Rate relief in sight as inflation drops to 4.1 percent
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Rate relief in sight as inflation drops to 4.1 percent

CBA head economist says CPI came in well below the Reserve Bank’s forecast of 4.5 percent

By Bronwyn Allen
Thu, Feb 1, 2024 10:30amGrey Clock 2 min

Inflation fell to a two-year low of 4.1 percent per annum in the December quarter, according to figures released by the Australian Bureau of Statistics. This is well below the Reserve Bank (RBA) forecast of 4.5 percent, with CBA’s head economist Gareth Aird saying it “should be a straightforward decision” for the RBA to keep rates on hold at its first meeting for 2024 next week.

Michelle Marquardt, ABS head of prices statistics, said the consumer price index (CPI) rose 0.6 percent in the December quarter, which was the smallest quarterly rise since the March 2021 quarter. Annual CPI has now fallen from a peak of 7.8 percent in the December 2022 quarter to 7 percent in the March 2023 quarter, 6 percent in the June quarter, 5.4 percent in the September quarter and sharply lower to 4.1 percent in the December quarter.

The most significant price rises in the December quarter were for tobacco, up 7 percent following the introduction of the 5 percent annual tobacco excise indexation; domestic holiday travel and accommodation, up 3.9 percent; and insurance, up 3.8 percent. “The increase in insurance was due to higher premiums across motor vehicle, house and home contents insurance,” Ms Marquardt said. Over the past twelve months, insurance rose 16.2 percent, making it the largest annual rise since March 2001.”

Housing costs rose by 1 percent over the quarter, driven by new dwellings purchased by owneroccupiers, up 1.5 percent; rents, up 0.9 percent; and utilities, up 0.6 percent. “Higher labour and material costs contributed to price rises this quarter for construction of new dwellings, Ms Marquardt said. CoreLogic head of research Eliza Owen commented that rental inflation “is finally slowing, suggesting some hope for tenants that the rental market could turn a corner in 2024, which is also indicated by CoreLogic rent measures.

Annual goods inflation continues to moderate faster than services. December was the fifth consecutive quarter of lower goods inflation, down from a peak of 9.6 percent in the September 2022 quarter to 3.8 percent in the December 2023 quarter. Prices have even fallen in some categories over the past 12 months, such as clothing, footwear, furniture and household appliances. Annual services inflation eased for the second consecutive quarter, down from a peak of 6.3 percent in the June quarter to 4.6 percent in the December quarter.  

Federal Treasurer Jim Chalmers said the government’s cost-of-living relief measures were directly contributing to a reduction in inflation. “Our cost of living policies took half of a percentage point off inflation through the year to December quarter 2023,” Dr Chalmers said. The ABS figures show that over the year, electricity prices rose 6.9 percent but would have risen 18.9 percent without the Energy Bill Relief Fund rebates. Childcare prices fell 7.2 percent but otherwise would have risen 13 percent.Rents rose 7.3 percent but would have risen 8.9 percent without the largest increase to Commonwealth rent assistance in 30 years.

Mr Aird said the inflation data would be “viewed favourably by policymakers”. He added: “The fall in the rate of inflation over the past year has been swift. The job of returning inflation to the 2-3 percent target band is not yet done. But the RBA is now on the home straight. We continue to expect an easing cycle commencing in September. We have 75bp of rate cuts in our profile in late 2024 and a further 75bp of easing in H1 25, which would take the cash rate to 2.85 percent.”



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This stylish family home combines a classic palette and finishes with a flexible floorplan

35 North Street Windsor

Just 55 minutes from Sydney, make this your creative getaway located in the majestic Hawkesbury region.

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It’s a slam dunk as a covetable $2m KDR site complete with basketball court hits the market in the Hills District

The ball is in the buyer’s court with this knockdown/rebuild opportunity

By KANEBRIDGE NEWS
Tue, Apr 18, 2023 2 min

Glenhaven in Sydney’s Hills District is one of those areas that locals tend to keep to themselves. Leafy with large blocks on offer, the suburb takes its name from its valley location, with the northern end originally known as the Glen and the southern end called the Haven. 

En route from Parramatta to the Hunter, Glenhaven has become an ideal place for growing families in search of a little more space, or even room to house several generations under one roof.

The challenge is finding properties that tick all the right boxes.

As demand for trades and supply chain issues continue to ease, now could be the right time for a knockdown/rebuild project for would-be buyers looking to create their dream home.

Fairmont Homes specialises in knockdown/rebuild projects in Sydney. General manager at Fairmont Homes, Daniel Logue, said there are key features to look for when choosing a knockdown/rebuild site.

“The key items we look for are the site falling to the street, not to the rear, to help with stormwater drainage as well as access to the site,” he said. “Neighbouring property front setbacks are also important. In some older areas, the older houses are set closer to the street, meaning your new home will have to be set to suit.

“Value for money and the return on the end sale price of the home is another issue.”

If possible, he said designing a home that meets the criteria of the Complying Development legislation will speed up approvals considerably.

While suitable knockdown/rebuild sites can be hard to find in Glenhaven, there are still hidden opportunities if you know where to look.

One block at 158 Gilbert Road, Glenhaven is ideally suited for rejuvenation. With almost 850sqm to play with, it slopes down to the street and sits between neighbouring properties that have already been stylishly updated.

 

 

An existing basketball court at the rear could provide the perfect teen backdrop to a family home, or it could make way for a larger house with landscaped gardens and pool. Alternatively, it could be the perfect position for a cabana or granny flat to serve as in-law accommodation or a source of secondary income.

With recent sales of completed homes in nearby streets reaching well above $5 million, it’s a great opportunity to make a slam dunk of a buy into one of Sydney’s best kept secrets.

Address: 158 Gilbert Road, Glenhaven
Price guide: $1.8 million
Inspection: By appointment only
Contact: William Brush, LJ Hooker Dural 9651 1566 

 

MOST POPULAR
11 ACRES ROAD, KELLYVILLE, NSW

This stylish family home combines a classic palette and finishes with a flexible floorplan

35 North Street Windsor

Just 55 minutes from Sydney, make this your creative getaway located in the majestic Hawkesbury region.

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