World Bank Brightens View of Global Growth This Year, Downgrades 2024
Bank warns of risks to poorer nations from rising interest rates
Bank warns of risks to poorer nations from rising interest rates
WASHINGTON—The World Bank sees better global economic growth than previously estimated in 2023, thanks to resilient U.S. consumer spending and China’s faster-than-expected reopening in the early part of the year.
The bank still expects slowing growth in the second half of this year and a muted expansion into next year, according to its forecast released Tuesday. It warned that stubbornly high inflation and interest-rate increases are weighing on economic activity around the world, particularly in developing countries.
The bank now projects the world’s economy will grow 2.1% this year, up from the 1.7% pace it forecast in January. The new estimate still marks a slowdown from last year’s 3.1% expansion.
“The global economy remains in a precarious state,” the multilateral lender said in the latest issue of its semiannual Global Economic Prospects report. The bank noted overlapping negative shocks from the pandemic, Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and the sharp tightening of monetary policy.
The bank forecasts growth of 2.4% next year—a pickup from this year, but not as much as its January estimate of 2.7%.
The somewhat improved 2023 outlook is consistent with other data showing the U.S. and much of Europe have so far avoided a recession that many forecasters expected heading into 2023.
Better-than-expected economic performances at the start of the year have helped keep inflation stubbornly high in many advanced economies. As a result, policy makers in the U.S. and other rich nations have continued to raise interest rates to tame inflation. The World Bank says that the impact is felt particularly acutely in many developing nations.
For many lower-income countries, higher rates are crimping growth, slowing investment and intensifying the risk of financial crises, the bank said.
“The possibility of more widespread banking turmoil and tighter monetary policy could result in even weaker global growth,” the World Bank said. Rapid U.S. rate increases since early 2022 have created a pocket of volatility in the otherwise stable banking system, contributing to the failures of Silicon Valley Bank, Signature Bank and First Republic Bank earlier this year.
The drag on economic activities from tighter monetary policy is growing more pronounced in interest-rate-sensitive sectors such as business and residential investments.
Emerging markets and developing economies outside of China are expected to see their growth slow to 2.9% this year from 4.1% last year.
“Besieged by high inflation, tight global markets and record debt levels, many countries are simply growing poorer,” said Indermit Gill, World Bank chief economist.
Some of the world’s poorest nations are particularly vulnerable. Many of their governments have been forced to spend growing shares of their limited resources to pay higher interest on their debts, putting their finances in precarious positions and raising risks of financial dislocations, the World Bank said.
The average ratio of debt to gross domestic product among the 28 poorest countries, those with per capita incomes below $1,085 annually, has grown to 67% from 36% in 2011. These countries spend just 3% of their revenues to support their poorest citizens.
Gill urged central banks, particularly those from rich countries, to communicate their intentions as early and clearly as possible to avoid the disruptive spillover to global financial markets. Monetary officials from emerging markets may need to tighten their own policies to limit capital outflow and currency depreciation, which could fuel inflation, he said.
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Lamborghini CEO Stephan Winkelmann has made it clear the company, which makes some of the fastest cars in the world, would not speed into the era of electrification.
“Our first steps in that (electrification) direction will be plug-in hybrids throughout the lineup,” he said in a 2022 interview with Penta. “This is all very easily welcomed at Lamborghini. The equations are easy. We always promise more performance than the generation before for all our cars, and we will do so while maintaining sustainability. By 2025, we will be able to cut our overall emissions by 50% with all of the hybrid models added.”
Proving Lamborghini and Winkelmann are as good as their collective word, the time of watts and volts arrived in Bologna, Italy, with the debut of the 2025 Lamborghini Urus SE. The first hybrid super-SUV from the proud Italian firm, which starts at $275,000 marries the familiar internal combustion specs of its growling engines with battery power looking not so much to save the planet as to propel vehicles across it with more alacrity.
The Urus SE is the first hybrid plug-in version of Lamborghini’s SUV, and it’s aimed to outperform its all-internal combustion rivals, such as the Aston Martin DBX707 and the Bentley Bentayga. The PHEV (Plug-in Hybrid Electric Vehicle) Urus SE relies on an 800 CV hybrid powertrain, surpassing any previous Lamborghini SUV model in torque and power numbers.
The machine’s twin-turbo 4.0-litre V-8 engine is reengineered and partnered with an electric powertrain to produce 620 CV. For the uninitiated, CV is the abbreviation of Chevaux-Vapeur and is similar to horsepower. Usually, HP converts to just a little less than CV—at least allowing the automotive enthusiasts from the U.S. and Europe to get a traditional sense of vehicle power for gas-powered or hybrid vehicles without needing a conversion calculator.
To make a long engineering story as quick as the Urus SE, if you add together the internal contrition power plant and the e-motor, the final output is 800 CV. The result is a Lamborghini that cuts its emissions by 80% without sacrificing performance, comfort, or driving excitement.
The thinking process on when and how to release this plug-in hybrid began before the company’s 2021 pledge to cut CO2 emissions, says Stefano Cossalter, the Urus model line director.
“This plan gave momentum to a profound and constant research of opportunities and challenges involved in the transition to electrification,” Cossalter says. “The plan started in 2023 with the launch of the Revuelto [sold out into 2026], our first HPEV (high performance electrified vehicle), and continues with the launch of the hybrid version of our Super SUV Urus SE.”
Cossalter lays out that the slow and steady march to electrification will continue next year with the release of the Temerario, described by Lamborghini as the successor to the popular Huracan and “the first super sports car in the history of the … brand to be equipped with a V-8 twin-turbo engine paired with three electric motors.” Then, the automaker will look to the horizon for its introduction of the Lanzador, the company’s first BEV (battery electric vehicle) in 2028.
The hybrid version offers improved performance over the 100% gas Urus. A magnet synchronous electric motor located inside the SE’s eight-speed automatic transmission tied into the four-wheel-drive system can boost the V-8 engine, offering additional acceleration. Meanwhile, that motor can provide enough power to transform the Urus SE into a totally electric vehicle with a range of about 35 miles in EV mode.
With the new drive system noted, Lamborghini’s engineers could turn to performance specs. They built in a new, centrally located longitudinal electric torque vectoring system with an electro-hydraulic multi-plate clutch. That’s a lot of fancy tech talk to say the vehicle can throw power and grip back and forth between the front and rear axles wherever the onboard system senses it’s needed. A new electronic limited-slip differential on the rear axle helps give the Urus SE oversteering when needed. The end result is an SUV that packs the feel of a Huracan on the road.
That supercar feel in an SUV is the experience Lamborghini refuses to abandon in the Urus SE, Cossalter says.
“We didn’t come to compromises in the hybridisation process,” he says. “We wanted the Urus SE to preserve the DNA of the original project and enhance the experience for the driver. For those reasons, we decided not to downsize. We kept a V-8 engine with its strong character and voice, and then added some spice to the dynamic behavior by changing the all-wheel-drive architecture. The result is we have more power, more torque, more speed, more fun.”
As for external styling on the Urus, Lamborghini takes after its competition at Aston Martin or Ferrari by trying to make an SUV that looks as little like an SUV as possible. The profile is lowered, and the lines sweeping and tapering from nose to tail, as though Lambo’s in-house designers want to hide the size and functionality of an SUV inside the shape of the familiar Lamborghini supercars of the past.
However, driving the Urus does not feel much like a traditional Lamborghini supercar simply because the driving position is higher and more upright compared to, say, an Avantador that puts the driver’s backside close to pavement. Regardless of where one sits, the acceleration, noise, and tight handling lives in a Urus as happily as it does in any other Lambo.
As its first volume consumer step into the hybrid world, the Urus SE tells Italian supercar enthusiasts to keep the faith.
“The Urus SE points to the future with electrification while keeping its heritage intact,” Cossalter says.
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