The Sydney Neighbourhoods At The Forefront Of The Property Downturn
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The Sydney Neighbourhoods At The Forefront Of The Property Downturn

As interest rates rise some areas are feeling the pinch more than others.

By Kanebridge News
Thu, Jul 7, 2022 4:27pmGrey Clock < 1 min

 The upper end of Sydney’s property market is leading the downturn in home values according to the latest figures from CoreLogic.

Parts of the NSW capital’s inner west, Northern Beaches, eastern suburbs and inner-city recorded the largest decline in values over the past three months, as rising rates put downward pressure on pricing and reduce buyer borrowing power.

The rising cash rate has accelerated value falls in Sydney according to CoreLogic research director Tim Lawless. This was most acutely felt in the top end of the market, with the upper quartile down 4.3% while values for the bottom quartile fell only 0.5%.

Sydney property values were down by 2.8% across the board in the quarter and aer expected to fall further. The NAB downgraded its forecast last week, expecting prices to decline 8.8% this year and 13.4% in 2023. The Commonwealth Bank has forecast a decline of 18% by the end of 2023.

According to the latest CoreLogic figures, the Leichhardt SA3 region (covering suburbs such as Rozelle, Balmain and Birchgrove too), recorded the largest decline in house values, down 7.3% in three months.

Leichhardt’s area was followed by the Pittwater (-7.2%) and Warringah (-6.5%) regions, while the inner city and Strathfield, Ashfield, and Burwood regions also had values drop by more than 6%.

For units, it was slightly different where the largest falls were in the North Sydney and Mosman region — down 5.8%. The Manly and eastern suburbs regions — including the likes of Vaucluse, Bellevue Hill and Bondi — all recorded drops of more than 5%.



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How much income is required to service a mortgage? It depends on where you live

New research suggests spending 40 percent of household income on loan repayments is the new normal

By Bronwyn Allen
Thu, Apr 25, 2024 3 min

Requiring more than 30 percent of household income to service a home loan has long been considered the benchmark for ‘housing stress’. Yet research shows it is becoming the new normal. The 2024 ANZ CoreLogic Housing Affordability Report reveals home loans on only 17 percent of homes are ‘serviceable’ if serviceability is limited to 30 percent of the median national household income.

Based on 40 percent of household income, just 37 percent of properties would be serviceable on a mortgage covering 80 percent of the purchase price. ANZ CoreLogic suggest 40 may be the new 30 when it comes to home loan serviceability. “Looking ahead, there is little prospect for the mortgage serviceability indicator to move back into the 30 percent range any time soon,” says the report.

“This is because the cash rate is not expected to be cut until late 2024, and home values have continued to rise, even amid relatively high interest rate settings.” ANZ CoreLogic estimate that home loan rates would have to fall to about 4.7 percent to bring serviceability under 40 percent.

CoreLogic has broken down the actual household income required to service a home loan on a 6.27 percent interest rate for an 80 percent loan based on current median house and unit values in each capital city. As expected, affordability is worst in the most expensive property market, Sydney.

Sydney

Sydney’s median house price is $1,414,229 and the median unit price is $839,344.

Based on 40 percent serviceability, households need a total income of $211,456 to afford a home loan for a house and $125,499 for a unit. The city’s actual median household income is $120,554.

Melbourne

Melbourne’s median house price is $935,049 and the median apartment price is $612,906.

Based on 40 percent serviceability, households need a total income of $139,809 to afford a home loan for a house and $91,642 for a unit. The city’s actual median household income is $110,324.

Brisbane

Brisbane’s median house price is $909,988 and the median unit price is $587,793.

Based on 40 percent serviceability, households need a total income of $136,062 to afford a home loan for a house and $87,887 for a unit. The city’s actual median household income is $107,243.

Adelaide

Adelaide’s median house price is $785,971 and the median apartment price is $504,799.

Based on 40 percent serviceability, households need a total income of $117,519 to afford a home loan for a house and $75,478 for a unit. The city’s actual median household income is $89,806.

Perth

Perth’s median house price is $735,276 and the median unit price is $495,360.

Based on 40 percent serviceability, households need a total income of $109,939 to afford a home loan for a house and $74,066 for a unit. The city’s actual median household income is $108,057.

Hobart

Hobart’s median house price is $692,951 and the median apartment price is $522,258.

Based on 40 percent serviceability, households need a total income of $103,610 to afford a home loan for a house and $78,088 for a unit. The city’s actual median household income is $89,515.

Darwin

Darwin’s median house price is $573,498 and the median unit price is $367,716.

Based on 40 percent serviceability, households need a total income of $85,750 to afford a home loan for a house and $54,981 for a unit. The city’s actual median household income is $126,193.

Canberra

Canberra’s median house price is $964,136 and the median apartment price is $585,057.

Based on 40 percent serviceability, households need a total income of $144,158 to afford a home loan for a house and $87,478 for a unit. The city’s actual median household income is $137,760.

 

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11 ACRES ROAD, KELLYVILLE, NSW

This stylish family home combines a classic palette and finishes with a flexible floorplan

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