Sydney Leads Prime Housing Price Growth Forecast
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Sydney Leads Prime Housing Price Growth Forecast

The city is expected to see prices rise 10% this year, according to Knight Frank research.

By V.L Hendrickson
Wed, Jul 21, 2021 10:01amGrey Clock 2 min

The average price of a luxury property in Sydney, Australia, is set to rise 10% this year, the biggest jump of any city included in Knight Frank’s prime residential price forecast, released Wednesday in the U.K.

Next year, Sydney is on track to share the top spot with London. Average prices in both cities are expected to jump 7% in 2022, according to Knight Frank. Although that’s a dip for Sydney prices, it marks a 5% increase for London, where 2021 prices are set to rise just 2%—the smallest uptick on the index.

Across the 11 cities considered, average prime prices are set to jump 4% in 2021, according to Knight Frank. That’s up from a 1% increase predicted by Knight Frank early in the Covid-19 pandemic in May 2020, and a 3% rise in December 2020.

Government measures have helped protect economies, and cities are now on the rebound, according to Kate Everett-Allen, head of international residential research at Knight Frank.

“Government fiscal stimulus measures have been revised upward, protecting jobs and incomes via furlough schemes, meaning there have been few forced property sales,” she said in the report. “Banks in key developed markets offered mortgage holidays to customers reducing repossessions and foreclosures.”

In addition, the pandemic has inspired many buyers to relocate or expand their holdings.

“Households accrued a total of over US$5 trillion globally in savings during lockdown, enabling some homeowners to undertake home improvements,” Ms. Everett-Allen continued. “Others have opted to relocate, upsize, downsize or buy a second home/investment property.”

This year, Miami is predicted to have the second-highest growth in average prices, 6%, with a 4% bump in 2022, the data showed. Los Angeles and Hong Kong followed, both with 5% increases predicted for 2021 and 2022.

New York should see prices rise by 4% this year, which would be the first positive price growth since 2018 and its strongest performance since 2015, according to Knight Frank. In 2022, they are set to rise 3%.

And although average prices in Madrid are predicted to tick up 3% in 2021, they could rise 6% in 2022, the brokerage forecasted.

Potential headwinds that could stymie the market include slow vaccine rollouts and the unknown path of the Delta variant of the Covid-19 virus, rising interest rates and government cooling measures, according to the report.

Reprinted by permission of Mansion Global. Copyright 2021 Dow Jones & Company. Inc. All Rights Reserved Worldwide. Original date of publication: July 20, 2021.



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London’s Luxury Property Market Turns a Corner

After more than a year, prices have finally levelled out in prime central London, while outer London saw a small uptick in high-end prices from the previous quarter

By CASEY FARMER
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The first quarter of the year brought some long-awaited signs of recovery in London’s luxury housing market, offering the first positive quarterly price growth since September 2022, according to a report from Savills on Wednesday.

After six consecutive quarterly price falls, luxury home prices in central London levelled out in the first three months of the year, with a 0.1% quarterly uptick in prices. The £3 million to £5 million (US$3.79 million to US$6.32 million) market saw a slightly larger increase of 0.3%.

Outer London’s luxury market saw greater quarterly price growth, with home prices up 0.8%, as some stability returned to mortgage costs and lured more buyers back to the market, according to the report.

All of this is evidence that the market is “in early stages of recovery,” according to Lucian Cook, head of residential research at Savills.

“The outlook for the housing market has certainly improved, partly because the mortgage market has recovered more quickly than expected,” Cook said in the report. “With the first rate cut rapidly coming into view and recessionary risks easing, greater stability has returned to the cost of mortgage debt, which has positively impacted domestic prime markets, where many buyers rely on borrowing, most notably in leafy outer prime South and West London, as well as the commuter belt.”

Outside of London, prices across the U.K. saw no quarterly growth heading into the beginning of the spring market, which is expected to bring higher levels of buyer activity in many regions.

Suburban regions saw prices dip just 0.1%, while urban areas—like Edinburgh and Glasgow in Scotland, and Bath and Oxford in England—saw prices increase by 0.6%.

Cook said regional buyers are more likely to be concerned about market uncertainty than London buyers in the lead up to the general election.

“As a result, buyers are still expected to be less committed until the dust has settled,” he said.

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