Housing Affordability To Worsen Despite Price Fall
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Housing Affordability To Worsen Despite Price Fall

While the barrier to entry lessen with house prices set to fall, interest rates rising make serviceability a larger issue.

By Terry Christodoulou
Thu, May 12, 2022 4:55pmGrey Clock 2 min

Those out there hoping that downward pressure on housing prices would make the market more affordable are set for a shock with houses unlikely to become more affordable even if values were to drop by 20% according to the ANZ/Corelogic Housing Affordability report.

According to the report, higher mortgages would negate any benefit gained from lower prices while ANZ expects the cash rate to rise to 2.25% by May next year – which would trigger a decline in house prices and lower the deposit hurdle.

But housing affordability is still set to deteriorate as mortgage repayments rise and borrowing capacity lessens according to ANZ senior economist Felicity Emmett.

“A lot of people think falling prices will make houses more affordable, but that’s actually not the case,” she said.

“New borrowers will still need to pay higher mortgage repayments even if prices fall by 20 per cent because of the increase in interest rates.

“We found that you would need a very significant fall, something like 25 per cent to offset the impact of rate rises over the next year or so, but we don’t expect that to happen.”

ANZ is predicting house prices to drop by 6% nationally next year, Sydney is predicted for a drop of 7%, Melbourne by 6%, Brisbane 3% and Adelaide 5%.

Perth and Hobart are also expected to fall by 6% each and Darwin and Canberra by 8% each.

Housing affordability has worsened since the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic with the ratio of house prices to household income reaching a record high 9.3 nationwide.

In Sydney that ratio is now 13.3 times higher than household income whereas in Melbourne the value is 10.6, Brisbane 9.0, Adelaide 8.6, Perth 6.1, Hobart 9.8, Darwin 4.5 and Canberra 8.2.

For the average Sydneysider, it now takes 17.7 years to save the 20% deposit to buy a house in Sydney — a rise of two years and 11 months in a 12 month period.

Despite serviceability concerns, falling house prices could also shorten the time it takes to get a foot in the housing market according to Eliza Own, CoreLogic’s head of research.

“Presumably the pressure will be less on the deposit hurdle and more on the amount of income required to service a mortgage, but that is assuming we see consistent price falls off the back of higher interest rates,” she said.

However, the portion of income needed to service a new mortgage to buy a house has jumped to a record 64.4% in Sydney, up from 54% the year prior. Melbourne has lifted to 51.7% from 47.1% last year and rose to 45.25% nationally.

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The 390-acre property has 2 miles of frontage on the Rogue River

By LIBERTINA BRANDT
Tue, Sep 27, 2022 8:47am 2 min

Former “Dallas” star Patrick Duffy is putting his roughly 390-acre Oregon ranch on the market for $14 million.

The property sits along the Rogue River outside the city of Medford in southern Oregon, according to Alan DeVries of Sotheby’s International Realty, who has the listing with colleague Matt Cook.

Mr. Duffy said he bought the first roughly 130 acres of the property in 1990 for roughly $1.5 million with his late wife, Carlyn Rosser. The couple spent roughly two decades and about $3 million buying surrounding properties when they went up for sale, said the actor, who has made the ranch his primary home since the early 2000s.

“My family always felt like we were stewards as opposed to owners,” said Mr. Duffy, 73. “We kept the boundaries sacred.”

Mr. Duffy said he first saw the property while fishing with a friend. The property contained a few structures, including what is now the main house, but was mostly wilderness, he said.

“It was pristine,” he said. “There was no paved road. There were some trails through the woods and about a mile—a little less than a mile—of river frontage.”

Mr. Duffy said he flew Ms. Rosser out to see the ranch, and they bought it. The main house has four bedrooms, and connects to a gallery where the couple displayed their art collection. They converted a caretaker’s cottage into a one-bedroom guesthouse with a loft. They also added a building that contains a hot tub overlooking the river, a structure for an indoor lap pool, and a wine cellar built into the side of a mountain, all within walking distance of each other.

As they purchased adjacent properties over the years, they acquired eight more houses and several pastures that are rented out to local ranchers. One of the homes was demolished, six are rented to tenants, and one is used as the ranch manager’s house, according to Mr. Duffy.

“We became a working ranch but not with our own animals,” he said. “It added the most beautiful, bucolic sense of the place.”

A homestead that dates back over 100 years still sits at the entrance to the property, he said. In it he found an old stove, which he restored and put in the main house. But the majority of the roughly 390 acres remains wilderness. The property now has approximately 2 miles of river frontage, according to Mr. DeVries.

For roughly a decade, Mr. Duffy and Ms. Rosser used the ranch as a family getaway from their primary home in Los Angeles. Then in the early 2000s, when their children went off to college, they decided to move there full time.

Ms. Rosser died in 2017, and Mr. Duffy said he plans to move full-time to either California or Colorado. He will keep a few parcels of land that aren’t attached to the main ranch, according to Mr. DeVries.

Mr. Duffy is well-known for his role as Bobby Ewing in the TV drama “Dallas,” which ran from 1978 to 1991. He also played Frank Lambert on the 1990s sitcom “Step By Step.” Today he runs an online sourdough business, called Duffy’s Dough, with his partner, Linda Purl.

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