Meet the HENRYS: The Six-Figure Earners Who Don’t Feel Rich
Kanebridge News
    HOUSE MEDIAN ASKING PRICES AND WEEKLY CHANGE     Sydney $1,652,125 (+0.36%)       Melbourne $1,015,932 (-0.01%)       Brisbane $1,056,185 (+0.90%)       Adelaide $949,564 (-0.31%)       Perth $930,113 (-0.43%)       Hobart $758,047 (-0.12%)       Darwin $770,874 (+0.08%)       Canberra $974,828 (+1.29%)       National $1,080,843 (+0.32%)                UNIT MEDIAN ASKING PRICES AND WEEKLY CHANGE     Sydney $773,554 (-0.54%)       Melbourne $476,399 (-0.13%)       Brisbane $647,991 (+0.62%)       Adelaide $518,665 (+5.34%)       Perth $529,479 (+0.45%)       Hobart $532,297 (+1.33%)       Darwin $383,399 (-0.28%)       Canberra $503,041 (-0.52%)       National $567,716 (+0.54%)                HOUSES FOR SALE AND WEEKLY CHANGE     Sydney 12,442 (+293)       Melbourne 15,352 (+169)       Brisbane 8,617 (-52)       Adelaide 2,903 (+8)       Perth 7,845 (+199)       Hobart 1,292 (+64)       Darwin 178 (-2)       Canberra 1,222 (-28)       National 49,851 (+651)                UNITS FOR SALE AND WEEKLY CHANGE     Sydney 9,437 (+198)       Melbourne 6,911 (+35)       Brisbane 1,658 (-47)       Adelaide 431 (+6)       Perth 1,719 (+11)       Hobart 228 (+4)       Darwin 285 (+1)       Canberra 1,195 (+24)       National 21,864 (+232)                HOUSE MEDIAN ASKING RENTS AND WEEKLY CHANGE     Sydney $795 (-$5)       Melbourne $590 ($0)       Brisbane $650 ($0)       Adelaide $630 ($0)       Perth $700 ($0)       Hobart $575 (+$8)       Darwin $790 (-$10)       Canberra $700 ($0)       National $688 (-$2)                UNIT MEDIAN ASKING RENTS AND WEEKLY CHANGE     Sydney $730 ($0)       Melbourne $600 ($0)       Brisbane $620 (-$5)       Adelaide $520 ($0)       Perth $650 ($0)       Hobart $490 ($0)       Darwin $560 (+$10)       Canberra $570 ($0)       National $601 (+$)                HOUSES FOR RENT AND WEEKLY CHANGE     Sydney 5,996 (-7)       Melbourne 7,677 (+16)       Brisbane 3,782 (-11)       Adelaide 1,351 (+11)       Perth 2,134 (+95)       Hobart 234 (0)       Darwin 106 (-5)       Canberra 573 (+7)       National 21,853 (+106)                UNITS FOR RENT AND WEEKLY CHANGE     Sydney 7,911 (-78)       Melbourne 5,695 (-60)       Brisbane 1,735 (-76)       Adelaide 345 (+11)       Perth 693 (+44)       Hobart 95 (-6)       Darwin 121 (-15)       Canberra 520 (-15)       National 17,115 (-195)                HOUSE ANNUAL GROSS YIELDS AND TREND         Sydney 2.50% (↓)     Melbourne 3.02% (↑)        Brisbane 3.20% (↓)     Adelaide 3.45% (↑)      Perth 3.91% (↑)      Hobart 3.94% (↑)        Darwin 5.33% (↓)       Canberra 3.73% (↓)       National 3.31% (↓)            UNIT ANNUAL GROSS YIELDS AND TREND       Sydney 4.91% (↑)      Melbourne 6.55% (↑)        Brisbane 4.98% (↓)       Adelaide 5.21% (↓)       Perth 6.38% (↓)       Hobart 4.79% (↓)     Darwin 7.60% (↑)      Canberra 5.89% (↑)        National 5.50% (↓)            HOUSE RENTAL VACANCY RATES AND TREND       Sydney 2.0% (↑)      Melbourne 1.9% (↑)      Brisbane 1.4% (↑)      Adelaide 1.3% (↑)      Perth 1.2% (↑)      Hobart 1.0% (↑)      Darwin 1.6% (↑)      Canberra 2.7% (↑)      National 1.7% (↑)             UNIT RENTAL VACANCY RATES AND TREND       Sydney 2.4% (↑)      Melbourne 3.8% (↑)      Brisbane 2.0% (↑)      Adelaide 1.1% (↑)      Perth 0.9% (↑)      Hobart 1.4% (↑)      Darwin 2.8% (↑)      Canberra 2.9% (↑)      National 2.2% (↑)             AVERAGE DAYS TO SELL HOUSES AND TREND       Sydney 26.6 (↑)        Melbourne 27.2 (↓)       Brisbane 27.1 (↓)       Adelaide 23.6 (↓)       Perth 32.7 (↓)       Hobart 25.3 (↓)     Darwin 27.6 (↑)      Canberra 26.9 (↑)        National 27.1 (↓)            AVERAGE DAYS TO SELL UNITS AND TREND       Sydney 24.0 (↑)        Melbourne 26.2 (↓)     Brisbane 26.5 (↑)        Adelaide 22.0 (↓)       Perth 34.7 (↓)     Hobart 23.8 (↑)      Darwin 33.6 (↑)        Canberra 29.4 (↓)     National 27.5 (↑)            
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Meet the HENRYS: The Six-Figure Earners Who Don’t Feel Rich

When you’re a HENRY—high earner, not rich yet—a hefty salary isn’t enough to buy freedom from financial pressure

By CALLUM BORCHERS
Mon, Oct 7, 2024 11:09amGrey Clock 4 min

Fifteen years ago if you’d told April Little that she’d make $300,000 a year, she would have pictured a life free of financial stress.

“The white picket fence—I have the whole visual in my head,” says Little, 38 years old, a human-resources executive turned career coach in Rochester, N.Y. “I don’t want to sound ungrateful, but when I got to that proverbial mountaintop I realised there’s a lot of expenses. And I still don’t own a home.”

So go the plush-but-not-too-plush lives of the Americans who qualify as HENRY—high earner, not rich yet.

Little makes multiple six figures running her own business but carries $90,000 of college and grad-school debt. Child care and education for her three children would be so costly that she and her husband decided the better option was for him to leave his radio job to parent and home-school full time.

New census data show 14.4% of U.S. households bring in $200,000 or more a year, a near record. Yet the money doesn’t have the buying power those earners wish it did, partly due to the rising prices hammering us all and partly due to the supercharged costs of things like houses and cars. HENRYs describe feeling stuck on a hamster wheel—a nice one that other hamsters envy—but running in place nonetheless.

Oh come on, you’re thinking . You’re asking me to feel sympathy for Audi-driving, Chase Sapphire-loving, Whole Foods-shopping consultant types with kids in private school?

Well…not exactly. But what they’re feeling is a version of what a lot of Americans at every income level face—making more money but not feeling like there’s a surplus. The essence of being a HENRY is feeling a gap between what you have and what you think you need to be comfortable.

What these high earners consider essentials might be termed luxuries (or nonsense) by the rest of us, but it’s also true that it takes more money to feel rich these days. And their great fear is becoming a HENRE: high earner, not rich ever .

Short of expectations

Attorney Joshua Siegel doesn’t expect sympathy as he motors around Los Angeles in his Lexus SUV. He just figured at age 40, having risen to partner and chair of the transactional tax group at Albrecht Law, that he might be driving from a house he owns to a country club where he’s a member.

Instead, his occasional golf outings take him from his rental home to a public course. Raising three kids in one of the country’s most expensive cities has been a reality check, he says. He’s also realised that a lot of people with jobs like his come from wealthy families where trust funds and down-payment assistance give them financial head starts.

The son of an electrician and a dental assistant, Siegel is making his own way in the white-collar world.

“It really just feels like treading water,” he says.

Monique So, a 40-year-old financial consultant, says she and her husband, a software engineer, have a net worth in the mid-seven figures. But she likely won’t breathe easy until, or if, they accumulate an eight-figure net worth. Daycare for their 2-year-old takes a $30,000 bite out of their family budget.

“I have this scarcity mindset that is very common,” she says.

What it takes to feel rich

Caitlin Frederick, director of financial planning at Ullmann Wealth Partners in Jacksonville Beach, Fla., says many of her mid career clients are less affluent than their salaries suggest. She advises a lot of prototypical millennials who racked up student loans in hopes of vaulting into high-paying jobs. They delayed buying houses and starting families while climbing professional ladders.

The first part of their plans worked, she says. The degrees led to hefty incomes. Now that they’re having kids, shopping for real estate and wishing to upgrade their Camrys, they’re discovering that many of life’s major expenses shot up faster than the overall rate of inflation.

Lifestyle creep is a factor too, she says, noting clients who overspend on trips and restaurants.

“It is easy for people to just continue to increase their lifestyle every time they get a promotion,” Frederick says.

Then again, they watched their slightly older co-workers spend freely, and buy lake houses, too. The good life requires more money than it used to, she adds.

In 2009, the median home price was $220,900, according to the Federal Reserve, and a new car cost an average of $23,276, according to the Energy Department. Had prices increased at the rate of the consumer-price index, the average house would cost $322,000 today and a car would cost $34,000. Instead, the Fed reports an average house goes for $412,000 today, and a typical new car is $48,000, according to Kelley Blue Book.

The national going rate for a babysitter 15 years ago was $10.50 an hour, according to Care.com. Now it’s $18.38, 20% more than if the cost had tracked the consumer-price index.

Budget-conscious HENRYs tell me it’s often hard to find mid tier options in, well, anything, as companies push luxury versions of everything from high-end water bottles to $1,000-a-night hotel rooms .

Another big-ticket item

Another financial curveball comes up frequently in my conversations with high earners: school costs.

Nearly half of American private schools increased enrolment in the last academic year, according to the Cato Institute. Parents who originally planned to send their children to public school tell me they’ve gone private for reasons that include pandemic learning disruptions, public schools’ difficulty retaining good teachers and budget problems . Some say they’re convinced private schools are the only places their kids will thrive, though more than 80% of American kids attend public school.

Brad Gyger and his wife shuttle their three children around in a 2014 GMC Yukon with 130,000 miles—not exactly the late-model, luxury ride he expected to own as a three-time chief revenue officer in the tech sector. Then again, he didn’t anticipate annual private-school tuition payments roughly equivalent to the price of a new, fully loaded Cadillac Escalade.

Gyger, now an independent sales consultant in California, says he didn’t consider private education until a few years ago, when he and his wife concluded their oldest child would thrive in a more academically challenging environment. The school could also accommodate their second child’s learning needs. And how could they leave out the youngest?

Gyger, 46, says his family is fortunate to even have education options. The trade-off is living more modestly than his résumé might suggest.

He gave up gym and tennis-club memberships, opting to stay fit on the cheap by cycling and lifting dumbbells in his garage. And forget about upgrading from the home the couple bought in 2015.

“We’re probably never moving,” says Gyger. He hopes they’ll remodel the kitchen. Someday.



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Health Is Wealth When Tariffs Are Denting Profit Forecasts
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President Donald Trump’s imposition of tariffs on trading partners have moved analysts to reduce forecasts for U.S. companies. Many stocks look vulnerable to declines, while some seem relatively immune.

Since the start of the year, analysts’ expectations for aggregate first-quarter sales of S&P 500 component companies have dropped about 0.4%, according to FactSet. The hundreds of billions of dollars worth of imports from China, Mexico, and Canada the Trump administration is placing tariffs on, including metals and basic materials for retail and food sellers, will raise costs for U.S. companies. That will force them to lift prices, reducing the number of goods and services they’ll sell to consumers and businesses.

This outlook has pressured first-quarter earnings estimates by 3.8%. Companies will cut back on marketing and perhaps labour, but many have substantial fixed expenses that can’t easily be reduced, such as depreciation and interest to lenders. Profit margins will drop in the face of lower revenue, thus weighing on profit estimates. The estimates dropped mildly in January, and then picked up steam in February, just after the initial tariff announcements.

“We are starting to see the first instances of analysts cutting numbers on tariff impacts,” writes Citi strategist Scott Chronert.

The reductions aren’t concentrated in one sector; they’re widespread, a concrete indication that the downward revisions are partly related to tariffs, which affect many sectors. The percentage of all analyst earnings-estimate revisions in March for S&P 500 companies that have been downward this year has been 60.1%, according to Citi, worse than the historical average of 53.5% for March.

The consumer-discretionary sector has seen just over 62% of March revisions to be lower, almost 10 percentage points worse than the historical average. The aggregate first-quarter earnings expectation for all consumer-discretionary companies in the S&P 500 has dropped 11% since the start of the year.

That could hurt the stocks going forward, even though the Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR exchange-traded fund has already dropped 11% for the year. The declines have been led by Tesla and Amazon.com , which account for trillions of dollars of market value and comprise a large portion of the fund. The average name in the fund is down about 4% this year, so there could easily be more downside.

That’s especially true because another slew of downward earnings revisions look likely. Analysts have barely changed their full-year 2025 sales projections for the consumer-discretionary sector, and have lowered full-year earnings by only 2%, even though they’ve more dramatically reduced first-quarter forecasts. The current expectation calls for a sharp increase in quarterly sales and earnings from the first quarter through the rest of the year, but that’s unrealistic, assuming tariffs remain in place for the rest of the year.

“The relative estimate achievability of the consumer discretionary earnings are below average,” Trivariate Research’s Adam Parker wrote in a report.

That makes these stocks look still too expensive—and vulnerable to declines. The consumer-discretionary ETF trades at 21.2 times expected earnings for this year, but if those expectations tumble as much as they have for the first quarter, then the fund’s current price/earnings multiple looks closer to 25 times. That’s too high, given that it’s where the multiple was before markets began reflecting ongoing risk to earnings from tariffs and any continued economic consequences. So, another drop in earnings estimates would drag these consumer stocks down even further.

Industrials are in a similar position. Many of them make equipment and machines that would become more costly to import. The sector has seen about two thirds of March earnings revisions move downward, about 13 percentage points worse that the historical average. Analysts have lowered first-quarter-earnings estimates by 6%, but only 3% for the full year, suggesting that more tariff-related downward revisions are likely for the rest of the year.

That would weigh on the stocks. The Industrial Select Sector SPDR ETF is about flat for the year but would look more expensive than it is today if earnings estimates drop more. The stocks face a high probability of downside from here.

The stocks to own are the “defensive” ones, those that are unlikely to see much tariff-related earnings impact, namely healthcare. Demand for drugs and insurance is much sturdier versus less essential goods and services when consumers have less money to spend. The Health Care Select Sector SPDR ETF has produced a 6% gain this year.

That’s supported by earnings trends that are just fine. First-quarter earnings estimates have even ticked slightly higher this year. These stocks should remain relatively strong as long as analysts continue to forecast stable, albeit mild, sales and earnings growth for the coming few years.

“This leads us to recommend healthcare and disfavour consumer discretionary,” Parker writes.

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