Australian economy ‘finely poised’ as borrowers feel impact of ‘unnecessary’ rate rises
The latest Deloitte Access Economics report predicts growth to slow to lowest levels since the recession of the early 1990s
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The past two interest rate rises by the RBA were unnecessary, a new report released by Deloitte Access Economics today has said.
Lead author and Deloitte Access Economics Partner Stephen Smith said in the business outlook report that the Australian economy is now ‘finely poised’ as economic growth slows to a trickle this year, the weakest since the recession of the early 1990s, outside pandemic conditions.
“Our view remains unchanged – the additional 50 basis points of increases earlier this year were unnecessary, and have prompted a further downgrade in Australia’s growth outlook,” Smith said. “That downgrade is centred on our households, and a ‘consumer recession’ is now forecast in 2023, with household spending expected to finish the year below where it started.”
While he said many mortgage holders were in a position to weather the interest rate rises, which will mean an increase in payments of $14,000 for a $600,000 when lenders pass on the full increases, a significant group were not. He said as many as 15 percent of variable rate, owner-occupier mortgage holders could be in negative cash flow by the end of 2023.
“On these numbers, at least 300,000 Australian households may currently be experiencing negative cash flow, with mortgage repayments and essential living expenses together exceeding household disposable income,” Smith said. “That should shock all of us.”
Smith said the pressures on the construction will also continue to impact the rental market, with commencement on new dwellings expected to be the lowest in a decade.
“Construction is expected to commence on significantly fewer houses and apartments compared to previous years – in fact, Deloitte Access Economics expects that 2023 will see construction commence on the fewest dwellings in more than a decade and almost 70,000 below the level commencements recorded in 2021,” Smith said.
“On these numbers, new housing supply would just barely keep pace with population growth, let alone ease what is a critical undersupply. In short, we are building far too few dwellings and, with a myriad of supply side challenges unresolved, that is unlikely to change in the near term.”
Deloitte Access Economics has revised expectations for economic growth down to 1.5 percent for this year and just 1.2 percent for 2024.
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Citizen Kanebridge member Marcel Zalloua delivered a standout result in Tigani Motorsport’s Mercedes-AMG GT3 Evo, backed by Robb Report Australia & New Zealand and Citizen Kanebridge.
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Sydney’s night sky lit up with speed and precision when Tigani Motorsport’s Mercedes-AMG GT3 Evo charged to a second-place finish in the Pro-Am class during Race 1 of the GT World Challenge Australia at Sydney Motorsport Park.
Behind the wheel was entrepreneur and Citizen Kanebridge member Marcel Zalloua, partnered with Supercars regular Thomas Randle in a formidable one-off pairing that impressed from the outset.
The result marks a major milestone for Zalloua, a returning driver with previous success in the Am class, and continues Tigani Motorsport’s strong form in the 2025 season.
Zalloua is part of Citizen Kanebridge, an invitation-only club based in Sydney.
The club curates exclusive events, thought-leadership forums and networking opportunities for high-achieving individuals across investment, innovation and entrepreneurship.
The sleek #44 AMG GT3 Evo also sported a high-end lineup of sponsors, including Robb Report Australia & New Zealand and Citizen Kanebridge, alongside other premium backers — all part of a strategy to align the vehicle with luxury, performance and lifestyle excellence.
Race 1 saw the Zalloua-Randle duo execute a clean, strategic drive to claim the podium, with the car showing strong pace under lights.
Although Race 2 proved more challenging with a ninth-place finish in class, their combined effort across the weekend delivered valuable points to Tigani Motorsport’s championship campaign.
Tigani Motorsport continues to cement itself as a serious contender in the GT racing scene, with smart driver pairings, high-calibre partnerships, and a commitment to performance both on and off the track.
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