The Rise of Shiba Inu Coin Shows Crypto’s New Dynamics

Much of the cryptocurrency world can feel like an inside joke. One coin that has become prominent in the past month seems even more obscure—like an inside joke about an inside joke.

Shiba Inu coin, created in August 2020 by an anonymous person calling themselves Ryoshi, is billed as an alternative to Dogecoin, which itself was created as a lighthearted option to Bitcoin. Shiba Inu feels as if it was willed into existence, and is now being listed on major crypto exchanges through the power of memes, crowds, persistence—and a cute dog.

A website that hosts the coin’s white paper (or rather Woof Paper) calls it “an experiment in decentralised spontaneous community building.” Shiba Inu is built on top of the Ethereum blockchain, like many other coins. By design, each one is worth a minuscule amount—$0.0000078 on Thursday.

It’s like Dogecoin on reverse steroids (each Dogecoin is worth 30 cents, which seems wildly expensive by comparison). The cheaper the coin, the larger the potential community. The market cap of Shiba coin is now about $3 billion, but it climbed over $10 billion last month. It’s the 32nd most valuable cryptocurrency, according to coinmarket.com.

The Woof Paper includes philosophical claims about decentralization that are common in the crypto world—that money and transactions should have no gatekeepers. And, like Dogecoin, it has taken the Shiba Inu—a dog breed from Japan—as its mascot. One tenet of the coin is that the community loves the dogs. Also, it has embraced the title of “Dogecoin killer”.

The founders even gifted 50 trillion of the coins, worth $1 billion at the time, to Ethereum co-creator Vitalik Buterin, who quickly got rid of it by transferring it to a Covid relief fund for India—at which point, Shiba Inu coin briefly plunged 50%.

If this all feels like a trip into a bizarre new world, it’s also shining a spotlight on an emerging trend in crypto and stock-trading. The Shiba website says the community is 520,000 strong and growing, expanding its reach as its memes and philosophy spread on social media. Meanwhile, the crypto world’s gatekeepers are anxious to bring in new users and volume as Bitcoin trading has been relatively weak in recent weeks. Shiba Inu has been listed on major exchanges like Binance.

On Tuesday, Coinbase Global (ticker: COIN) said it would list the coin on its Coinbase Pro platform—generally a precursor for it to be listed for all retail Coinbase users. In addition, Shiba fans started a petition to try to convince brokerage app Robinhood to list Shiba Inu coin. As of Thursday, it had 156,000 signatures.

A Robinhood spokesperson said the company had no comment on the petition. In a previous Reddit discussion, Robinhood Crypto Chief Operating Officer Christine Brown wrote, “We’re always looking into which coins to add to Robinhood Crypto, but for security and compliance reasons we can’t talk about which ones we’re looking into adding.”

There has already been a glitch in Coinbase’s adoption of Shiba Inu coin. It was supposed to start trading on Thursday, but “technical issues” have delayed the launch. Users can withdraw Shiba but can’t deposit it, according to a Coinbase spokesperson. “We will provide an updated timeline for restoring deposits & enabling trading as soon as possible,” she wrote. She did not respond to a follow-up question on what technical issues were causing the problems.

In recent years, Coinbase has been seen as an important gatekeeper in the crypto universe, and coins have tended to spike in value when they get listed on the platform. On Tuesday, Shiba Inu coin jumped more than 30% after the announcement.

Asked about why Coinbase listed Shiba Inu coin, the spokesperson wrote that “we want to be the Amazon of crypto where people can find and buy the assets they want and as part of this, our aim is to list every legally permissible asset possible.”

In its latest earnings report, Coinbase said that the company was concerned about customers going to other platforms if Coinbase doesn’t offer certain coins. It quickly listed Dogecoin after the earnings call, and has been expediting the listing process, giving coin-creators and users new ways to apply for listings. The company says it’s still holding on to high standards for the new coins, however.

“We are confident that based on the information we have access to, that assets available on our platform are appropriate for retail customers,” the spokesperson wrote.

As their strategies shift and they list more coins, the exchanges are likely to become less important gatekeepers in the crypto world, according to Matt Hougan, chief investment officer of crypto fund provider Bitwise Asset Management.

“The days when Coinbase adding an asset to its platform was an implicit stamp of approval are over,” he wrote in an email to Barron’s. It should now be thought of as a platform that “will trade anything that meets its listing standards.”

In general, that’s a good thing. In the traditional investing world, brokers like Charles Schwab (SCHW) play a similar role—offering access, but not necessarily approval. “You can buy some amazing stocks on Schwab, and you can buy some absolute dogs (no pun intended),” Hougan wrote. “We don’t assume Schwab is evaluating the investment merit of every stock that trades on its platform.”

Given the shift, however, it’s even more important for investors to “do your own homework and know what you’re buying, or you should turn to professional crypto asset managers to evaluate exposures for you.”

Australia is in the midst of a ‘baby recession’ with preliminary estimates showing the number of births in 2023 fell by more than four percent to the lowest level since 2006, according to KPMG. The consultancy firm says this reflects the impact of cost-of-living pressures on the feasibility of younger Australians starting a family.

KPMG estimates that 289,100 babies were born in 2023. This compares to 300,684 babies in 2022 and 309,996 in 2021, according to the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS). KPMG urban economist Terry Rawnsley said weak economic growth often leads to a reduced number of births. In 2023, ABS data shows gross domestic product (GDP) fell to 1.5 percent. Despite the population growing by 2.5 percent in 2023, GDP on a per capita basis went into negative territory, down one percent over the 12 months.

“Birth rates provide insight into long-term population growth as well as the current confidence of Australian families,” said Mr Rawnsley. “We haven’t seen such a sharp drop in births in Australia since the period of economic stagflation in the 1970s, which coincided with the initial widespread adoption of the contraceptive pill.”

Mr Rawnsley said many Australian couples delayed starting a family while the pandemic played out in 2020. The number of births fell from 305,832 in 2019 to 294,369 in 2020. Then in 2021, strong employment and vast amounts of stimulus money, along with high household savings due to lockdowns, gave couples better financial means to have a baby. This led to a rebound in births.

However, the re-opening of the global economy in 2022 led to soaring inflation. By the start of 2023, the Australian consumer price index (CPI) had risen to its highest level since 1990 at 7.8 percent per annum. By that stage, the Reserve Bank had already commenced an aggressive rate-hiking strategy to fight inflation and had raised the cash rate every month between May and December 2022.

Five more rate hikes during 2023 put further pressure on couples with mortgages and put the brakes on family formation. “This combination of the pandemic and rapid economic changes explains the spike and subsequent sharp decline in birth rates we have observed over the past four years,” Mr Rawnsley said.

The impact of high costs of living on couples’ decision to have a baby is highlighted in births data for the capital cities. KPMG estimates there were 60,860 births in Sydney in 2023, down 8.6 percent from 2019. There were 56,270 births in Melbourne, down 7.3 percent. In Perth, there were 25,020 births, down 6 percent, while in Brisbane there were 30,250 births, down 4.3 percent. Canberra was the only capital city where there was no fall in the number of births in 2023 compared to 2019.

“CPI growth in Canberra has been slightly subdued compared to that in other major cities, and the economic outlook has remained strong,” Mr Rawnsley said. “This means families have not been hurting as much as those in other capital cities, and in turn, we’ve seen a stabilisation of births in the ACT.”

The Rise of Shiba Inu Coin Shows Crypto’s New Dynamics

One coin that has become prominent in the past month seems even more obscure.

Continued stagflation and cost of living pressures are causing couples to think twice about starting a family, new data has revealed, with long term impacts expected