Swiss buyers who have coveted an Alpine home now have a pathway to ownership, and it’s likely to come with financial upside. The Swiss government has waived residency requirements in a handful of locations where developers have negotiated exemptions in exchange for billions of dollars of investment in construction and improvements.
Andermatt, a village 4,715 feet above sea level in the centre of the Swiss Alps, is the largest municipality to open up to foreign buyers.
Its main investor, Egyptian magnate Samih Sawiris, “believed Andermatt could become a full-town redevelopment when he first visited in 2005, but the key was to offer real estate to people outside of Switzerland,” said Russell Collins, chief commercial officer of Andermatt-Swiss Alps, Sawiris’s development company.
“We became the only large-scale real estate development in Switzerland with an exemption from the Lex Koller regulations.”
In the ensuing decades, Andermatt has become a major draw for high-net-worth buyers from around the world, said Alex Koch de Gooreynd, a partner at Knight Frank in London and head of its Swiss residential sales team.
“What the Andermatt-Swiss Alps guys have done is incredible,” he said. “It’s an impressive resort, and there is still a good 10 years’ worth of construction to come. The future of the resort is very good.”
Andermatt’s profile got another boost from the 2022 acquisition of its ski and resort operations by Vail Resorts, which runs 41 ski destinations worldwide.
“Vail has committed to 150 million Swiss francs (US$175 million) in investments, which is another game-changer,” de Gooreynd said.
“If you’d asked me about Andermatt 10 years ago, I would have said the ski areas weren’t good enough of a draw.”
Along with the five-star Chedi Andermatt hotel and residences, which opened in 2013, residential offerings include the Gotthard Residences at the Radisson Blu hotel; at least six branded residences are planned to open by 2030, according to Jeremy Rollason, director for France, Switzerland, and Austria at Savills Ski.
“Most of these are niche, boutique buildings with anywhere from eight to 14 units, and they’re releasing them selectively to create interest and demand, which has been a very successful approach,” he said.
“Andermatt is an emerging destination, and an intelligent buy. Many buyers haven’t heard of it, but it’s about building a brand to the level of Verbier, Courchevel or Gstaad.”
The Alpinist, Andermatt’s third hotel residence, is slated to open in 2027; with 164 apartments, the five-star project will be run by Andermatt-Swiss Alps, according to Collins.
Other developments include Tova, an 18-unit project designed by Norwegian architects Snohetta, and La Foret, an 18-apartment building conceived by Swiss architects Brandenberger Kloter.
Prices in Andermatt’s new buildings range from around 1.35 million francs for a one-bedroom apartment to as much as 3.5 million francs for a two-bedroom unit, according to Astrid Josuran, an agent with Zurich Sotheby’s International Realty.
Penthouses with four or more bedrooms average 5 million-6 million francs. “Property values have been increasing steadily, with an average annual growth rate of 7.7% in the last 10 years,” she said.
“New developments will continue for the next 10 years, after which supply will be limited.”
Foreign buyers can obtain mortgages from Swiss banks, where current rates hover around 1.5% “and are declining,” Josuran said.
Compared to other countries with Alpine resorts, Switzerland also offers tax advantages, said Rollason of Savills. “France has a wealth tax on property wealth, which can become quite penal if you own $4 million or $5 million worth of property,” he said.
Andermatt’s high-end lifestyle has enhanced its appeal, said Collins of Andermatt-Swiss Alps.
“We have three Michelin-starred restaurants, and we want to create a culinary hub here,” he said. “We’ve redeveloped the main shopping promenade, Furkagasse, with 20 new retail and culinary outlets.
And there is a unique international community developing. While half our owners are Swiss, we have British, Italian and German buyers, and we are seeing inquiries from the U.S.”
But Andermatt is not the only Swiss location to cut red tape for foreign buyers.
The much smaller Samnaun resort, between Davos and Innsbruck, Austria, “is zoned so we can sell to foreigners,” said Thomas Joyce of Alpine property specialist Pure International.
“It’s high-altitude, with good restaurants and offers low property taxes of the Graubunden canton where it’s located.”
At the Edge, a new 22-apartment project by a Dutch developer, prices range from 12,000-13,500 francs per square metre, he said.
As Andermatt’s stature grows, this is a strategic time for foreigners to invest, said Josuran of Sotheby’s.
“It might be under the radar now, but it’s rapidly growing, and already among Switzerland’s most attractive ski locations,” she said. “Now’s the time to buy, before it reaches the status of a St. Moritz or Zermatt.”
GameStop has approved adding Bitcoin to its balance sheet, confirming speculation as the company explores new growth avenues.
Arta, a wealth-management startup, is using mobile apps and AI tools to reach young millionaires.