Australian economy 'finely poised' as borrowers feel impact of 'unnecessary' rate rises

The past two interest rate rises by the RBA were unnecessary, a new report released by Deloitte Access Economics today has said.

Lead author and Deloitte Access Economics Partner Stephen Smith said in the business outlook report that the Australian economy is now ‘finely poised’ as economic growth slows to a trickle this year, the weakest since the recession of the early 1990s, outside pandemic conditions.

“Our view remains unchanged – the additional 50 basis points of increases earlier this year were unnecessary, and have prompted a further downgrade in Australia’s growth outlook,” Smith said. “That downgrade is centred on our households, and a ‘consumer recession’ is now forecast in 2023, with household spending expected to finish the year below where it started.”

While he said many mortgage holders were in a position to weather the interest rate rises, which will mean an increase in payments of $14,000 for a $600,000 when lenders pass on the full increases, a significant group were not. He said as many as 15 percent of variable rate, owner-occupier mortgage holders could be in negative cash flow by the end of 2023.

“On these numbers, at least 300,000 Australian households may currently be experiencing negative cash flow, with mortgage repayments and essential living expenses together exceeding household disposable income,” Smith said. “That should shock all of us.”

Smith said the pressures on the construction will also continue to impact the rental market, with commencement on new dwellings expected to be the lowest in a decade.

“Construction is expected to commence on significantly fewer houses and apartments compared to previous years – in fact, Deloitte Access Economics expects that 2023 will see construction commence on the fewest dwellings in more than a decade and almost 70,000 below the level commencements recorded in 2021,” Smith said.

“On these numbers, new housing supply would just barely keep pace with population growth, let alone ease what is a critical undersupply. In short, we are building far too few dwellings and, with a myriad of supply side challenges unresolved, that is unlikely to change in the near term.”

Deloitte Access Economics has revised expectations for economic growth down to 1.5 percent for this year and just 1.2 percent for 2024.

Klaus Busse would like you to close your eyes and imagine yourself behind the wheel of a Maserati. Picture the GranTurismo, which launched in Australia in 2024. Where do you see yourself? Chances are, Busse suggests, it’s not during the school pick-up or commuting to the office.

“You’re probably on a wonderful road in Tuscany, or Highway 1, or you’re going to a red carpet event,” says Busse, who holds the enviable title of Head of Design at Maserati, the iconic Italian car manufacturer. “Basically, it’s about emotion.”

At the luxury end of the market, the GranTurismo Coupe—priced between $375,000 and $450,000—is designed to transform the driving experience into something extraordinary. For Busse and his team, these “sculptures on wheels” are not just status symbols or exhilarating machines but expressions of pure joy. Their mission is to encapsulate that feeling and translate it into their cars.

“I really feel the responsibility to create emotion,” he says. “We have a wonderful word in Italy: allegria, which is best translated as ‘joyful.’ Our job as a brand is to lift you into this area of joy, perfectly positioned just short of ecstasy. It’s that tingling sensation you feel in your body when you drive the car.”

Even as 60 percent of the world’s population now lives in urban areas, Maserati’s design ethos captures the essence of “everyday exceptional.” Whether navigating city streets or open roads, a Maserati turns heads without being ostentatious or aggressive. “I’ve driven these cars all over the world, and no matter where I go, people smile at me and give a thumbs-up,” says Busse.

Since joining Maserati in 2015, Busse has reimagined and redefined the brand, steering his team through the reinvention of classic models and the transition to electric vehicles. Iconic designs like the Fiat 500, which entered the EV market in 2020, serve as a testament to Maserati’s ability to blend tradition with innovation.

Unlike other luxury car brands, Maserati embraces radical change with new designs every 10 to 15 years. Busse loves connecting with fans who follow the brand closely. He explains that each Maserati model reflects a specific era, from the elegant 35GT of the 1950s to the wedge-shaped designs of the 1970s and the bold aesthetics of the 1980s.

“I often ask fans, ‘What is Maserati for you?’ because their responses tell me so much about how they connect with the brand,” he shares.

Inspired by legendary Italian designer Giorgetto Giugiaro, Busse balances tradition with modernity in his designs. As Giugiaro once told him, “We always do the best in the moment.” This philosophy resonates deeply with Busse, who believes in honouring the past while embracing future possibilities.

Through advances in technology, techniques, and societal trends, Busse ensures Maserati remains at the forefront of automotive design. For him, the creative process is more than just a job—it’s a way to create joy, connection, and timeless elegance.

Australian economy ‘finely poised’ as borrowers feel impact of ‘unnecessary’ rate rises

The latest Deloitte Access Economics report predicts growth to slow to lowest levels since the recession of the early 1990s

Ever wondered what it takes to create a car like the Maserati? Meet the German designer taking on an Italian icon.