An interest rate pause, but the pain may not be over yet
Borrowers may need to dig deep before the year is out
Borrowers may need to dig deep before the year is out
The prospect of another interest rate hike rests on the outcome of the June quarter inflation figures, research director at property data analysts CoreLogic said.
CoreLogic’s Tim Lawless said while yesterday’s decision by the RBA Board to keep interest rates on hold was welcome news for mortgage holders, it was not an indication that rates had peaked.
“The June quarter inflation outcome, to be released late this month, will be critical in determining whether there are more rate hikes ahead,” he said.
Although most economists expected the RBA Board to increase the cash rate by another 25 basis points yesterday, governor Philip Lowe said the board recognised the need for a pause as the full impact of a four per cent rise in rates since May last year fully played out.
However, another rate rise is clearly still on the table.
“Inflation in Australia has passed its peak and the monthly CPI indicator for May showed a further decline,” Mr Lowe said. “But inflation is still too high and will remain so for some time yet.
“And if high inflation were to become entrenched in people’s expectations, it would be very costly to reduce later, involving even higher interest rates and a larger rise in unemployment. For these reasons, the Board’s priority is to return inflation to target within a reasonable timeframe.”
Navigating a pathway through managing inflation via additional rate rises without further limiting access to credit will be tricky, Mr Lawless said. At the same time, higher cost of living was having a negative impact on consumer confidence.
“Currently high interest rates and the potential for a hike in August could weigh further on consumer sentiment, which is already around GFC lows,” he said. “Historically consumer sentiment and housing market sales have been closely correlated.
“The combination of high cost of living pressures, negative real income growth and the high cost of debt have made it hard for borrowers to obtain credit approval, especially with lenders less willing to lend on high debt-to-income ratios, high loan-to-income ratios or on smaller deposits.”
He said the current level of interest rates would most likely expose more borrowers to mortgage arrears in the coming months, although it may not be as severe as some predicted.
“To date, the majority of borrowers have kept on track with their mortgage repayments, with APRA data for the March quarter indicating only half a percent of home loan borrows had fallen less than 90 days behind on their mortgage repayments,” Mr Lawless said.
“While the portion of borrowers falling behind on their repayment schedule is likely to rise, Australia’s unemployment rate is forecast to remain below 5 percent, which should help to prevent a material blowout in mortgage arrears.”
This stylish family home combines a classic palette and finishes with a flexible floorplan
Just 55 minutes from Sydney, make this your creative getaway located in the majestic Hawkesbury region.
Home to Sir Robert Menzies and Dame Pattie, this grand Melbourne estate is a piece of Australian political history.
It may be a well-worn cliche, but if these walls could talk there would be plenty of state secrets to share. The landmark residence at 8-10 Howard St, Kew was once the private residence of Sir Robert Menzies and Dame Pattie between 1929 and 1949, during the Prime Minster’s first term in the top job. He later held the role again from 1949 to 1966, making him Australia’s longest serving Prime Minister.
Historical land records indicate that the Howard St property was sold to Leonard Clinton Shaw, brother-in-law of Pattie Menzies. Robert and Patti then moved to live into The Lodge in Canberra.
The stately arts and crafts era home was built in the 1910s and has reportedly played host to a long list of dignitaries and VIP guests. As rumour has it, the drawing room of the Kew property is where Menzies crafted his iconic speeches and held many clandestine meetings.
Today the imposing five-bedroom residence, which sits on a vast 1874sq m land parcel in the coveted Studley Park precinct, has come to market through Marshall White agents James Tostevin and Chris Barrett with a price guide of $8.3 million to $8.9 million.
According to CoreLogic, the property last sold in 2018 for $7.75 million.
Beyond the expansive parklike grounds that to pay homage to celebrated Australian landscaper Edna Walling, the two-storey house is packed with meticulously maintained period features.
Showcasing the best of arts and crafts design influences, the home has a charming tuck-point brick façade, a tessellated tile veranda, coloured leadlight glass windows, dark stained wood panelling inside, as well as high decorative ceilings and cornices.
The large foyer divides the lower level into two distinct zones; big formal rooms and more casual family-friendly spaces. Built for entertaining on a grand scale, both the lounge and dining rooms rooms have original fireplaces and open out to either the undercover veranda or enclosed sunroom.
Also on the ground level, a spacious family room with yet another fireplace connects to an everyday meals area, and the contemporary kitchen comes complete with granite surfaces, a Paul Bocuse stove, an integrated Miele dishwasher, a walk-in pantry and wine cellar. A home office, or potential guest bedroom, plus a large laundry and two powder rooms round out the lower level floor plan.
Up via a majestic timber staircase, four big bedrooms have fireplaces and built-in wardrobes, while the primary suite is home to a palatial ensuite and dressing room. This accommodation level also houses two family bathrooms and a rear balcony that overlooks the grounds.
Outdoors there are multiple lifestyle features including a north/south tennis court with lighting, a unique rounds swimming pool and all-weather terraces.
Other features include an alarm, hydronic heating, a 60,000L underground tank, a garden shed, a remote double garage and additional off-street parking.
Located on the old Oakland Estate, the Menzies’ former home is close to popular eateries, Xavier College, St Vincents Private Hospital and golf courses.
Expressions of interest close on March 11, at 5pm for 8-10 Howard St, Kew. The home is listed with a price guide of $8.3 million to $8.9 million through agents James Tostevin and Chris Barrett of Marshall White.
This stylish family home combines a classic palette and finishes with a flexible floorplan
Just 55 minutes from Sydney, make this your creative getaway located in the majestic Hawkesbury region.