Investors name 5 biggest barriers to financial goals

Australian investors say housing costs, goods inflation and slow wage growth are the main barriers to achieving their financial goals, according to a survey. Their biggest goals in order of importance are retiring and living off their investments, supplementing their work income with investment income, funding holidays and travel, cutting back on their hours of work and buying a home.

Online trading platform Stake surveyed more than 2,000 Australian investors for a comprehensive report about their ambitions this year. The report concluded that the biggest barriers to financial goals reflected a broader problem, being that salary and wages are not keeping up with rises in the cost of living, including property prices and weekly rents.

Australians say the biggest barriers to achieving their financial goals are as follows.

Housing costs

Saving a deposit is one of the biggest hurdles for first home buyers today, with most workers unable to save fast enough to keep up with rising home values. The median Australian home price rose by $59,000 over FY24 while rents increased by 7.3 percent over the same period. CoreLogic data shows rents have risen by almost 40 percent over the past five years. Stake CEO, Jon Howie said: “In Australia, over the past 30 years, house prices have risen by an average of 8 percent per annum, compared to around 3 percent for wages …”.

Goods inflation

Since the pandemic, rising inflation has significantly increased the cost of goods and services. At its peak, inflation hit 7.8 percent per annum in the December quarter of 2022, according to the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS). By that time, the cost of petrol had risen 13.2 percent over the year and fruit and vegetables were up 12.6 percent. Higher interest rates are now working to bring the rate of inflation down. But this only means the cost of goods and services is rising at a slower pace. For example, petrol prices rose by another 7.7 percent in FY24. Services inflation is higher, with insurance up 14 percent over FY24 and electricity up 6 percent (although without government rebates it would have been 14.6 percent higher).

Slow wage growth

This week the ABS published an updated Wage Price Index report, which found wages rose by 0.8 percent over the June quarter while inflation rose by 1 percent. Over FY24, wages rose by 4.1 percent and inflation rose by 3.8 percent. Once again, higher interest rates are bringing the rate of inflation down now. However, when inflation was at its peak of 7.8 percent in December 2022, wage growth was well below this at 3.3 percent.

Costs of supporting a family

ABS data documenting how inflation is affecting various household types found employee households, which include working families, are worst affected. The ABS Living Cost Index for employee households rose by 6.2 percent in FY24 compared to the overall inflation rate of 3.8 percent. A recent report from KPMG found rising living costs were impacting family formation. KPMG urban economist Terry Rawnsley said: “With the current rise in living expenses applying pressure on household finances, many Australians have decided to delay starting or expanding their families.”

Unfair tax system

While the Stake report did not specify which taxes survey respondents felt were unfair, there is ongoing debate in the community about tax breaks given to property investors. Negative gearing is very common among Australian landlords, with rental income not typically enough to cover holding costs, including interest on an investment loan. Landlords are able to deduct this loss against other taxable income, such as their salaries. Investors also pay tax on only 50 percent of their capital gains when they sell an asset if they have held the asset for more than 12 months.

Chip makers are fighting to assure investors that the artificial-intelligence boom is racing forward. Wall Street might not believe it until Nvidia’s NVDA -0.98%decrease; down pointing triangle Jensen Huang says so.

When Huang steps up to the mic for his company’s earnings call Wednesday, he will have the world’s attention. What he says about Nvidia’s present will preview the future of AI, dictate the path forward for a tech-crazed stock market and influence an American economy increasingly tethered to hopes that the boom won’t go bust.

The $5 trillion chip maker has provided the key building blocks for AI since the launch of ChatGPT in 2022 set off a race for dominance among OpenAI, Anthropic and established Silicon Valley giants. Now, as Nvidia backstops sprawling data-center projects and an exotic money pipeline to boost chip demand, the company’s influence is arguably bigger than ever.

But there are signs of trouble ahead. Political pushback to AI is growing. A bond selloff propelled borrowing costs to their highest levels in years. The hyperscalers that include some of Nvidia’s key customers—once cash-printing machines—are relying more on debt. OpenAI recently told investors its revenue rose by a tepid 18% in the second quarter while its losses deepened.

Nvidia is increasingly stepping in to shore up potential weak points across the market. Earlier this month, the company teamed up with six of Wall Street’s biggest firms on a $500 billion AI-financing plan, pledging to backstop lending to customers that can’t afford its chips otherwise. The chip maker last week also took a stake in Cloverleaf Infrastructure, which arranges power for data centers, and struck a $6 billion deal with startup Poolside aimed at developing a powerful open-weight AI model.

After watching shares in other chip makers and the so-called Magnificent Seven tech companies swing wildly in recent months, Wall Street is hoping Nvidia can beat expectations—again. The countdown is on.

“It’s kind of becoming more and more like the World Cup final than the Super Bowl at this point,” said Brian Mulberry, chief market strategist at Zacks Investment Management. “It’s just gotten to be that big.”

The company has smashed analysts’ earnings estimates for each of the 14 quarters since the AI boom kicked into high gear. Nvidia posted 210% annual growth in net income in its last three-month period, according to FactSet, making Wall Street’s 126% projection look pedestrian.

Expectations for a blowout second quarter have risen rapidly over the course of this year. All Nvidia will have to do to beat this target: outrun 95% annual earnings growth to more than $51.5 billion. Analysts project the chip maker will report record sales of $92 billion for the period, up from a forecast of $78 billion at the start of this year.

In July, big-tech earnings sparked volatility. Concerns about runaway capital spending spread across the sector after Alphabet’s and Tesla’s results, driving a $890 billion wipeout that contributed to the unwind of hedge fund Situational Awareness. Microsoft posted the largest one-day gain in market capitalization by any company, ever, after a quarter proving that it could still show investors the money. SpaceX rocketed higher after a record-breaking initial public offering, only to see $1 trillion in value evaporate.

Surging memory prices and borrowing costs have fueled fears that those and other companies will be unable to keep plowing more money into supplies including Nvidia chips. Shaia Hosseinzadeh, founder of OnyxPoint Global Management, has recently bought dips in AI-infrastructure stocks when Wall Street has strained to absorb massive debt issued by Silicon Valley.

“The macro data is really quite robust,” he said. “Of course, there’s a level at which everything breaks.”

Investors have kept pumping money into the AI trade despite concerns around chip consumers—and to the benefit of chip producers. That is why Nvidia’s outlook for semiconductor demand could send ripples through counterparts such as Micron Technology and Sandisk, developers of the data centers in which their chips reside, and a supply chain of power producers, contractors and other specialists that underpin the globe-spanning AI build-out.

“We joke internally that we’re all Nvidia analysts now,” said David Lefkowitz, head of U.S. equities at UBS Global Wealth Management.

The irony is that investors have tended to sell Nvidia stock immediately after blockbuster earnings, with shares falling each trading session after its four past quarterly reports. Some are betting that will be the case this time around, too.

The options market is pricing in a 5.3% swing, higher or lower, in Nvidia shares during the session following earnings, according to Option Research & Technology Services. That is higher than the 4.8% average move in Nvidia’s stock over the last 12 months after the company reports quarterly results.

In recent days, some of the most actively traded Nvidia options have been put contracts tied to the stock falling from its Friday value of $214.75 to $205 and $210 apiece, according to Cboe Global Markets data. Put options give the right to sell a stock by a set price and typically represent a bearish wager.

Many analysts remain optimistic. Frank Lee, global head of tech hardware and semiconductor research at HSBC Global Investment Research, recently raised his price target for Nvidia shares to $360 from $325, citing, among other things, Nvidia’s strategic partnerships with suppliers and its role as a top contributor to open-source AI.