Sweden’s Central Bank Cuts Key Rate and Sees Two or Three More Cuts This Year
The Riksbank cut its key rate to 3.5% from 3.75%
The Riksbank cut its key rate to 3.5% from 3.75%
Sweden’s central bank cut its key interest rate for the second time this year and indicated it is likely to lower borrowing costs again as a faltering economy threatens to push inflation further below its target.
The Riksbank cut its key rate to 3.5% from 3.75%, in line with a poll of economists conducted by The Wall Street Journal ahead of the decision.
“If the inflation outlook remains the same, the policy rate can be cut two or three more times this year, which is somewhat faster than the Executive Board assessed in June,” the Riksbank said.
At its last meeting in June, the central bank suggested it could cut the policy rate two or three times during the second half of the year as long as the outlook for inflation holds.
After peaking at over 10% at the end of 2022, the pace of inflation in Sweden has slowed sharply, with the bank’s target measure dropping below the 2% target in both June and July. At the same time, the economy contracted by 0.8% in the three months through June, while household consumption remains weak and the labor market continues to deteriorate.
In its statement Tuesday, the Riksbank said inflation is now stabilising close to the target and the risk of inflation becoming too high again has declined significantly. At the same time, it said wage increases are moderate, while the growth outlook in Sweden and abroad is somewhat weaker than expected.
“The overall picture of the economy is worrisome and warrants more easing,” says Bartosz Sawicki, market analyst at Conotoxia. “Consumption remains in the doldrums, and GDP growth is set to account for about 0.5% year-on-year in 2024.”
Policymakers have been especially concerned about lowering borrowing costs too quickly over concerns that it would weaken the Swedish currency further and contribute to a bounce in inflation, but those risks are also dissipating as interest rates have declined abroad, easing depreciatory pressure on the krona.
Conotoxia expects the krona will continue to recover in the remainder of the year on the back of improving global risk sentiment. “Hefty market pricing of looming rate cuts should limit the downside for the currency,” Sawicki says.
The European Central Bank began its easing cycle in June, and although it took a wait-and-see approach at its most recent meeting, it kept the door open for further rate cuts this year.
In the U.S., the Federal Reserve has so far held off making its first move and last month held interest rates steady in a range between 5.25% and 5.5% for an eighth consecutive meeting.
However, weaker-than-forecast U.S. non farm payroll data earlier this month sparked recession concerns and prompted markets to ramp up bets for interest rate cuts. These rate cut expectations have since been trimmed following stronger data, but a September cut is largely expected by markets and Fed Chair Jerome Powell ’s speech at the Jackson Hole Symposium on Friday will be closely watched for clues.
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Starbucks is making another major leadership change just one week after new CEO Brian Niccol started his job.
Michael Conway, the 58-year-old coffee chain’s head of North America, will be retiring at the end of November, according to a Monday filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission.
The decision came only six months after Conway took on the job. His position won’t be filled. Instead, the company plans to seek candidates for a new role in charge of Starbucks’ global branding.
The chief brand officer role will have responsibilities across product, marketing, digital, customer insights, creative and store concepts.
“Recognizing the unmatched capabilities of the Starbucks team and seeing the energy and enthusiasm for Brian’s early vision, I could not think of a better time to begin my transition towards retirement,” wrote Conway in a statement.
Conway has been at Starbucks for more than a decade, and was promoted to his current job—a newly created role—back in March, as part of the company’s structural leadership change under former CEO Laxman Narasimhan.
The coffee giant has been struggling with weaker sales in recent quarters, as it faces not only macroeconomic headwinds, but also operational, branding, and product development challenges.
Narasimhan was taking many moves to turn around the business, but faced increasing pressure from the board, shareholders, and activist investors.
One month ago, Starbucks ousted Narasimhan and appointed Brian Niccol, the former CEO at Chipotle, as its top executive. The stock has since jumped 20% in a show of faith for Niccol, who started at Starbucks last week.
When he was at Chipotle, Niccol made a few executive hires that were key to the company’s turnaround.
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