Housing Finance Approvals Hit New Highs
According to the REIA, the consecutive rise in approvals comes after a brief dip in February.
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With low interest rates, decreasing affordability and the heat in the Australian housing market well documented, it should come as no surprise that the value of new loan commitments for housing rose for the second consecutive month.
According to the April 2021 Lending to Households and Business figures released today by the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS), the consecutive rise in results comes after a brief fall in February following eight consecutive months of growth according to the Real Estate Institute of Australia (REIA).
“The seasonally adjusted value of new loan commitments for owner occupier housing increased by 4.3 per cent in April and was up 68.2% for the twelve months, setting a new record,” said REIA President, Adrian Kelly.
Further Mr Kelly said the value of new loan commitments, for the purchase of existing dwellings, rose 9.2%.
“Rises in the value of new loan commitments for owner occupier housing were seen in all states and territories except Western Australia, with New South Wales and Victoria having the largest increases of 8.6% and 8.4% respectively,” added Mr Kelly.
On the investment side, April saw an increase for the eleventh consecutive month with “the value of loan commitments for investor housing increasing by 2.1% for the month and 63% for the year.
Mr Kelly said the number of owner occupier first home buyer loan commitments fell for the third consecutive month. The April fall of 1.9 per cent is still 59.6 per cent higher than twelve months earlier. Owner occupier first home buyer loan commitments accounted for 32.9 per cent of all owner occupier commitments excluding refinancing, down from January’s 36.5 per cent when lending for first home buyers was at its highest since May 2009.
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New research suggests spending 40 percent of household income on loan repayments is the new normal
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Requiring more than 30 percent of household income to service a home loan has long been considered the benchmark for ‘housing stress’. Yet research shows it is becoming the new normal. The 2024 ANZ CoreLogic Housing Affordability Report reveals home loans on only 17 percent of homes are ‘serviceable’ if serviceability is limited to 30 percent of the median national household income.
Based on 40 percent of household income, just 37 percent of properties would be serviceable on a mortgage covering 80 percent of the purchase price. ANZ CoreLogic suggest 40 may be the new 30 when it comes to home loan serviceability. “Looking ahead, there is little prospect for the mortgage serviceability indicator to move back into the 30 percent range any time soon,” says the report.
“This is because the cash rate is not expected to be cut until late 2024, and home values have continued to rise, even amid relatively high interest rate settings.” ANZ CoreLogic estimate that home loan rates would have to fall to about 4.7 percent to bring serviceability under 40 percent.
CoreLogic has broken down the actual household income required to service a home loan on a 6.27 percent interest rate for an 80 percent loan based on current median house and unit values in each capital city. As expected, affordability is worst in the most expensive property market, Sydney.
Sydney
Sydney’s median house price is $1,414,229 and the median unit price is $839,344.
Based on 40 percent serviceability, households need a total income of $211,456 to afford a home loan for a house and $125,499 for a unit. The city’s actual median household income is $120,554.
Melbourne
Melbourne’s median house price is $935,049 and the median apartment price is $612,906.
Based on 40 percent serviceability, households need a total income of $139,809 to afford a home loan for a house and $91,642 for a unit. The city’s actual median household income is $110,324.
Brisbane
Brisbane’s median house price is $909,988 and the median unit price is $587,793.
Based on 40 percent serviceability, households need a total income of $136,062 to afford a home loan for a house and $87,887 for a unit. The city’s actual median household income is $107,243.
Adelaide
Adelaide’s median house price is $785,971 and the median apartment price is $504,799.
Based on 40 percent serviceability, households need a total income of $117,519 to afford a home loan for a house and $75,478 for a unit. The city’s actual median household income is $89,806.
Perth
Perth’s median house price is $735,276 and the median unit price is $495,360.
Based on 40 percent serviceability, households need a total income of $109,939 to afford a home loan for a house and $74,066 for a unit. The city’s actual median household income is $108,057.
Hobart
Hobart’s median house price is $692,951 and the median apartment price is $522,258.
Based on 40 percent serviceability, households need a total income of $103,610 to afford a home loan for a house and $78,088 for a unit. The city’s actual median household income is $89,515.
Darwin
Darwin’s median house price is $573,498 and the median unit price is $367,716.
Based on 40 percent serviceability, households need a total income of $85,750 to afford a home loan for a house and $54,981 for a unit. The city’s actual median household income is $126,193.
Canberra
Canberra’s median house price is $964,136 and the median apartment price is $585,057.
Based on 40 percent serviceability, households need a total income of $144,158 to afford a home loan for a house and $87,478 for a unit. The city’s actual median household income is $137,760.
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