Trump and SoftBank Promise to Create 100,000 AI Jobs. It Won’t Be Easy.
2 min
SoftBank Group CEO Masayoshi Son stood besides President-elect Donald Trump at Mar-a-Lago on Monday, and announced a commitment to invest $100 billion in the U.S. over the next four years—and create 100,000 jobs. The investments will be concentrated in AI.
“My confidence level to the economy of the United States has tremendously increased with his victory,” Son said at the news conference.
SoftBank is an investment holding company with a range of technology investments all over the world, but especially in the U.S. At the end of September, the total value of its investments was $136 billion, so the new commitment would represent a substantial expansion of SoftBank’s balance sheet.
Raising that sort of money may prove difficult, but the bigger obstacle could be the commitment on jobs—the focus on AI companies, in particular, complicates the goal. AI companies spend a lot on salaries, but these are some of the most expensive employees in the world right now. And they don’t tend to employ a lot of people overall
OpenAI, which has raised $18 billion and has a private market value of $157 billion, has 1,372 employees. To fulfill Trump and Son’s commitment, in other words, the investments would have to create 73 AI companies on the scale of OpenAI.
“A lot of advanced tech these days, including AI, is capital intensive and also highly dependent on high-paid skilled workers,” labor economist Guy Berger of the Burning Glass Institute told Barron’s . “I’m not sure how much head count $100 billion spread out over four years gets you.”
A selection of a dozen AI start-ups with valuations over a billion dollars reveals the uphill climb to the 100,000 jobs goal. These companies have raised a combined $42 billion and have an aggregate private market value of $309 billion, according to FactSet. Anthropic, which has raised almost $12 billion, has only 425 employees. All told, these companies employ less than 10,000 workers, an average of 785 workers per start-up.
Databricks, a data analytics start-up with a valuation of $43 billion, accounts for almost half of those employees. Excluding Databricks, the per start-up employee count falls to 399.
Other barriers in the labor market exist, as well. The overall unemployment rate is 4.2%, but narrow that down to workers with masters and doctoral degrees who are most likely to be AI employees, and the rate drops to 2.0% and 1.0%, respectively. In all, there are only 483,000 workers with advanced degrees looking for work, and most of them aren’t AI engineers.
“The labor market is not super loose right now,” Berger said. “A lot of gross jobs created here might simply involve reallocating people who already have jobs.”
Monday’s press conference recalled a similar one from 2016, when Trump and Son stood in the lobby of Trump Tower and promised $50 billion in U.S. investment and 50,000 jobs. SoftBank didn’t reply to a request for comment about the progress of that 2016 commitment.
Copyright 2020, Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All Rights Reserved Worldwide. LEARN MORE
From elevated skincare to handcrafted home pieces, this year’s most thoughtful gifts go beyond the expected.
A haven for hedge-fund titans and Hollywood grandees, Greenwich is one of the world’s most expensive residential enclaves, where eye-watering prices meet unapologetic grandeur.
The lunar flyby would be the deepest humans have traveled in space in decades.
4 min
It’s go time for the highest-stakes mission at NASA in more than 50 years.
On April 1, the agency is set to launch four astronauts around the moon, the deepest human spaceflight since the final Apollo lunar landing in 1972.
The launch window for Artemis II , as the mission is called, opens at 6:24 p.m. ET.
National Aeronautics and Space Administration teams have been preparing the vehicles to depart from Florida’s Kennedy Space Center on the planned roughly 10-day trip. Crew members have trained for years for this moment.
Reid Wiseman, the NASA astronaut serving as mission commander, said he doesn’t fear taking the voyage. A widower, he does worry at times about what he is putting his daughters through.
“I could have a very comfortable life for them,” Wiseman said in an interview last September.
“But I’m also a human, and I see the spirit in their eyes that is burning in my soul too. And so we’ve just got to never stop going.”
Wiseman’s crewmates on Artemis II are NASA’s Victor Glover and Christina Koch, as well as Canadian Space Agency astronaut Jeremy Hansen.
What are the goals for Artemis II?
The biggest one: Safely fly the crew on vehicles that have never carried astronauts before.
The towering Space Launch System rocket has the job of lofting a vehicle called Orion into space and on its way to the moon.
Orion is designed to carry the crew around the moon and back. Myriad systems on the ship—life support, communications, navigation—will be tested with the astronauts on board.
SLS and Orion don’t have much flight experience. The vehicles last flew in 2022, when the agency completed its uncrewed Artemis I mission .
How is the mission expected to unfold?
Artemis II will begin when SLS takes off from a launchpad in Florida with Orion stacked on top of it.
The so-called upper stage of SLS will later separate from the main part of the rocket with Orion attached, and use its engine to set up the latter vehicle for a push to the moon.
After Orion separates from the upper stage, it will conduct what is called a translunar injection—the engine firing that commits Orion to soaring out to the moon. It will fly to the moon over the course of a few days and travel around its far side.
Orion will face a tough return home after speeding through space. As it hits Earth’s atmosphere, Orion will be flying at 25,000 miles an hour and face temperatures of 5,000 degrees as it slows down. The capsule is designed to land under parachutes in the Pacific Ocean, not far from San Diego.
Is it possible Artemis II will be delayed?
Yes.
For safety reasons, the agency won’t launch if certain tough weather conditions roll through the Cape Canaveral, Fla., area. Delays caused by technical problems are possible, too. NASA has other dates identified for the mission if it doesn’t begin April 1.
Who are the astronauts flying on Artemis II?
The crew will be led by Wiseman, a retired Navy pilot who completed military deployments before joining NASA’s astronaut corps. He traveled to the International Space Station in 2014.
Two other astronauts will represent NASA during the mission: Glover, an experienced Navy pilot, and Koch, who began her career as an electrical engineer for the agency and once spent a year at a research station in the South Pole. Both have traveled to the space station before.
Hansen is a military pilot who joined Canada’s astronaut corps in 2009. He will be making his first trip to space.
Koch’s participation in Artemis II will mark the first time a woman has flown beyond orbits near Earth. Glover and Hansen will be the first African-American and non-American astronauts, respectively, to do the same.
What will the astronauts do during the flight?
The astronauts will evaluate how Orion flies, practice emergency procedures and capture images of the far side of the moon for scientific and exploration purposes (they may become the first humans to see parts of the far side of the lunar surface). Health-tracking projects of the astronauts are designed to inform future missions.
Those efforts will play out in Orion’s crew module, which has about two minivans worth of living area.
On board, the astronauts will spend about 30 minutes a day exercising, using a device that allows them to do dead lifts, rowing and more. Sleep will come in eight-hour stretches in hammocks.
There is a custom-made warmer for meals, with beef brisket and veggie quiche on the menu.
Each astronaut is permitted two flavored beverages a day, including coffee. The crew will hold one hourlong shared meal each day.
The Universal Waste Management System—that’s the toilet—uses air flow to pull fluid and solid waste away into containers.
What happens after Artemis II?
Assuming it goes well, NASA will march on to Artemis III, scheduled for next year. During that operation, NASA plans to launch Orion with crew members on board and have the ship practice docking with lunar-lander vehicles that Elon Musk’s SpaceX and Jeff Bezos’ Blue Origin have been developing. The rendezvous operations will occur relatively close to Earth.
NASA hopes that its contractors and the agency itself are ready to attempt one or more lunar landing missions in 2028. Many current and former spaceflight officials are skeptical that timeline is feasible.
The PG rating has become the king of the box office. The entertainment business now relies on kids dragging their parents to theatres.
On October 2, acclaimed chef Dan Arnold will host an exclusive evening, unveiling a Michelin-inspired menu in a rare masterclass of food, storytelling and flavour.
