Why Chasing Yield After the Budget Could Cost You Everything
The federal budget has rattled property investors. But the biggest mistake isn’t the tax changes, it’s the conclusion many are drawing from them.
The federal budget has rattled property investors. But the biggest mistake isn’t the tax changes, it’s the conclusion many are drawing from them.
The recent budget has forced a reckoning for property investors.
Negative gearing now restricted to new residential builds, the CGT discount gone and on paper, the numbers look different.
And many investors are responding by pivoting toward yield, prioritising cash flow over capital growth in a way that property strategists say misses the point entirely.
“The debate has shifted to yield versus growth as if they are opposing forces,” says Abdullah Nouh, founder of Melbourne-based buyers’ agency Mecca Property Group. “But that framing is itself the mistake.”
Nouh, who works with high-net-worth families and investors on long-term acquisition strategy, argues that capital growth remains the primary driver of genuine wealth creation and that the post-budget environment has made quality assets more important, not less.
The numbers make his case plainly. An additional $500 per week in rental income is welcome. A prestige asset appreciating by $1 million over a market cycle is transformative.
These are not equivalent outcomes, and portfolios built around yield at the expense of location and land value tend to generate income while wealth stands largely still.
The more nuanced shift Nouh is seeing among sophisticated investors is a move toward assets where both outcomes can be engineered simultaneously – established homes on substantial land in quality locations, where the existing dwelling can be repositioned, rental returns improved, and the underlying land value compounds independent of what sits on it.
For investors with existing equity, commercial property is also entering the conversation in a more serious way.
Prestige industrial assets, medical centres and long-leased essential retail offer income profiles that residential property in most capital city markets cannot currently match: longer lease terms, tenants covering outgoings, and greater predictability than the residential tenancy cycle.
“The investors who build lasting wealth are rarely the ones who chased yield or growth exclusively,” says Nouh.
“They are the ones who built a strategy they could sustain – one that generated enough income to hold quality assets through multiple cycles while those assets compounded in value.”
The budget has changed the settings. It has not changed the fundamentals.
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Millions of houses, thousands of jets, every NFL and NBA team—imagine the things a trillionaire could buy.
The initial public offering for SpaceX could make Elon Musk the world’s first trillionaire. Just how wealthy is the tech founder?
His fortune now stands at roughly $970 billion, mostly in stock, according to a Wall Street Journal analysis.
Accumulating that amount over his career averages out to $992 a second.
Musk’s wealth includes $538 billion for his pre-IPO stake in SpaceX, $167 billion for his stake in Tesla , and another $150 billion or so for stock options in those companies he could exercise just about any time, the Journal analysis found.
Then there is $5 billion apiece for The Boring Company, which drills tunnels, and Neuralink, the brain-implant firm he founded, and $104 billion in property, aircraft and other investments and assets as estimated by Altrata, a wealth-intelligence firm
Musk is 54 years old and co-founded the first of his many U.S. tech- and engineering-oriented companies in 1995, 31 years ago. To amass $970 billion in that time meant accumulating roughly:
An American household earning the median U.S. income ($83,730 in 2024) would have to work more than 11 million years to make his wealth.
To be sure, the success of Tesla and SpaceX also has made billions of dollars for investors who bet on Musk and made millionaires of employees who got shares in the businesses.
Ingrid Robeyns, a philosopher and economist, has written that the wealth of the world’s richest has soared so much it is nearly incomprehensible for laypeople to grasp.
She recently estimated that Musk would make about $4.2 million an hour in his career, if he worked 70 hours a week without vacations until he is 75 years old.
Musk, of course, is known for sleeping on factory floors and rarely taking vacations. After buying Twitter, he has said, his work exploded to more than 120 hours a week from about 80 hours before.
Most of Musk’s wealth is tied up in his companies. He famously said in 2020 that he would “own no house” and sold off several California properties, only to later buy homes in Texas.
Musk can borrow billions against his holdings in SpaceX and Tesla, but much of his wealth is on paper—not cash he can easily spend.
Here are some things a person with $970 billion could do with that amount of money:
Musk’s net worth eclipses the annual economic activity of more than 125 countries, including Norway, Thailand, Argentina and South Africa.
His self-made fortune, built on electric vehicles rocket ships and artificial-intelligence ambitions amounts to about 3% of U.S. gross domestic product today. On that basis, he easily surpasses John D. Rockefeller , the richest American who ever lived before Musk.
A century ago, Rockefeller rode the wave of industrialisation by building Standard Oil into a behemoth, wielding influence over railroads and pipelines. The monopoly was ultimately broken up by the federal government.
Rockefeller amassed a fortune of about $1.4 billion by 1937—roughly 1.5% of U.S. GDP at the time. Here is how that compares in terms of today’s economy:
This explanatory article may be periodically updated.
Sources: Altrata (Musk net worth excluding options; Bezos, Ellison and Zuckerberg net worth); Securities and Exchange Commission filings (Tesla and SpaceX stock options); Census via St. Louis Fed (2024 median U.S. annual household income, first-quarter 2026 median U.S. house sale price); Forbes (NFL and NBA team values); Liberty Jet (G700 operating costs); International Monetary Fund (2026 GDP by country); Harvard Business School case study (Rockefeller wealth) undefined Photos: Getty Images (Musk); Associated Press (Musk, Bezos, NBA, NFL); Reuters (Zuckerberg, Ellison); Bloomberg (homes, jet)
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