The magic formula drawing residents back to the heart of Melbourne
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The magic formula drawing residents back to the heart of Melbourne

In a post COVID market buyers are falling in love with Melbourne’s inner circle once again

By Claire Heaney
Mon, Jan 8, 2024 11:22amGrey Clock 4 min

People fled Melbourne’s inner suburbs as the pandemic lockdowns dragged on, but two years on, the allure of city fringe life, work and play is proving irresistible.

Convenience, low maintenance environments, less commuting, sustainability, and accessibility by public transport, cycling, or walking to work as well as access to study, food, culture, parks and health services are on the wishlist for people looking to live in the inner city.

For my stories like this, order your copy of  the summer 2024 issue of Kanebridge Quarterly magazine.

Melbourne’s inner city suburbs cling to the Hoddle Grid, the 1.6km by 0.8km area laid out to form the central activity area in early 1837 and is among the most desirable locale. Suburbs include Fitzroy, South Melbourne, Carlton, Collingwood, and Abbotsford. Richmond, East Melbourne and South Yarra are bordered by extensive parkland running from the Fitzroy Gardens, through to Yarra Park incorporating the MCG and across the Yarra River to the Domain Gardens. Belle Property partner Sam Fenna, specialising in premium city apartments, says there is an uplift in people who sold up during the pandemic, wanting to return.

A low maintenance lifestyle with easy access to parks and waterways are appealing to inner city residents in Melbourne. Image: Getty

“Some of them had coastal homes or in regional Daylesford and Trentham and we did see a peak of moves during the pandemic,” Fenna says. “A lot of them had boltholes in the city worth $2 million to $3 million and they sold up and went.

“They are starting to come back, saying they miss the action and want something back in the city.

“It’s places like Flinders Lane and all those little pockets of the city.”

Earlier this year, he inked a deal on a London townhouse inspired renovation for just under $2m to a country buyer looking for a city pad with a garage.

Sam Fenna from Belle Property says buyers have missed the vibrancy of the city.

Some of the more popular inner ring suburbs include Fitzroy and Carlton to the north of the city and Richmond and Cremorne to the east. Cremorne, formerly home to Bryant and May matches and Rosella sauce factories as well as the rag trade, has now been dubbed Silicon Yarra and is home to tech giants like Tesla, Seek among others. Employees want to live nearby.

Cremorne and Richmond, known as “Struggletown,” are close to the Melbourne Cricket Ground and Rod Laver Arena, beloved by many sports loving Melburnians.

One measure of popularity is the “walkability” of a suburb, allowing residents to perform daily tasks on foot. Walk Score rates inner suburbs like Carlton as a “walkers’ paradise” followed by Fitzroy, Fitzroy North, Melbourne, St Kilda, South Yarra, East Melbourne and South Melbourne. Victoria Walks, a health charity advising governments and business  on increasing walking participation, says the cost savings of living in a “walkable” community are overlooked.

“The ability to choose walking over driving to get to places is priceless,” Victoria Walks executive director Dr Ben Rossiter says.

“It’s better for your hip pocket, for your health and the environment. 

“Walking in your neighbourhood is important for building a sense of community connection.” 

The walkability of Melbourne’s inner suburbs is attractive to a wide range of buyers. Image: Getty

But not all inner suburbs are created equal, and he suggests anyone looking to buy or rent should spend time walking around the streets to see what they offer and what businesses, services and public spaces the area provides.

Rossiter says lockdowns highlighted the importance of having green space close to home.

“Inner Melbourne is blessed with parks and waterway walks,” he says. “But consider whether you will have to negotiate busy roads to access them. Noisy traffic and long crossing times can be a major disincentive to walk somewhere regularly.”

Also keep in mind that popular suburbs don’t necessarily have thriving shopping strips.

Fitzroys Real Estate 2023 Walk the Strip says the stretch between Lennox and Church streets on Richmond’s Bridge Road is the worst performer with vacancies at 15.5 percent, up from 11.7 percent last year. 

Yet, a few blocks away Gourmet Traveller Chef of the Year Thi Le runs two successful restaurants.

Davidson Property Advocates chief executive Tonya Davidson says the inner suburbs of Melbourne are a mixed bag and demand from buyers often depends on price point.

“What we are finding is an interest in high-end apartments. There are overseas people coming back into the market,” she says.

These include buyers with Foreign Investment Review Board approval as well as expats.

Davidson says while inner ring suburbs will always be popular, people are seeing value in the north, just past hip Carlton and Fitzroy to Brunswick and Coburg.

“East Melbourne will always be desirable due to position, transport and access to sporting facilities,” Davidson says. “It is popular with the business and medico demographics.” 

It has a median house price over the past year of $3,340,000 for houses and $750,000 for units, reflecting a mix of high-end properties and legacy of smaller units. She agrees that a walk score is important for some inner-city buyers. But that’s not the case for everyone.

Belle Property’s Fenna says while there is an uptake in car sharing, many of his buyers still want access to parking.

Many of these are “lock up and leave” residents who don’t want the big garden but still want to be able to hop in their own car, he says.



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The typically busy spring season for the housing market was a dud, and the summer isn’t looking much brighter.

Housing services companies like Zillow Group and Rocket RKT +3.78% were loud and clear last week on earnings calls: Rocket CEO Varun Krishna called the quarter through June “one of the toughest spring housing markets in years.”

Jeremy Hofmann, Zillow’s chief financial officer, said on a conference call that the company predicted earlier this year that the market for mortgages would be flat. “We actually now think it’s going to be down low-to-mid-single digits,” he said.

The rest of 2026 will remain challenging for mortgage origination volume, says KBW analyst Bose George. The question now is what happens in 2027. “If mortgage rates remain [around] 6.75%, I think that’s going to be challenging even for next year,” he says.

But what’s bad news for mortgage companies could be a positive for bargain hunters. Buyers can expect prices to grow more slowly—or mildly decline—with less competition as long as mortgage rates remain unpredictable.

Mortgage rates at the beginning of the year were solidly below year-ago levels, notes Zillow senior economist Kara Ng. But they surpassed last year’s levels recently, she adds, referencing Freddie Mac’s weekly survey of 30-year fixed mortgage rates. Last week’s reading, at 6.69%, was higher than year-ago levels for the first time in 2026.

“From the affordability point of view, it’s going to get more challenging in the second half of the year,” she says. “And when affordability gets more challenging, that impacts sales and home price appreciation.”

Mortgage application data tracked by the Mortgage Bankers Association has cooled since the beginning of the year. The trade group expects that the number of mortgage originations in the remaining two quarters will lag behind last year’s levels, after exceeding 2025 levels in the first half.

Rocket’s early-stage data—which the company told Barron’s it derives from its brokerage Redfin, demand for its mortgage products, and signs in its servicing portfolio that a homeowner is preparing to refinance or move—“leads us to expect the third quarter mortgage market to be smaller than the second,” Chief Financial Officer Brian Brown, said on the company’s call. He added that such an occurrence is “something the industry has not seen since 2022.”

Prices will be about flat nationally, Ng says. Zillow’s most recent forecast, which shows how values are expected to change in the year ending June 2027, show them dropping in roughly half of the 100 largest U.S. metros for which data is available.

Buyers aren’t rushing in at a time when mortgage costs are rising and unpredictable. But those with the right combination of patience and cash could stand to benefit. “If you are financially qualified to buy a starter home, you are facing less competition and you’re more likely to get a price cut,” Ng says.

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