Federal Government Cancels Funding On 50 Infrastructure Projects
Projects have been canned in every state and territory except the Northern Territory
Projects have been canned in every state and territory except the Northern Territory
The Federal Government has cancelled funding for 50 infrastructure projects across Australia after an independent review of the country’s 10-year $120 billion infrastructure pipeline found the current program was undeliverable.
The Albanese Government announced the review in May as part of its 2023-24 Federal Budget due to concerns that the projects would cost a lot more in today’s inflationary economy. The Federal Government says $120 billion will still be spent over the next decade but the number of projects in the Infrastructure Investment Program (IIF) is now unrealistic, and many lack overall merit.
The review’s authors, Reece Waldock AM, Clare Gardiner-Barnes and Mr Mike Mrdak AO, who all have extensive expertise in land transport infrastructure, were scathing in their assessment of funding allocations. They wrote: “There are projects in the IIP that do not demonstrate merit, lack any national strategic rationale and do not meet the Australian Government’s national investment priorities. In many cases these projects are also at high risk of further cost pressures and/or delays. A number of projects were allocated a commitment of Australian Government funding too early in their planning process and before detailed planning and credible design and costing were undertaken.”
In a statement, Infrastructure and Transport Minister Catherine King accused the previous government of “economic vandalism” and committing spending that was focused on electoral rather than national benefit. She said the number of projects listed under the IIF had ballooned from approximately 150 in 2012-13 to nearly 800 by 2022.
Ms King said: “The review has found an estimated $33 billion in nine cost pressures across all projects in the program with a high risk that that figure would increase, and for those not currently under construction that figure, the report says, is around $14.2 billion.”
The review recommended that 82 projects not yet under construction should be cancelled with their allocated funding shifted to other projects. The government has taken the axe to 50, with 31 combined into other projects or ‘corridors’ of infrastructure works.
Commuter car park upgrades at Kingswood, St Marys and Woy Woy; the M7-M12 Interchange; the Northern NSW Inland Port at Narrabri; the Southern Connector Road at Jindabyne; and the Inner Canberra corridor planning package.
The Frankston to Baxter rail upgrade; the Geelong Fast Rail; stage 1 of the Goulburn Valley Highway to Shepparton bypass; and the Mornington Peninsula Freeway upgrade.
The Old Surrey Road/Massy-Greene Drive upgrade.
The Hahndorf Township improvements and access upgrade; the Old Belair Road upgrade at Mitcham; and the Truro Bypass.
The Great Southern Secondary Freight Network; the Marble Bar Road upgrade; the Moorine Rock to Mt Holland road upgrades; and stages 1 and 2 of the Pinjarra Heavy Haulage Deviation.
Commuter car parks at Beenleigh and Loganlea; the Kenmore roundabout upgrade; the Mooloolaba River Interchange upgrade; and the New England Highway upgrade at Cabarlah.
Ms King also announced that the Federal Government would seek to provide 50:50 funding with the states and territories on future projects, rather than the 100% or 80:20 default arrangements in place now. She said this would ensure shared accountability and end “the perverse incentives that saw the Federal Coalition throw money at projects that states did not want to build”.
The overhaul of the IIP follows formal advice from the International Monetary Fund last month that the Australian Government should reduce public project spending to help ease inflation. Infrastructure projects add demand to the economy in terms of labour and materials, which conflicts with the Reserve Bank’s goal of tamping down demand to reduce inflation. The RBA says inflation is still too high and not going down fast enough, which is why it raised the cash rate again this month.
The IMF said: “The Commonwealth Government and state and territory governments should implement public investment projects at a more measured and coordinated pace, given supply constraints, to alleviate inflationary pressures and support the RBA’s disinflation efforts. Otherwise, interest rates would have to be even higher, putting the burden of adjustment disproportionately on mortgage holders.”
Last week, US inflation data came in much lower, which could mean the end to rate hikes in the world’s biggest economy. Headline inflation fell to 3.2% for the year to October, down from 3.7% over the previous two months. Core inflation, which excludes volatile items like energy, fell to 4%, which is its lowest level in two years.
Rising rates, construction inflation and shrinking investor confidence are pushing Australia deeper into a dangerous housing spiral that monetary policy alone cannot fix.
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Rising rates, construction inflation and shrinking investor confidence are pushing Australia deeper into a dangerous housing spiral that monetary policy alone cannot fix.
The Reserve Bank had little choice but to raise interest rates again this week.
Inflation was already proving stubborn before the latest Middle East instability added further pressure to energy prices and supply chains.
Housing inflation alone has averaged six per cent over the past year, remaining one of the single biggest contributors to CPI.
But while the focus remains on rates, the deeper problem is structural and far more dangerous.
Australia is not building enough homes, and the conditions required to fix that are deteriorating simultaneously.
Construction costs remain elevated. Builders are increasingly unwilling to absorb contract risk. Labour shortages persist.
Capital is becoming more expensive. And as borrowing capacity weakens and sentiment softens, fewer projects are becoming financially viable.
The result is a self-reinforcing cycle.
The RBA raises rates to fight inflation. Higher rates reduce development feasibility. Fewer projects start. Housing supply tightens further. Rents rise. Inflation persists. The RBA raises rates again.
The only long-term solution is supply, yet Australia remains nowhere near the National Housing Accord target of 240,000 new dwellings a year.
Completion continues to lag approvals, meaning many projects approved on paper are simply never making it out of the ground.
That gap matters enormously because housing is not just another sector of the economy.
Around two-thirds of Australian household wealth is tied to property, while the sector underpins millions of jobs and related industries. Weakness here quickly spreads beyond real estate.
We are already seeing signs of stress. Auction clearance rates in Sydney and Melbourne have softened, borrowing capacity has declined, and parts of the market are experiencing price corrections as confidence weakens.
At the same time, policymakers continue to debate tax measures such as changes to negative gearing and capital gains tax discounts, despite fears that such reforms could drive private capital out of the rental market at precisely the moment when supply is most constrained.
This is the paradox at the centre of Australia’s housing crisis.
Demand for property remains extraordinarily high, yet the economic conditions required to actually build new housing are worsening.
The Reserve Bank cannot solve that problem alone.
Monetary policy cannot accelerate planning approvals, reduce construction costs or create more tradies. It can only raise the cost of money until something eventually breaks.
And increasingly, that “something” looks like the development pipeline itself.
Paul Miron is the Co-Founder & Fund Manager of Msquared Capital.
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