Cheap homes rising in value faster than prestige homes
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Cheap homes rising in value faster than prestige homes

Buyers are prioritising affordability amid high interest rates

By Bronwyn Allen
Fri, Mar 15, 2024 9:46amGrey Clock 2 min

Cheaper homes in the lower price quartile of market are growing in value at a faster pace than homes in the upper quartile, according to new CoreLogic figures.

Research director Tim Lawless said the upper quartile typically leads housing market cycles into their upswings and downturns. This occurred in 2023 when higher priced homes outperformed for the first seven months of the year as the market rebounded from its 2022 slump, which was caused by rising interest rates from May.

Then price growth among expensive homes slowed down, and cheaper properties began appreciating at a faster pace through the second half of the year, and now into 2024. Mr Lawless said the lower quartile in every capital city property market recorded superior growth to the upper quartile over the past three months.

At a national level, lower priced homes grew by 2.4 percent, middle priced homes appreciated 1.7 percent and upper quartile properties rose 0.6 percent. The market’s lower quartile is defined as homes within the bottom 25 percent of values, the middle quartile represents 50 percent of the market with mediumrange prices, and the upper quartile is the most expensive 25 percent of homes.

“This trend is most evident in Sydney, Melbourne and, to a lesser extent Brisbane, where upper quartile values clearly led the 2023 upswing through the first half of the year,” Mr Lawless saidThe trend hasn’t been evident in Perth or Adelaide where lower quartile home values have consistently recorded a faster pace of capital gains through 2023 and the first two months of 2024,” he said.

Perth continues to record the highest capital growth overall among the capital cities. Home values in the Western Australian capital rose 5.2 percent over the three months to February and are up 18.3 percent over the past year. Perth offers exceptional value to owner occupiers and investors compared to the big East Coast capitals. Its median house price is $718,560 compared to $1,395,804 in Sydney, $942,779 in Melbourne and $899,474 in Brisbane.

Mr Lawless added that Perth had the fastest pace of price growth among lower quartile homes of all the capital cities over the past three months. There was a 2.2 percent difference between the growth rate of lower priced homes and upper priced homes. A noticeable spike in East Coast investors purchasing in Western Australia over the past year may be contributing to this superior pace of growth, given most investors target lower priced properties for affordability and stronger rental yields.

Other data just released by CoreLogic reveals the total value of Australian residential real estate increased to an estimated $10.4 trillion at the end of February. This is a new record high, up from $10.3 trillion in January. By comparison, Australian superannuation is worth $3.7 trillion and the ASX share market is worth $3.1 trillion.



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Greenland Is Gorgeous and Uncrowded. Now Here Come the Americans.

The remote northern island wants more visitors: ‘It’s the rumbling before the herd is coming,’ one hotel manager says

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Wed, Oct 23, 2024 4 min

As European hot spots become overcrowded , travellers are digging deeper to find those less-populated but still brag-worthy locations. Greenland, moving up the list, is bracing for its new popularity.

Aria Varasteh has been to 69 countries, including almost all of Europe. He now wants to visit more remote places and avoid spots swarmed by tourists—starting with Greenland.

“I want a taste of something different,” said the 34-year-old founder of a consulting firm serving clients in the Washington, D.C., area.

He originally planned to go to Nuuk, the island’s capital, this fall via out-of-the-way connections, given there wasn’t a nonstop flight from the U.S. But this month United Airlines announced a nonstop, four-hour flight from Newark Liberty International Airport in New Jersey to Nuuk. The route, beginning next summer, is a first for a U.S. airline, according to Greenland tourism officials.

It marks a significant milestone in the territory’s push for more international visitors. Airlines ran flights with a combined 55,000 seats to Greenland from April to August of this year, says Jens Lauridsen, chief executive officer of Greenland Airports. That figure will nearly double next year in the same period, he says, to about 105,000 seats.

The possible coming surge of travellers also presents a challenge for a vast island of 56,000 people as nearby destinations from Iceland to Spain grapple with the consequences of over tourism.

Greenlandic officials say they have watched closely and made deliberate efforts to slowly scale up their plans for visitors. An investment north of $700 million will yield three new airports, the first of which will open next month in Nuuk.

“It’s the rumbling before the herd is coming,” says Mads Mitchell, general manager of Hotel Nordbo, a 67-room property in Nuuk. The owner of his property is considering adding 50 more rooms to meet demand in the coming years.

Mitchell has recently met with travel agents from Brooklyn, N.Y., South Korea and China. He says he welcomes new tourists, but fears tourism will grow too quickly.

“Like in Barcelona, you get tired of tourists, because it’s too much and it pushes out the locals, that is my concern,” he says. “So it’s finding this balance of like showing the love for Greenland and showing the amazing possibilities, but not getting too much too fast.”

Greenland’s buildup

Greenland is an autonomous territory of Denmark more than three times the size of Texas. Tourists travel by boat or small aircraft when venturing to different regions—virtually no roads connect towns or settlements.

Greenland decided to invest in airport infrastructure in 2018 as part of an effort to expand tourism and its role in the economy, which is largely dependent on fishing and subsidies from Denmark. In the coming years, airports in Ilulissat and Qaqortoq, areas known for their scenic fjords, will open.

One narrow-body flight, like what United plans, will generate $200,000 in spending, including hotels, tours and other purchases, Lauridsen says. He calls it a “very significant economic impact.”

In 2023, foreign tourism brought a total of over $270 million to Greenland’s economy, according to Visit Greenland, the tourism and marketing arm owned by the government. Expedition cruises visit the territory, as well as adventure tours.

United will fly twice weekly to Nuuk on its 737 MAX 8, which will seat 166 passengers, starting in June .

“We look for new destinations, we look for hot destinations and destinations, most importantly, we can make money in,” Andrew Nocella , United’s chief commercial officer, said in the company’s earnings call earlier in October.

On the runway

Greenland has looked to nearby Iceland to learn from its experiences with tourism, says Air Greenland Group CEO Jacob Nitter Sørensen. Tiny Iceland still has about seven times the population of its western neighbour.

Nuuk’s new airport will become the new trans-Atlantic hub for Air Greenland, the national carrier. It flies to 14 airports and 46 heliports across the territory.

“Of course, there are discussions about avoiding mass tourism. But right now, I think there is a natural limit in terms of the receiving capacity,” Nitter says.

Air Greenland doesn’t fly nonstop from the U.S. because there isn’t currently enough space to accommodate all travellers in hotels, Nitter says. Air Greenland is building a new hotel in Ilulissat to increase capacity when the airport opens.

Nuuk has just over 550 hotel rooms, according to government documents. A tourism analysis published by Visit Greenland predicts there could be a shortage in rooms beginning in 2027. Most U.S. visitors will stay four to 10 nights, according to traveler sentiment data from Visit Greenland.

As travel picks up, visitors should expect more changes. Officials expect to pass new legislation that would further regulate tourism in time for the 2025 season. Rules on zoning would give local communities the power to limit tourism when needed, says Naaja H. Nathanielsen, minister for business, trade, raw materials, justice and gender equality.

Areas in a so-called red zone would ban tour operators. In northern Greenland, traditional hunting takes place at certain times of year and requires silence, which doesn’t work with cruise ships coming in, Nathanielsen says.

Part of the proposal would require tour operators to be locally based to ensure they pay taxes in Greenland and so that tourists receive local knowledge of the culture. Nathanielsen also plans to introduce a proposal to govern cruise tourism to ensure more travelers stay and eat locally, rather than just walk around for a few hours and grab a cup of coffee, she says.

Public sentiment has remained in favour of tourism as visitor arrivals have increased, Nathanielsen says.

—Roshan Fernandez contributed to this article.

MOST POPULAR
11 ACRES ROAD, KELLYVILLE, NSW

This stylish family home combines a classic palette and finishes with a flexible floorplan

35 North Street Windsor

Just 55 minutes from Sydney, make this your creative getaway located in the majestic Hawkesbury region.

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