Australia’s top state economy just did it again
The latest CommSec report showed the state leading in three key areas indicating consistent economic growth
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South Australia has performed an economic hat trick, once again coming out on top as the best performing state in the country.
The latest CommSec State of the States reported South Australia was the most consistent performer, sitting in top spot for the third consecutive quarter, followed not far behind by Western Australia and then Victoria. New South Wales languished in seventh position, just ahead of the Northern Territory.
South Australia was number one in three of the report’s eight key economic indicators of relative unemployment, completed construction work and dwelling starts. However, Western Australia was snapping at the heels, leading on relative population growth and home lending.
Senior economist at CommSec, Ryan Felsman, said the economic performance of Australia’s states and territories was backed by strong employment and population growth during a period of ‘higher-than-desired’ inflation.
“South Australia’s continued high-ranking is being driven by a solid job market and construction activity,” he said.
“While South Australia retains first place, Western Australia is seeing the strongest annual economic momentum, so it will be interesting to see how this plays out in the coming quarters.”
“New South Wales, Tasmania and Queensland slipped down the rankings this quarter. Generally speaking, state economies have slowed as consumers respond to higher borrowing costs and price pressures. The future economic path will be dependent on the resiliency of the job market and interest rates.”
CommSec assesses and ranks the economic performance of each state and territory on a quarterly basis using eight key indicators including economic growth, retail spending, equipment investment, unemployment, construction work done, population growth, housing finance and dwelling commencements.
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The pandemic-fuelled love affair with casual footwear is fading, with Bank of America warning the downturn shows no sign of easing.
The pandemic-fuelled love affair with casual footwear is fading, with Bank of America warning the downturn shows no sign of easing.
2 minThe boom in casual footware ushered in by the pandemic has ended, a potential problem for companies such as Adidas that benefited from the shift to less formal clothing, Bank of America says.
The casual footwear business has been on the ropes since mid-2023 as people began returning to office.
Analyst Thierry Cota wrote that while most downcycles have lasted one to two years over the past two decades or so, the current one is different.
It “shows no sign of abating” and there is “no turning point in sight,” he said.
Adidas and Nike alone account for almost 60% of revenue in the casual footwear industry, Cota estimated, so the sector’s slower growth could be especially painful for them as opposed to brands that have a stronger performance-shoe segment. Adidas may just have it worse than Nike.
Cota downgraded Adidas stock to Underperform from Buy on Tuesday and slashed his target for the stock price to €160 (about $187) from €213. He doesn’t have a rating for Nike stock.
Shares of Adidas listed on the German stock exchange fell 4.5% Tuesday to €162.25. Nike stock was down 1.2%.
Adidas didn’t immediately respond to a request for comment.
Cota sees trouble for Adidas both in the short and long term.
Adidas’ lifestyle segment, which includes the Gazelles and Sambas brands, has been one of the company’s fastest-growing business, but there are signs growth is waning.
Lifestyle sales increased at a 10% annual pace in Adidas’ third quarter, down from 13% in the second quarter.
The analyst now predicts Adidas’ organic sales will grow by a 5% annual rate starting in 2027, down from his prior forecast of 7.5%.
The slower revenue growth will likewise weigh on profitability, Cota said, predicting that margins on earnings before interest and taxes will decline back toward the company’s long-term average after several quarters of outperforming. That could result in a cut to earnings per share.
Adidas stock had a rough 2025. Shares shed 33% in the past 12 months, weighed down by investor concerns over how tariffs, slowing demand, and increased competition would affect revenue growth.
Nike stock fell 9% throughout the period, reflecting both the company’s struggles with demand and optimism over a turnaround plan CEO Elliott Hill rolled out in late 2024.
Investors’ confidence has faded following Nike’s December earnings report, which suggested that a sustained recovery is still several quarters away. Just how many remains anyone’s guess.
But if Adidas’ challenges continue, as Cota believes they will, it could open up some space for Nike to claw back any market share it lost to its rival.
Investors should keep in mind, however, that the field has grown increasingly crowded in the past five years. Upstarts such as On Holding and Hoka also present a formidable challenge to the sector’s legacy brands.
Shares of On and Deckers Outdoor , Hoka’s parent company, fell 11% and 48%, respectively, in 2025, but analysts are upbeat about both companies’ fundamentals as the new year begins.
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