The Wealth Management Business Is Growing Fast. Here Are the Speed Bumps.

For years, the wealth management industry has been rising on a geyser of assets under management. From an estimated $27 trillion in 2018, assets are estimated at $64 trillion today and are projected by Statista Market Insights to hit $87 trillion in 2028.

But fast-growing industries face challenges. For this week’s Big Q , we asked industry professionals to identify some of them. The question: What are the biggest challenges facing the wealth management industry and why are they so important?

Alan Moore, CEO, XY Planning Network and AdvicePay: A major change is the shift from product sales to advice. It means you have to actually train on finances and advice, not just learn sales. It’s creating a spike in demand for CFP professionals—we just had the largest cycle of exam takers in the past 12 months—after the CFP has been around for 50 years. And there’s a shortage of talent who can handle being advisors.

Product organizations hired for salespeople for years and now have to adapt to hiring advice givers. It’s causing products to be reinvented with no-commission alternatives. It’s leading people to switch channels and break away—because broker-dealers are technically securities product/sales distribution platforms, and you don’t need one if you’re in the advice business.

The shift to advice has been under way for over 30 or 40 years. But the vast majority of the industry, probably 90%-plus, is still built around a product distribution business model, not around advice. You see this in recruitment efforts, where folks are being recruited into sales roles and you lose 90% to 95% of your new hires because they don’t make the cut. We don’t have 90% or 95% turnover on new hires into advice roles, but people who want to work in the advice industry are very different from the folks who want to do sales.

Ryan Parker, CEO, EP Wealth Advisors: My one-word answer as far as the biggest challenge is “people.” This has always been a talent industry. It’s about people serving people. But increasingly, the talent opportunity and challenge is getting more and more complicated and nuanced. To serve clients, it’s no longer sufficient to just have the best advisors. Plus, the best advisors are increasingly difficult to attract and to develop and to cultivate. That’s either because they’re happy with where they are, or once they get in a good situation, they probably do serve clients well by staying the course.

The talent that surrounds the client and enables the advisor, that’s where the war is really heating up. And it’s not just the financial planning or tax or estate, but it’s the technical talent—people who understand and can deploy the different technologies that are inside our industry and increasingly ubiquitous across industries. I really think that whatever your time horizon is, the ability to attract, develop, align, and then reward and retain the best talent throughout the organization is critical.

I think it starts with the front lines who are interfacing with clients every day, but it goes now to every single position. That is what’s going to separate those who are able to build something of scale and significance over time. Clients are going to go where the best talent resides. So to compete, I’m going to go for the best people.

Daniel Burke, founding partner, investment management, Callan Family Office: One of the biggest challenges facing the industry is managing the complexity and volume of all clients’ personal data.

An ultrahigh net worth family or family office often has data everywhere—siloed at multiple providers and custodians, old tax returns, et cetera. As advisors, we have to help them manage this data in order to provide good advice and execute across their full balance sheet. We’re investing more and more in data processes, data quality, and technology to help families make decisions across a clean, comprehensive set of data.

The challenge is that even if we invest to collect all of that data, the systems downstream, the third-party applications, CRMs, trading systems, reporting systems, and financial planning software, this whole ecosystem of apps and fintech investments, can’t necessarily work with all that data. The fact that so many of the technology players are focused on solving for the mass affluent leaves a real gap in the process for the ultrahigh net worth. And that’s a challenge for the industry to try to solve.

Mitch Avnet, CEO and managing partner, Compliance Risk Concepts: We provide outsourced, ongoing compliance support to asset management firms and independent investment advisors, and to the institutional folks and to broker dealers as well. To me the challenge is figuring out how to embrace new technology concepts out there, whether it’s AI, crypto, or anything else coming on the horizon Advisors have to really be thoughtful, careful and pragmatic in terms of how they leg into this stuff.

One of the biggest concerns I think any regulator or compliance officer would have when a firm gets into the world of what I call one-offs, like AI or crypto, is having the operational infrastructure expertise or capabilities to support it in place.

It’s great to say that you’re going to embrace AI. But how is that built into your overall model, specific to portfolio management? Are you just turning over the keys to a machine, or are you using it as a tool in how your team does their overall analysis and how they implement strategies? I think early entrants can get caught with their pants down when there’s a flight to a new, shiny object, if they haven’t really thought about what the potential ramifications are if something goes wrong.

Chip makers are fighting to assure investors that the artificial-intelligence boom is racing forward. Wall Street might not believe it until Nvidia’s NVDA -0.98%decrease; down pointing triangle Jensen Huang says so.

When Huang steps up to the mic for his company’s earnings call Wednesday, he will have the world’s attention. What he says about Nvidia’s present will preview the future of AI, dictate the path forward for a tech-crazed stock market and influence an American economy increasingly tethered to hopes that the boom won’t go bust.

The $5 trillion chip maker has provided the key building blocks for AI since the launch of ChatGPT in 2022 set off a race for dominance among OpenAI, Anthropic and established Silicon Valley giants. Now, as Nvidia backstops sprawling data-center projects and an exotic money pipeline to boost chip demand, the company’s influence is arguably bigger than ever.

But there are signs of trouble ahead. Political pushback to AI is growing. A bond selloff propelled borrowing costs to their highest levels in years. The hyperscalers that include some of Nvidia’s key customers—once cash-printing machines—are relying more on debt. OpenAI recently told investors its revenue rose by a tepid 18% in the second quarter while its losses deepened.

Nvidia is increasingly stepping in to shore up potential weak points across the market. Earlier this month, the company teamed up with six of Wall Street’s biggest firms on a $500 billion AI-financing plan, pledging to backstop lending to customers that can’t afford its chips otherwise. The chip maker last week also took a stake in Cloverleaf Infrastructure, which arranges power for data centers, and struck a $6 billion deal with startup Poolside aimed at developing a powerful open-weight AI model.

After watching shares in other chip makers and the so-called Magnificent Seven tech companies swing wildly in recent months, Wall Street is hoping Nvidia can beat expectations—again. The countdown is on.

“It’s kind of becoming more and more like the World Cup final than the Super Bowl at this point,” said Brian Mulberry, chief market strategist at Zacks Investment Management. “It’s just gotten to be that big.”

The company has smashed analysts’ earnings estimates for each of the 14 quarters since the AI boom kicked into high gear. Nvidia posted 210% annual growth in net income in its last three-month period, according to FactSet, making Wall Street’s 126% projection look pedestrian.

Expectations for a blowout second quarter have risen rapidly over the course of this year. All Nvidia will have to do to beat this target: outrun 95% annual earnings growth to more than $51.5 billion. Analysts project the chip maker will report record sales of $92 billion for the period, up from a forecast of $78 billion at the start of this year.

In July, big-tech earnings sparked volatility. Concerns about runaway capital spending spread across the sector after Alphabet’s and Tesla’s results, driving a $890 billion wipeout that contributed to the unwind of hedge fund Situational Awareness. Microsoft posted the largest one-day gain in market capitalization by any company, ever, after a quarter proving that it could still show investors the money. SpaceX rocketed higher after a record-breaking initial public offering, only to see $1 trillion in value evaporate.

Surging memory prices and borrowing costs have fueled fears that those and other companies will be unable to keep plowing more money into supplies including Nvidia chips. Shaia Hosseinzadeh, founder of OnyxPoint Global Management, has recently bought dips in AI-infrastructure stocks when Wall Street has strained to absorb massive debt issued by Silicon Valley.

“The macro data is really quite robust,” he said. “Of course, there’s a level at which everything breaks.”

Investors have kept pumping money into the AI trade despite concerns around chip consumers—and to the benefit of chip producers. That is why Nvidia’s outlook for semiconductor demand could send ripples through counterparts such as Micron Technology and Sandisk, developers of the data centers in which their chips reside, and a supply chain of power producers, contractors and other specialists that underpin the globe-spanning AI build-out.

“We joke internally that we’re all Nvidia analysts now,” said David Lefkowitz, head of U.S. equities at UBS Global Wealth Management.

The irony is that investors have tended to sell Nvidia stock immediately after blockbuster earnings, with shares falling each trading session after its four past quarterly reports. Some are betting that will be the case this time around, too.

The options market is pricing in a 5.3% swing, higher or lower, in Nvidia shares during the session following earnings, according to Option Research & Technology Services. That is higher than the 4.8% average move in Nvidia’s stock over the last 12 months after the company reports quarterly results.

In recent days, some of the most actively traded Nvidia options have been put contracts tied to the stock falling from its Friday value of $214.75 to $205 and $210 apiece, according to Cboe Global Markets data. Put options give the right to sell a stock by a set price and typically represent a bearish wager.

Many analysts remain optimistic. Frank Lee, global head of tech hardware and semiconductor research at HSBC Global Investment Research, recently raised his price target for Nvidia shares to $360 from $325, citing, among other things, Nvidia’s strategic partnerships with suppliers and its role as a top contributor to open-source AI.

The Wealth Management Business Is Growing Fast. Here Are the Speed Bumps.

Nvidia’s earnings will test Wall Street’s confidence in the AI boom.