Sylvester Stallone Sells His Knockout Watch Collection, Including the Most Valuable Modern Timepiece Sold in Sotheby’s History
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Sylvester Stallone’s legacy as one of the most notable watch collectors of the 21st century was cemented in New York this week, as 11 of the actor’s timepieces sold for US$6.7 million—beating its presale estimate—at Sotheby’s.
The highlight of the sale was the Academy Award winner’s Patek Philippe Grandmaster Chime, which sold for US$5.4 million (surpassing its pre-sale estimate of US$2.5 million to US$5 million), a result that set a pair of benchmarks for the auctioneer. It’s the third-most valuable wristwatch sold in Sotheby’s history, and marks a record for a modern watch sold by Sotheby’s, topping the US$4.5 million sale of a Richard Mille Reference RM53-02 last October.
“The sale of the Patek Philippe Grandmaster Chime was an unrepeatable celebration, not only of a masterpiece by the most revered Swiss-watchmakers of technical excellence, but also of the legendary icon that is Sylvester Stallone, who has been a deeply influential and admired collector for many decades,” Geoff Hess, Sotheby’s head of watches, Americas, said in a statement.
On Wednesday, more than 100 attendees filled Sotheby’s saleroom, and once the Grandmaster Chime (Reference 6300G-010) hit the block, a four-minute bidding war ensued among five bidders, according to the auction house. In the end, the watch was sold to a private collector from Asia. ( Stallone paid US$2.2 million for the watch in 2021. )
Sotheby’s
“To feel the pulse of collectors racing with excitement in pursuit of absolute top-caliber material was tremendous, and an homage to the art of collecting at the highest level,” Hess said.
Considered to be a holy grail among followers of haute horology, the Grandmaster Chime was the result of a project initiated by Philippe Stern in 2007 to create the most intricate wristwatch in the brand’s history. The development, production, and assembly spanned 100,000 hours, according to Sotheby’s.
Stallone’s Grandmaster Chime was the first example of the model to appear at auction, aside from one specifically created for, and sold at, a Christie’s charity auction in November 2019 for CHF 31 million (US$35 million) . It remains the highest price for a watch ever sold at auction.
Hess himself went home with one of Stallone’s watches, as the winner of a five-minute bidding battle for the actor’s olive green Patek Philippe Nautilus. The 2021 stainless steel watch featuring an olive-green dial and diamond-set bezel sold for US$492,000, exceeding its pre-sale estimate of US$400,000.
Sotheby’s
Stallone’s collection, assembled over the course of more than 20 years, also included timepieces from Rolex, Audemars Piguet, and Piaget, as well as unique and screen-worn watches from Panerai.
Other highlights included the actor’s Audemars Piguet Royal Oak Tourbillon (Reference 26730OR.OO.1320OR.01)—a gorgeous piece created for the 50th anniversary of the Swiss watchmaker’s Royal Oak collection in 2022. It sold for US$228,000, exceeding its pre-sale high estimate of US$200,000; and a Panerai Luminor Submersible (Reference PAM00382) worn by Stallone in the 2012 film The Expendables 2 that sold to an online buyer for US$96,000, blowing past its pre-sale estimate of US$30,000 to US$60,000.
“I enjoy the collecting process like so many others in this passionate community, who don’t just see watches as an accessory, but admire them for their history, craftsmanship, artistry—but most importantly—how they make them feel,” Stallone said in a statement when the sale was announced. “Looking at these watches, I feel truly lucky to have owned them; they serve as a reminder that hard work pays off.”
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President Donald Trump’s imposition of tariffs on trading partners have moved analysts to reduce forecasts for U.S. companies. Many stocks look vulnerable to declines, while some seem relatively immune.
Since the start of the year, analysts’ expectations for aggregate first-quarter sales of S&P 500 component companies have dropped about 0.4%, according to FactSet. The hundreds of billions of dollars worth of imports from China, Mexico, and Canada the Trump administration is placing tariffs on, including metals and basic materials for retail and food sellers, will raise costs for U.S. companies. That will force them to lift prices, reducing the number of goods and services they’ll sell to consumers and businesses.
This outlook has pressured first-quarter earnings estimates by 3.8%. Companies will cut back on marketing and perhaps labour, but many have substantial fixed expenses that can’t easily be reduced, such as depreciation and interest to lenders. Profit margins will drop in the face of lower revenue, thus weighing on profit estimates. The estimates dropped mildly in January, and then picked up steam in February, just after the initial tariff announcements.
“We are starting to see the first instances of analysts cutting numbers on tariff impacts,” writes Citi strategist Scott Chronert.
The reductions aren’t concentrated in one sector; they’re widespread, a concrete indication that the downward revisions are partly related to tariffs, which affect many sectors. The percentage of all analyst earnings-estimate revisions in March for S&P 500 companies that have been downward this year has been 60.1%, according to Citi, worse than the historical average of 53.5% for March.
The consumer-discretionary sector has seen just over 62% of March revisions to be lower, almost 10 percentage points worse than the historical average. The aggregate first-quarter earnings expectation for all consumer-discretionary companies in the S&P 500 has dropped 11% since the start of the year.
That could hurt the stocks going forward, even though the Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR exchange-traded fund has already dropped 11% for the year. The declines have been led by Tesla and Amazon.com , which account for trillions of dollars of market value and comprise a large portion of the fund. The average name in the fund is down about 4% this year, so there could easily be more downside.
That’s especially true because another slew of downward earnings revisions look likely. Analysts have barely changed their full-year 2025 sales projections for the consumer-discretionary sector, and have lowered full-year earnings by only 2%, even though they’ve more dramatically reduced first-quarter forecasts. The current expectation calls for a sharp increase in quarterly sales and earnings from the first quarter through the rest of the year, but that’s unrealistic, assuming tariffs remain in place for the rest of the year.
“The relative estimate achievability of the consumer discretionary earnings are below average,” Trivariate Research’s Adam Parker wrote in a report.
That makes these stocks look still too expensive—and vulnerable to declines. The consumer-discretionary ETF trades at 21.2 times expected earnings for this year, but if those expectations tumble as much as they have for the first quarter, then the fund’s current price/earnings multiple looks closer to 25 times. That’s too high, given that it’s where the multiple was before markets began reflecting ongoing risk to earnings from tariffs and any continued economic consequences. So, another drop in earnings estimates would drag these consumer stocks down even further.
Industrials are in a similar position. Many of them make equipment and machines that would become more costly to import. The sector has seen about two thirds of March earnings revisions move downward, about 13 percentage points worse that the historical average. Analysts have lowered first-quarter-earnings estimates by 6%, but only 3% for the full year, suggesting that more tariff-related downward revisions are likely for the rest of the year.
That would weigh on the stocks. The Industrial Select Sector SPDR ETF is about flat for the year but would look more expensive than it is today if earnings estimates drop more. The stocks face a high probability of downside from here.
The stocks to own are the “defensive” ones, those that are unlikely to see much tariff-related earnings impact, namely healthcare. Demand for drugs and insurance is much sturdier versus less essential goods and services when consumers have less money to spend. The Health Care Select Sector SPDR ETF has produced a 6% gain this year.
That’s supported by earnings trends that are just fine. First-quarter earnings estimates have even ticked slightly higher this year. These stocks should remain relatively strong as long as analysts continue to forecast stable, albeit mild, sales and earnings growth for the coming few years.
“This leads us to recommend healthcare and disfavour consumer discretionary,” Parker writes.
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