Future Returns: The Banking Crisis Didn’t Scare Off Alternative Investors
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    HOUSE MEDIAN ASKING PRICES AND WEEKLY CHANGE     Sydney $1,839,384 (+0.39%)       Melbourne $1,112,698 (+0.31%)       Brisbane $1,239,032 (+0.41%)       Adelaide $1,124,729 (+1.41%)       Perth $1,059,750 (+0.24%)       Hobart $831,697 (-0.24%)       Darwin $874,845 (-1.71%)       Canberra $1,110,011 (-0.45%)       National Capitals $1,222,121 (+0.28%)                UNIT MEDIAN ASKING PRICES AND WEEKLY CHANGE     Sydney $800,472 (-0.08%)       Melbourne $528,474 (+0.36%)       Brisbane $797,670 (-0.01%)       Adelaide $584,683 (-0.37%)       Perth $605,402 (-2.05%)       Hobart $554,533 (+0.44%)       Darwin $470,544 (-1.19%)       Canberra $485,095 (+0.11%)       National Capitals $627,512 (-0.30%)                HOUSES FOR SALE AND WEEKLY CHANGE     Sydney 8,625 (+7)       Melbourne 10,721 (-143)       Brisbane 5,186 (-18)       Adelaide 1,693 (-41)       Perth 4,550 (-44)       Hobart 794 (+5)       Darwin 88 (-3)       Canberra 797 (-6)       National Capitals $32,454 (-243)                UNITS FOR SALE AND WEEKLY CHANGE     Sydney 6,967 (-38)       Melbourne 5,813 (-78)       Brisbane 904 (-1)       Adelaide 262 (-1)       Perth 913 (-10)       Hobart 142 (+1)       Darwin 168 (+1)       Canberra 1,055 (+2)       National Capitals $16,224 (-124)                HOUSE MEDIAN ASKING RENTS AND WEEKLY CHANGE     Sydney $800 ($0)       Melbourne $580 ($0)       Brisbane $690 (+$10)       Adelaide $650 (+$8)       Perth $725 (+$15)       Hobart $595 (-$5)       Darwin $745 (-$5)       Canberra $710 ($0)       National Capitals $694 (+$3)                UNIT MEDIAN ASKING RENTS AND WEEKLY CHANGE     Sydney $800 (+$20)       Melbourne $590 (-$10)       Brisbane $680 (+$5)       Adelaide $550 ($0)       Perth $675 (-$5)       Hobart $495 (+$20)       Darwin $640 (+$10)       Canberra $595 ($0)       National Capitals $640 (+$5)                HOUSES FOR RENT AND WEEKLY CHANGE     Sydney 5,782 (+459)       Melbourne 7,492 (+593)       Brisbane 4,368 (+663)       Adelaide 1,568 (+170)       Perth 2,281 (+189)       Hobart 199 (+50)       Darwin 90 (+12)       Canberra 487 (+21)       National Capitals $22,267 (+2,157)                UNITS FOR RENT AND WEEKLY CHANGE     Sydney 9,079 (+1,172)       Melbourne 6,743 (+1,111)       Brisbane 2,425 (+278)       Adelaide 453 (+63)       Perth 559 (+62)       Hobart 89 (+24)       Darwin 171 (+10)       Canberra 523 (-181)       National Capitals $20,042 (+2,539)                HOUSE ANNUAL GROSS YIELDS AND TREND         Sydney 2.26% (↓)       Melbourne 2.71% (↓)     Brisbane 2.90% (↑)        Adelaide 3.01% (↓)     Perth 3.56% (↑)        Hobart 3.72% (↓)     Darwin 4.43% (↑)      Canberra 3.33% (↑)      National Capitals $2.95% (↑)             UNIT ANNUAL GROSS YIELDS AND TREND       Sydney 5.20% (↑)        Melbourne 5.81% (↓)     Brisbane 4.43% (↑)      Adelaide 4.89% (↑)      Perth 5.80% (↑)      Hobart 4.64% (↑)      Darwin 7.07% (↑)        Canberra 6.38% (↓)     National Capitals $5.31% (↑)             HOUSE RENTAL VACANCY RATES AND TREND       Sydney 1.4% (↑)      Melbourne 1.5% (↑)      Brisbane 1.2% (↑)      Adelaide 1.2% (↑)      Perth 1.0% (↑)        Hobart 0.5% (↓)       Darwin 0.7% (↓)     Canberra 1.6% (↑)      National Capitals $1.1% (↑)             UNIT RENTAL VACANCY RATES AND TREND       Sydney 1.4% (↑)      Melbourne 2.4% (↑)      Brisbane 1.5% (↑)      Adelaide 0.8% (↑)      Perth 0.9% (↑)      Hobart 1.2% (↑)        Darwin 1.4% (↓)     Canberra 2.7% (↑)      National Capitals $1.5% (↑)             AVERAGE DAYS TO SELL HOUSES AND TREND       Sydney 31.4 (↑)      Melbourne 29.1 (↑)      Brisbane 29.9 (↑)      Adelaide 25.6 (↑)        Perth 33.8 (↓)     Hobart 27.2 (↑)      Darwin 29.7 (↑)      Canberra 31.0 (↑)      National Capitals $29.7 (↑)             AVERAGE DAYS TO SELL UNITS AND TREND       Sydney 31.4 (↑)      Melbourne 30.9 (↑)      Brisbane 26.6 (↑)      Adelaide 24.3 (↑)        Perth 30.6 (↓)     Hobart 32.0 (↑)        Darwin 26.5 (↓)       Canberra 38.3 (↓)     National Capitals $30.1 (↑)            
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Future Returns: The Banking Crisis Didn’t Scare Off Alternative Investors

By BETH PINSKER
Wed, Apr 5, 2023 8:24amGrey Clock 3 min

Investing for high-net-worth clients can be a bit of a high-wire act because they can have significant amounts of money tied up in complex alternative investments. When the panic started with the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank in March, wealth manager Tom Ruggie was relieved that none of his clients were directly invested.

“We got lucky there,” says Ruggie, a certified financial planner and author who is based in central Florida. “But when it came to Credit Suisse, we had a little bit of a scare.”

Ruggie’s firms—a family office business called Destiny Wealth Partners and a financial planning firm called Ruggie Wealth Management—did some work with the troubled financial institution on debt obligations. It turned out that all of the contracts were completed, but if Credit Suisse had failed, Ruggie and his clients would have lost a lot of money because the notes would not have been paid back.

Investors who have money in private equity, hedge funds, and direct investments in start-ups are used to taking on a lot of risk and have the financial capacity to absorb it. Ruggie points to an EY study that a third of those with assets above US$250,000 hold some alternatives in their portfolios, including 81% of ultra-high net worth clients with more than US$30 million. Scares don’t happen often, but when they do, “it’s an eye-opening event,” Ruggie says.

Still, rather than run to safety when things turn sour, Ruggie’s clients are more likely to go back and do it again. “They are usually willing to take risks when everyone else is running for cover,” he says. “When you have something come up, like the current banking crisis or the situation in 2008, a lot of people psychologically don’t do well with uncertainty. But the savvy investors, they look at it as an opportunity.”

Here’s where Ruggie says high-net-worth investors want to put their money today.

How Much Risk?

Not all high-net-worth investing is deep in alternatives. Ruggie says he divides client money into three pools: short-term money in fixed income, mid-range money in traditional equity investments like mutual funds and exchange-traded funds, and then long-term money in private investments.

To decide the ratio, he says “it’s a statistical correlation of how much money you have to how much you need and for how long. There’s no cookie-cutter answer.”

Some clients don’t put more than 10% of their net worth into non-traditional alternatives. Ruggie’s personal portfolio is pushing 40% alternatives, he says. Much of that is tied up in sports memorabilia—mostly an extensive baseball card collection—and some collectible wines, along with direct investments in companies.

Non-fungible tokens (NFTs) are a bridge too far—“I personally can’t see the advantage of investing in something like that, and never recommend for a client to do so,” Ruggie says.

As for cryptocurrency, Ruggie has dabbled, but just for the experience. “I wanted to learn,” he says. “I did quite well, but when clients came to us for advice, our guidance was that it’s off our path. Our client base is more concerned about long-term performance than the gambling aspect of investing.”

How Much Capital is Required?

Ruggie says direct investments in companies can start as low as US$25,000. These are the opportunities that are the most interesting to his clients right now, especially technology-based start-ups.

Some clients also take a step back and put their money into private-equity that then pools investments and finds companies worth investing in. Those typically require putting in at least US$250,000 and the purchaser has to be qualified, with a net worth of US$5 million net. Ruggie’s clients also invest in hedge funds, real estate, and collectibles.

Of these investments, hedge funds are the most liquid. There’s usually a lock-in period of a year, but then money can typically be withdrawn with 30-days notice.

Private equity has much less flexibility. “I tell people to basically anticipate no liquidity at all,” Ruggie says. “My mindset on private equity is that this is long-term money.”

The same goes for most direct investments in companies, which aside from the potential to sell stakes on the secondary market, there’s no ability to get cash out unless the company goes public and the shares appreciate.

The Potential Gain?

The main reason for investing in alternatives is that the potential upside of these investments is unlimited.That’s what makes it worth the risk. The other reason is that many high-net-worth clients have money to put on the line.

“What is excess? It’s a correlation between what you have and what you need,” says Ruggie. “Everyone’s definition of rich is different.”

In a year like 2022, advisers like Ruggie have had to go to clients with bad news about losses for the year and say, they may have outperformed the market but still lost 10% or whatever the number. But for Ruggie, that’s a temporary situation with paper losses.

The rest of the speech goes something like this: “It’s my belief—backed up by my personal investments—that what we’re doing with alternatives is going to outperform the market with statistically less risk than the market over time. It will catch up.”



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The Casual Footwear Boom Is Over. It’s Bad News for Adidas.

The pandemic-fuelled love affair with casual footwear is fading, with Bank of America warning the downturn shows no sign of easing.

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The boom in casual footware ushered in by the pandemic has ended, a potential problem for companies such as Adidas that benefited from the shift to less formal clothing, Bank of America says.

The casual footwear business has been on the ropes since mid-2023 as people began returning to office.

Analyst Thierry Cota wrote that while most downcycles have lasted one to two years over the past two decades or so, the current one is different.

It “shows no sign of abating” and there is “no turning point in sight,” he said.

Adidas and Nike alone account for almost 60% of revenue in the casual footwear industry, Cota estimated, so the sector’s slower growth could be especially painful for them as opposed to brands that have a stronger performance-shoe segment. Adidas may just have it worse than Nike.

Cota downgraded Adidas stock to Underperform from Buy on Tuesday and slashed his target for the stock price to €160 (about $187) from €213. He doesn’t have a rating for Nike stock.

Shares of Adidas listed on the German stock exchange fell 4.5% Tuesday to €162.25. Nike stock was down 1.2%.

Adidas didn’t immediately respond to a request for comment.

Cota sees trouble for Adidas both in the short and long term.

Adidas’ lifestyle segment, which includes the Gazelles and Sambas brands, has been one of the company’s fastest-growing business, but there are signs growth is waning.

Lifestyle sales increased at a 10% annual pace in Adidas’ third quarter, down from 13% in the second quarter.

The analyst now predicts Adidas’ organic sales will grow by a 5% annual rate starting in 2027, down from his prior forecast of 7.5%.

The slower revenue growth will likewise weigh on profitability, Cota said, predicting that margins on earnings before interest and taxes will decline back toward the company’s long-term average after several quarters of outperforming. That could result in a cut to earnings per share.

Adidas stock had a rough 2025. Shares shed 33% in the past 12 months, weighed down by investor concerns over how tariffs, slowing demand, and increased competition would affect revenue growth.

Nike stock fell 9% throughout the period, reflecting both the company’s struggles with demand and optimism over a turnaround plan CEO Elliott Hill rolled out in late 2024.

Investors’ confidence has faded following Nike’s December earnings report, which suggested that a sustained recovery is still several quarters away. Just how many remains anyone’s guess.

But if Adidas’ challenges continue, as Cota believes they will, it could open up some space for Nike to claw back any market share it lost to its rival.

Investors should keep in mind, however, that the field has grown increasingly crowded in the past five years. Upstarts such as On Holding and Hoka also present a formidable challenge to the sector’s legacy brands.

Shares of On and Deckers Outdoor , Hoka’s parent company, fell 11% and 48%, respectively, in 2025, but analysts are upbeat about both companies’ fundamentals as the new year begins.

The battle of the sneakers is just getting started.

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