Chinese Investors Poised For Return | Kanebridge News
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Chinese Investors Poised For Return

Pre-pandemic levels of interest expected by 2021.

By Terry Christodoulou
Tue, Mar 30, 2021 4:00pmGrey Clock < 1 min

The second half of 2021 will see Chinese investors re-enter the Australian real estate market according to Asian proptech company Juwai IQI. 

The property platform’s Asian Investment in Australia Q1 report indicated Australian real estate attracts more than six times the Chinese GDP-adjusted investment when compared to the United States.

Chinese investment enquiries into Australian real estate fell nearly 20% last year, due to the pandemic. However, Juwai is forecasting that number will turnaround in the second half of 2021.

“Chinese real estate enquiry levels in Australia should begin to recover in 2021 as the pandemic recedes and Asian economic wealth-creation machines continue to bounce back from their early 2020 doldrums,” a Juwai spokesman said.

Further, the Juwai spokesman said post-pandemic Australia would continue to appeal to Chinese migrants, second-home buyers, tourists and students with foreign buying made by permanent residents to reach pre-pandemic levels by the end of 2022.

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House values continued to fall last month, but the pace of decline has slowed, CoreLogic reports.

In signs that the RBA’s aggressive approach to monetary policy is making an impact, CoreLogic’s Home Value Index reveals national dwelling values fell -1.0 percent in November, marking the smallest monthly decline since June.

The drop represents a -7.0 percent decline – or about $53,400 –  since the peak value recorded in April 2022. Research director at CoreLogic, Tim Lawless, said the Sydney and Melbourne markets are leading the way, with the capital cities experiencing the most significant falls. But it’s not all bad news for homeowners.

“Three months ago, Sydney housing values were falling at the monthly rate of -2.3 percent,” he said. “That has now reduced by a full percentage point to a decline of -1.3 percent in November.  In July, Melbourne home values were down -1.5 percent over the month, with the monthly decline almost halving last month to -0.8%.”

The rate of decline has also slowed in the smaller capitals, he said.  

“Potentially we are seeing the initial uncertainty around buying in a higher interest rate environment wearing off, while persistently low advertised stock levels have likely contributed to this trend towards smaller value falls,” Mr Lawless said. “However, it’s fair to say housing risk remains skewed to the downside while interest rates are still rising and household balance sheets become more thinly stretched.” 

The RBA has raised the cash rate from 0.10 in April  to 2.85 in November. The board is due to meet again next week, with most experts still predicting a further increase in the cash rate of 25 basis points despite the fall in house values.

Mr Lawless said if interest rates continue to increase, there is potential for declines to ‘reaccelerate’.

“Next year will be a particular test of serviceability and housing market stability, as the record-low fixed rate terms secured in 2021 start to expire,” Mr Lawless said.

Statistics released by the Australian Bureau of Statistics this week also reveal a slowdown in the rate of inflation last month, as higher mortgage repayments and cost of living pressures bite into household budgets.

However, ABS data reveals ongoing labour shortages and high levels of construction continues to fuel higher prices for new housing, although the rate of price growth eased in September and October. 

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