America’s Obsession With Weight-Loss Drugs Is Affecting the Economy of Denmark
Novo Nordisk’s market capitalisation has matched the GDP of its home country
Novo Nordisk’s market capitalisation has matched the GDP of its home country
Ozempic and Wegovy are tilting the scales of Denmark’s economy.
Their Danish manufacturer, Novo Nordisk, has generated billions of dollars of revenue and supercharged the company’s market capitalisation. That has led to lower interest rates in the country, according to a bank report and economists.
The market value of Denmark’s biggest company has risen by more than a third so far this year to about $419 billion, bigger than the country’s gross domestic product of about $406 billion. The measures aren’t synonymous: market capitalisation is the value of all Novo Nordisk shares, while GDP measures goods and services produced in a year. But the comparison demonstrates how Novo Nordisk has surged past companies such as Lego and Carlsberg to sway the economy of its nordic homeland.
Take foreign-exchange management for one example.
Denmark’s currency, the krone, is pegged to the euro. Central bankers in Copenhagen adjust interest rates and make other interventions to keep its value steady with that of the continent’s common currency.
Novo Nordisk’s U.S. sales of Ozempic and Wegovy have been so strong that it has had to convert dollars into kroner in unusually large quantities, raising the krone’s value relative to the euro, said Danske Bank director Jens Naervig Pedersen.
“Because the pharmaceutical industry’s exports have grown so much, it’s creating a big influx of currency into the Danish economy,” he said.
Denmark’s central bankers have responded by keeping interest rates below the European Central Bank’s, weakening the krone, said Pedersen.
Denmark’s central bank declined to comment.
Novo Nordisk’s success with drugs used for weight loss and diabetes is overall a boon to the Danish economy, which will benefit from more jobs created by the company’s growth as it invests domestically, economists said. Lower interest rates also benefit home buyers who can secure mortgage rates somewhat lower than in the rest of Europe, they said.
“It is an embarrassment of riches—this is good for the Danish economy and they’re getting a lot of export revenues,” said Gian Maria Milesi-Ferretti, an economist and senior fellow at the Brookings Institution.
For small countries, having a domestic company play such a disproportionate role in the economy carries risks. For years, fellow Nordic nation Finland’s economy was dominated by telecom Nokia, which at its peak in 2000 accounted for 4% of the country’s GDP, more than a fifth of exports and some 70% of value on its stock exchange. It played a significant role in Finland’s growth from 1995-2007, when GDP per capita rose 55%, nearly double the increase in the U.S.
Nokia’s decline also coincided with a decade of economic stagnation in Finland after 2008. The collapse of Nokia’s handset market, largely because of competition from the iPhone that Apple introduced in 2007, exacerbated Finland’s economic woes, which under austerity policies and the eurozone crisis saw its per capita income decline over the next decade.
Novo Nordisk is now the second-most valuable public company in Europe after luxury brand LVMH Moët Hennessy Louis Vuitton.
Analysts estimate Novo Nordisk’s weight-loss drug sales to be $6.1 billion this year and to reach nearly $15 billion annually in 2027, according to data provider FactSet.
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Administration officials have spoken to the airline industry, which has voiced concerns about the rising costs.
Former New Hampshire Gov. Chris Sununu delivered a warning to Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent during a recent visit to Washington: Already-high airfares will surge if the war in Iran doesn’t end soon.
Sununu, a Republican who represents some of the biggest airlines as president of the industry group Airlines for America, has for weeks sounded the alarm to Trump administration officials about the economic fallout from high jet fuel prices. The war, Sununu has argued, must come to a close soon, or things will get worse.
Administration officials have gotten the message.
Privately, President Trump’s advisers are increasingly worried that Republicans will pay a political price for the rising fuel costs, according to people familiar with the matter. Many of those advisers are eager to end the war, hoping prices will begin to moderate before November’s midterm elections.
The fallout from the U.S.-Israeli attack in late February has slowed traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, a vital shipping lane, triggering a sharp increase in oil, gasoline and jet-fuel prices.
That means consumers are grappling with high costs ahead of the summer travel season, as they consider vacation plans.
Sixty-three per cent of Americans said they put a great deal or a good amount of blame on Trump for the increase in gas prices, according to a new poll conducted by NPR, PBS and Marist.
More than 8 in 10 Americans said struggles at the gas pump are putting strain on their finances.
Jet-fuel prices roughly doubled in a matter of weeks after the war began, and they have remained high. Airlines have said that will add billions of dollars of additional expenses this year, squeezing profit margins.
U.S. airlines spent more than $5 billion on fuel in March—up 30% from a year earlier, according to government data.
Carriers have been raising ticket prices, hoping to pass the cost along to consumers, and they are culling flights that will no longer make money at higher price levels.
In March, the price of a U.S. domestic round-trip economy ticket rose 21% from a year earlier to $570, according to Airlines Reporting Corp., which tracks travel-agency sales.
So far, airlines have said the higher fares haven’t deterred bookings and they are hoping to recoup more of the fuel-cost increases as the year goes on.
Earlier this week, Trump said the current price of oil is “a very small price to pay for getting rid of a nuclear weapon from people that are really mentally deranged.”
Secretary of State Marco Rubio told reporters that if Iran got a nuclear weapon, the country would have more leverage to keep the strait closed and “make our gas prices like $9 a gallon or $8 a gallon.”
Trump has taken steps in recent days to bring the war to an end. Late Tuesday, the president paused a plan to help guide trapped commercial ships out of the Strait of Hormuz, expressing optimism that a deal could be reached with Iran to end the conflict.
Crude oil prices fell below $100 a barrel on Wednesday, after reports that Iran and the U.S. are working with mediators on a one-page framework to restart negotiations aimed at ending the conflict and opening the strait.
Sununu said Trump administration officials are conscious of the economic fallout from the war: “They get it…and I think that’s why they’re trying to get through the war as fast as they can.”
But he cautioned that it could take months for prices to return to prewar levels.
“Ticket prices won’t go down immediately” after the strait is fully reopened, Sununu said. “You’re looking at elevated ticket prices through the summer and fall because it takes a while for the prices to go down.”
Since the initial U.S.-Israeli attack in late February, Sununu has met in Washington with National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett, representatives from the Transportation Department and senior White House officials.
A White House official confirmed that Hassett and Sununu have discussed the effect of increased fuel prices on the airline industry. The official said the conversation touched on how the industry can mitigate the impact of high jet fuel prices on consumers.
“The president and his entire energy team anticipated these short-term disruptions to the global energy markets from Operation Epic Fury and had a plan prepared to mitigate these disruptions,” White House spokeswoman Taylor Rogers said, pointing to the administration’s decision to waive a century-old shipping law in a bid to lower the cost of moving oil.
Rogers said the administration is working with industry representatives to “address their concerns, explore potential actions, and inform the president’s policy decisions.”
A Treasury Department spokesman pointed to Bessent’s recent comments on Fox News that the U.S. economy remains strong despite price increases. The spokesman said Treasury officials have met with airline executives, who have reaffirmed strong ticket bookings.
“We’re cognizant that this short-term move up in prices is affecting the American people, but I am also confident, on the other side of this, prices will come down very quickly,” Bessent told Fox News on Monday.
The war has already contributed to one casualty in the industry: Spirit Airlines. Company representatives have said they were forced to close the airline because the sustained surge in jet-fuel prices derailed the company’s plan to emerge from chapter 11 bankruptcy.
The Trump administration and Spirit failed to come to an agreement for the company to receive a financial lifeline of as much as $500 million from the federal government.
Transportation Secretary Sean Duffy has argued that the Iran war wasn’t the cause of Spirit’s demise, pointing to the company’s past financial struggles, as well as the Biden administration’s decision to challenge a merger with JetBlue.
Other budget airlines have also turned to the federal government for help since the U.S.-Israeli attack. A group of budget airlines last month sought $2.5 billion in financial assistance to offset higher fuel costs, and they separately wrote to lawmakers asking for relief from certain ticket taxes.
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