Rate relief in sight as inflation drops to 4.1 percent
CBA head economist says CPI came in well below the Reserve Bank’s forecast of 4.5 percent
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Inflation fell to a two-year low of 4.1 percent per annum in the December quarter, according to figures released by the Australian Bureau of Statistics. This is well below the Reserve Bank (RBA) forecast of 4.5 percent, with CBA’s head economist Gareth Aird saying it “should be a straightforward decision” for the RBA to keep rates on hold at its first meeting for 2024 next week.
Michelle Marquardt, ABS head of prices statistics, said the consumer price index (CPI) rose 0.6 percent in the December quarter, which was the smallest quarterly rise since the March 2021 quarter. Annual CPI has now fallen from a peak of 7.8 percent in the December 2022 quarter to 7 percent in the March 2023 quarter, 6 percent in the June quarter, 5.4 percent in the September quarter and sharply lower to 4.1 percent in the December quarter.
The most significant price rises in the December quarter were for tobacco, up 7 percent following the introduction of the 5 percent annual tobacco excise indexation; domestic holiday travel and accommodation, up 3.9 percent; and insurance, up 3.8 percent. “The increase in insurance was due to higher premiums across motor vehicle, house and home contents insurance,” Ms Marquardt said. “Over the past twelve months, insurance rose 16.2 percent, making it the largest annual rise since March 2001.”
Housing costs rose by 1 percent over the quarter, driven by new dwellings purchased by owner–occupiers, up 1.5 percent; rents, up 0.9 percent; and utilities, up 0.6 percent. “Higher labour and material costs contributed to price rises this quarter for construction of new dwellings, Ms Marquardt said. CoreLogic head of research Eliza Owen commented that rental inflation “is finally slowing, suggesting some hope for tenants that the rental market could turn a corner in 2024, which is also indicated by CoreLogic rent measures”.
Annual goods inflation continues to moderate faster than services. December was the fifth consecutive quarter of lower goods inflation, down from a peak of 9.6 percent in the September 2022 quarter to 3.8 percent in the December 2023 quarter. Prices have even fallen in some categories over the past 12 months, such as clothing, footwear, furniture and household appliances. Annual services inflation eased for the second consecutive quarter, down from a peak of 6.3 percent in the June quarter to 4.6 percent in the December quarter.
Federal Treasurer Jim Chalmers said the government’s cost-of-living relief measures were directly contributing to a reduction in inflation. “Our cost of living policies took half of a percentage point off inflation through the year to December quarter 2023,” Dr Chalmers said. The ABS figures show that over the year, electricity prices rose 6.9 percent but would have risen 18.9 percent without the Energy Bill Relief Fund rebates. Childcare prices fell 7.2 percent but otherwise would have risen 13 percent.Rents rose 7.3 percent but would have risen 8.9 percent without the largest increase to Commonwealth rent assistance in 30 years.
Mr Aird said the inflation data would be “viewed favourably by policymakers”. He added: “The fall in the rate of inflation over the past year has been swift. The job of returning inflation to the 2-3 percent target band is not yet done. But the RBA is now on the home straight. We continue to expect an easing cycle commencing in September. We have 75bp of rate cuts in our profile in late 2024 and a further 75bp of easing in H1 25, which would take the cash rate to 2.85 percent.”
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The 7,145-square-foot apartment, with European-inspired interiors, hasn’t traded hands since it was built in 2008.
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A Denver condo that hit the market earlier this week for $16 million is now the Mile High City’s most expensive listing.
The new listing by far beats the next-priciest home for sale, a condo in a new development that was put on the market at the beginning of the year for about $9.79 million.
The city’s most expensive single-family home is asking just shy of $9 million—the metro area’s priciest single-family homes tend to be in the Cherry Hills Village suburb.
At 7,145 square feet, the newly listed unit is nearly double the size of the one in the new development and more on par with the size of some of Denver’s most expensive single-family homes.
It’s on the top floor of a seven-story mixed-use building that was built in 2008 in the Cherry Creek neighbourhood, one of the most affluent areas of the city.
The last time the three-bedroom apartment sold was before it was even completed, though it’s been owned under a few different LLCs and trusts.
The seller, who Mansion Global wasn’t able to identify, bought the condo from the developer in September 2007 for $4.047 million, records show.
The design of the interiors is European-inspired, with decorative columns, elaborate millwork and ornate built-ins.
Plus, there’s a mahogany-clad study, a formal dining room that seats up to 30 guests and views of mountains and Denver Country Club’s golf course.
A private terrace adds 1,230 square feet of outdoor living space and features a fireplace and a built-in barbecue, according to the listing with Josh Behr of LIV Sotheby’s International Realty.
A representative for Behr didn’t respond to a request for comment.
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