What does 2025 hold for housing values in your city? The experts weigh in
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What does 2025 hold for housing values in your city? The experts weigh in

Factors such as migration levels, rental demand and persistently high interest rates are impacting on some major centres more than others

By Bronwyn Allen
Tue, Jul 9, 2024 11:24amGrey Clock 5 min

Australian house prices are forecast to continue rising in 2025 — but at a slower pace. Supply of homes for sale will remain constrained and potentially higher interest rates hanging around for longer will continue to limit both finance availability and affordability.

Moderating population growth as migration rates normalise is expected to soften demand. However, this will be offset somewhat by rising rents continuing to encourage some people to buy.

In KPMG’s Residential Property Outlook, chief economist Dr Brendan Rynne says: “When the cost of renting is comparable to the cost of buying and owning a similar property, households may opt for home ownership, potentially driving up house prices.”

The research team at Domain notes that more people living alone will continue to put pressure on home values and rents in FY25. COVID and the opportunity to work from home prompted many people to leave shared inner city rental accommodation and set up their own homes in more affordable areas. Meantime, as our population gets older, more people are forced to live alone due to marriage breakdown or the death of a spouse.

Some markets will see superior apartment price gains compared to houses. CBA senior economist Belinda Allen says affordability challenges have “seen drivers of home price growth switch slowly”, as more buyers accept they cannot afford a house. This trend is most notable in mid-tier capital cities like Perth, Brisbane and Adelaide where prices have risen most.

Ms Allen adds: “We are seeing a similar thematic in the rental market; national unit rents are up 22 percent over the past year compared to 16 percent for house rents.”

Here is a snapshot of predictions for property price growth in the period ahead.

 

Sydney

Domain forecasts 6 to 8 percent growth for house prices, taking the median above $1.7 million by the end of FY25. Domain also tips 4 to 6 percent growth for apartments, which would make Sydney one of the best-performing unit markets of FY25.

In the calendar year of 2025, KPMG’s predictions are 5.3 percent house price growth and 5.6 percent for units. CBA’s predictions are 4 percent growth for Sydney home values overall.

Melbourne

Domain forecasts 0 to 2 percent growth for house prices in what is now “the slowest and most inconsistent recovery in the city’s history”. Domain tips better growth for apartments at 2 to 4 percent. Houses will underperform because of high supply compared to demand, and the introduction of significantly higher land taxes for investors. By the end of FY25, the city will still not have regained its median price losses from the 2022-23 downturn.

In the calendar year of 2025, KPMG’s predictions are 6.5 percent growth for both houses and apartments in Melbourne. CBA’s predictions are 4 percent growth for dwelling values overall. CBA’s Ms Allen says that once investors get used to the taxation changes, they may look to Melbourne for value and greater capital growth potential outside the recent top-performing mid-tier cities.

A sluggish recovery in Melbourne could create opportunity for property investors in 2025.

Brisbane

Domain predicts 6 to 8 percent house price growth in FY25, which may see Brisbane crack the million-dollar median for the first time. Unit prices are tipped to grow by 4 to 6 percent, which would make Brisbane one of the top-performing unit markets of FY25.

In the calendar year of 2025, KPMG’s forecasts are 5.1 percent house price growth and 2.5 percent for units. CBA’s predictions are 7 percent growth for dwelling values overall.

Adelaide

Domain sees 7 to 9 percent growth for house prices in Adelaide, with the city likely to reach a million-dollar median by December 2025. The unit market is forecast to be one of the best in the country with 4 to 6 percent growth in FY25.

In the calendar year of 2025, KPMG’s predictions are 5.9 percent house price growth and 4.6 percent for units. CBA’s predictions are 9 percent growth for dwelling values overall.

Perth 

Perth will dominate the capital cities with house price growth of 8 to 10 percent in FY25, according to Domain. Unit prices are forecast to lift by 4 to 5 percent, but even at the top growth rate, the median will still be under a very comparatively affordable $450,000.

In the calendar year of 2025, KPMG’s forecasts are 5.2 percent house price growth and 8 percent for units. CBA’s predictions are 12 percent growth for home values overall.

Perth will experience in the strongest growth in property prices, experts predict.

Canberra

Canberra is only just moving into its recovery now, with house prices likely to see mild growth of 0 to 4 percent in FY25, according to Domain. Unit prices are tipped to increase by 1 to 4 percent. Over the past few years, the ACT Government has encouraged more strata-title development as new land supply runs out amid ongoing population growth, and as residents get older and need more downsizing housing options.

KPMG’s predictions are 6 percent house price growth and 4.1 percent for units in Canberra in the calendar year 2025.

Hobart

KPMG’s forecasts are 5.7 percent house price growth and 5.3 percent for units in Hobart in the calendar year 2025. KPMG said weak economic conditions in Melbourne will directly affect Hobart, with flow-on impacts to property values.

KPMG’s Dr Brendan Rynne said: “Given the interconnected nature of these two markets, the sluggish performance in Melbourne is likely to have a ripple effect on Hobart’s economic prospects.”

The slow recovery for property in Melbourne will have a knock on effect in Hobart. Shutterstock

Regional Australia

Domain Research says the removal of incentives for migrants to settle in regional areas will impact population growth and housing demand in FY25. Offsetting this will be the construction sector focusing more on city projects amid a severe undersupply nationwide, thereby keeping supply of new homes in regional areas tight. Towns with close proximity to the cities will remain attractive for buyers priced out of metro markets.

Domain forecasts moderate growth for regional Queensland with 2 to 4 percent house price gains and 3 to 4 percent unit price gains. The Gold Coast and Sunshine Coasts should crack new record house prices in FY25, with Domain tipping 3 to 6 percent growth for houses and 3 to 4 percent growth for units on the Gold Coast and 2 to 5 percent growth for houses and 3 to 4 percent growth for apartments on the Sunshine Coast.

Growth will be sluggish in regional NSW with 0 to 3 percent gains for houses and 1 to 3 percent gains for units. Houses prices in regional Victoria may decline in FY25, with forecasts of between a 3 percent fall and 0 percent growth. Domain tips unit prices to lift 1 to 2 percent.



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Everyone Wants a Room Where They Can Escape Their Screens

Weary of ‘smart’ everything, Americans are craving stylish ‘analog rooms’ free of digital distractions—and designers are making them a growing trend.

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James and Ellen Patterson are hardly Luddites. But the couple, who both work in tech, made an unexpectedly old-timey decision during the renovation of their 1928 Washington, D.C., home last year.

The Pattersons had planned to use a spacious unfinished basement room to store James’s music equipment, but noticed that their children, all under age 21, kept disappearing down there to entertain themselves for hours without the aid of tablets or TVs.

Inspired, the duo brought a new directive to their design team.

The subterranean space would become an “analog room”: a studiously screen-free zone where the family could play board games together, practice instruments, listen to records or just lounge about lazily, undistracted by devices.

For decades, we’ve celebrated the rise of the “smart home”—knobless, switchless, effortless and entirely orchestrated via apps.

But evidence suggests that screen-free “dumb” spaces might be poised for a comeback.

Many smart-home features are losing their luster as they raise concerns about surveillance and, frankly, just don’t function.

New York designer Christine Gachot said she’d never have to work again “if I had a dollar for every time I had a client tell me ‘my smart music system keeps dropping off’ or ‘I can’t log in.’ ”

Google searches for “how to reduce screen time” reached an all-time high in 2025. In the past four years on TikTok, videos tagged #AnalogLife—cataloging users’ embrace of old technology, physical media and low-tech lifestyles—received over 76 million views.

And last month, Architectural Digest reported on nostalgia for old-school tech : “landline in hand, cord twirled around finger.”

Catherine Price, author of “ How to Break Up With Your Phone,” calls the trend heartening.

“People are waking up to the idea that screens are getting in the way of real life interactions and taking steps through design choices to create an alternative, places where people can be fully present,” said Price, whose new book “ The Amazing Generation ,” co-written with Jonathan Haidt, counsels tweens and kids on fun ways to escape screens.

From both a user and design perspective, the Pattersons consider their analog room a success.

Freed from the need to accommodate an oversize television or stuff walls with miles of wiring, their design team—BarnesVanze Architects and designer Colman Riddell—could get more creative, dividing the space into discrete music and game zones.

Ellen’s octogenarian parents, who live nearby, often swing by for a round or two of the Stock Market Game, an eBay-sourced relic from Ellen’s childhood that requires calculations with pen and paper.

In the music area, James’s collection of retro Fender and Gibson guitars adorn walls slicked with Farrow & Ball’s Card Room Green , while the ceiling is papered with a pattern that mimics the organic texture of vintage Fender tweed.

A trio of collectible amps cluster behind a standing mic—forming a de facto stage where family and friends perform on karaoke nights. Built-in cabinets display a Rega turntable and the couple’s vinyl record collection.

“Playing a game with family or doing your own little impromptu karaoke is just so much more joyful than getting on your phone and scrolling for 45 minutes,” said James.

The Patterson family’s basement retreat ‘encapsulates the joy in the things that we love in one room.’ John Cole

Screen-Free ‘Escapes’

“Dumb” design will likely continue to gather steam, said Hans Lorei, a designer in Nashville, Tenn., as people increasingly treat their homes “less as spaces to optimise and more as spaces to retreat.”

Case in point: The top-floor nook that designer Jeanne Hayes of Camden Grace Interiors carved out in her Connecticut home as an “offline-office” space.

Her desk? A periwinkle beanbag chair paired with an ottoman by Jaxx. “I hunker down here when I need to escape distractions from the outside world,” she explained.

“Sometimes I’m scheming designs for a project while listening to vinyl, other times I’m reading the newspaper in solitude. When I’m in here without screens, I feel more peaceful and more productive at the same time—two things that rarely go hand in hand.”

A subtle archway marks the transition into designer Zoë Feldman’s Washington, D.C., rosy sunroom—a serene space she conceived as a respite from the digital demands of everyday life.

Used for reading and quiet conversation, it “reinforces how restorative it can be to be physically present in a room without constant input,” the designer said.

Laura Lubin, owner of Nashville-based Ellerslie Interiors, transformed a tiny guest bedroom in her family’s cottage into her own “wellness room,” where she retreats for sound baths, massages and reflection.

“Without screens, the room immediately shifts your nervous system. You’re not multitasking or consuming, you’re just present,” said Lubin.

As a designer, she’s fielding requests from clients for similar spaces that support mental health and rest, she said.

“People are overstimulated and overscheduled,” she explained. “Homes are no longer just places to live—they’re expected to actively support well-being.”

Designer Molly Torres Portnof of New York’s DATE Interiors adopted the same brief when she designed a music room for her husband, owner of the labels Greenway Records and Levitation, in their Lido Beach, N.Y. home. He goes there nightly to listen to records or play his guitar.

The game closet from the townhouse in “The Royal Tenenbaums”? That idea is back too, says Gachot. Last year she designed an epic game room backed by a rock climbing wall for a young family in Montana.

When you’re watching a show or on your phone, “it’s a solo experience for the most part,” the designer said. “The family really wanted to encourage everybody to do things together.”

Photo: John Cole

Analog Accessories

Don’t have the space—or the budget—to kit out an entire retro rec room?

“There are a lot of small tweaks you can make even if you don’t have the time, energy or budget to design a fully analog room from scratch,” said Price.

Gachot says “the small things in people’s lives are cues of what the bigger trends are.”

More of her clients, she’s noticed, have been requesting retrograde staples, such as analog clocks and magazine racks.

For her Los Angeles living room, chef Sara Kramer sourced a vintage piano from Craigslist to be the room’s centerpiece, rather than sacrifice its design to the dominant black box of a smart TV. Alabama designer Lauren Conner recently worked with a client who bought a home with a rotary phone.

Rather than rip it out, she decided to keep it up and running, adding a silver receiver cover embellished with her grandmother’s initials.

Some throwback accessories aren’t so subtle. Melia Marden was browsing listings from the Public Sale Auction House in Hudson, N.Y. when she spotted a phone booth from Bell Systems circa the late 1950s and successfully bid on it for a few hundred dollars.

“It was a pandemic impulse buy,” said Marden.

In 2023, she and her husband, Frank Sisti Jr., began working with designer Elliot Meier and contractor ReidBuild to integrate the booth into what had been a hallway linen closet in their Brooklyn townhouse.

Canadian supplier Old Phone Works refurbished the phone and sold them the pulse-to-tone converter that translates the rotary dial to a modern phone line.

The couple had collected a vintage whimsical animal-adorned wallpaper (featured in a different colourway in “Pee-wee’s Playhouse”) and had just enough to cover the phone booth’s interior.

Their children, ages 9 and 11, don’t have their own phones, so use the booth to communicate with family. It’s also become a favorite spot for hiding away with a stack of Archie comic books.

The booth has brought back memories of meandering calls from Marden’s own youth—along with some of that era’s simple joy. As Meier puts it: “It’s got this magical wardrobe kind of feeling.”

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