Auction Markets Strong In Face Of COVID
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Auction Markets Strong In Face Of COVID

The nation’s capitals showed resistance against uncertainty.

By Kanebridge News
Mon, Jul 19, 2021 10:38amGrey Clock 2 min

Auction activity has remained strong, despite increased COVID restrictions across Sydney and Melbourne.

A total of 2179 homes were listed for auction capital city markets on Saturday, July 17 – a new record for July, surpassing the previous high of 1869 set just last weekend.

Across all capitals, auction numbers continue to track around double the levels recorded for the same weekend last year.

Record auction numbers also failed to slow the auction clearance rate with a national rate of 80.5%, higher than last weekend’s 79.5% and well ahead of the 62.5% recorded over the same weekend last year.

Clearance rates were higher in all capitals on Saturday – with the exception of Canberra and lockdown impeded Melbourne – the latter recording the lowest result of all the auction capitals (73.2%).

In Sydney, auction clearance rates held the line against tightening restrictions with a rate of 78.0% – a small rise from last weekend’s year low of 76.6%.

The weekend clearance rate continues to be influenced by a high number of withdrawals with a total of 21.0% of reported auctions  – around double the pre-shutdown results.

Still, a July record of 872 auctions was reported listed in Sydney on Saturday – higher than the 782 auctioned the previous weekend and well ahead of the 471 recorded over the same weekend last year.

Sydney recorded a median price of $1,603,000 for houses sold at auction at the weekend which was similar to the $1,631,000 reported over the previous Saturday.

However, Melbourne’s market proved to be less resilient when faced with the lockdown.

The Victorian capital still reported a robust 73.2% clearance rate, however, was down on last weekend’s 76.7%  – the lowest weekend result since the previous shutdown impacted the result on June 12 at 69.0%.

The lower clearance rate was clearly impacted in a surge of lockdown-related withdrawals with 27.4% of listed auctions reported withdrawn – well ahead of the 9.5% withdrawals reported the previous Saturday.

Another July record 1061 homes were listed to go under the hammer on Saturday –  ahead of last weekend’s previous record 977 auctions.

Melbourne recorded a median price of $992,500 for houses sold at auction at the weekend which was higher than the $983,000 recorded over the previous weekend and 20.2% higher than the $825,000 recorded over the same weekend last year.

Data powered by Dr Andrew Wilson of My Housing Market.

 



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Ray White’s chief economist outlines her predictions for housing market trends in 2024

By Bronwyn Allen
Tue, Nov 28, 2023 2 min

Ray White’s chief economist, Nerida Conisbee says property price growth will continue next year and mortgage holders will need to “survive until 2025” amid expectations of higher interest rates for longer.

Ms Conisbee said strong population growth and a housing supply shortage combatted the impact of rising interest rates in 2023, leading to unusually strong price growth during a rate hiking cycle. The latest CoreLogic data shows home values have increased by more than 10 percent in the year to date in Sydney, Brisbane and Perth. Among the regional markets, price growth has been strongest in regional South Australia with 8.6 percent growth and regional Queensland at 6.9 percent growth.

“As interest rates head close to peak, it is expected that price growth will continue. At this point, housing supply remains extremely low and many people that would be new home buyers are being pushed into the established market,” Ms Conisbee said. “Big jumps in rents are pushing more first home buyers into the market and population growth is continuing to be strong.”

Ms Conisbee said interest rates will be higher for longer due to sticky inflation. “… we are unlikely to see a rate cut until late 2024 or early 2025. This means mortgage holders need to survive until 2025, paying far more on their home loans than they did two years ago.”

Buyers in coastal areas currently have a window of opportunity to take advantage of softer prices, Ms Conisbee said. “Look out for beach house bargains over summer but you need to move quick. In many beachside holiday destinations, we saw a sharp rise in properties for sale and a corresponding fall in prices. This was driven by many pandemic driven holiday home purchases coming back on to the market.”

3 key housing market trends for 2024

Here are three of Ms Conisbee’s predictions for the key housing market trends of 2024.

Luxury apartment market to soar

Ms Conisbee said the types of apartments being built have changed dramatically amid more people choosing to live in apartments longer-term and Australia’s ageing population downsizing. “Demand is increasing for much larger, higher quality, more expensive developments. This has resulted in the most expensive apartments in Australia seeing price increases more than double those of an average priced apartment. This year, fewer apartments being built, growing population and a desire to live in some of Australia’s most sought-after inner urban areas will lead to a boom in luxury apartment demand.”

Homes to become even greener

The rising costs of energy and the health impacts of heat are two new factors driving interest in green homes, Ms Conisbee said. “Having a greener home utilising solar and batteries makes it cheaper to run air conditioning, heaters and pool pumps. We are heading into a particularly hot summer and having homes that are difficult to cool down makes them far more dangerous for the elderly and very young.”

More people living alone

For some time now, long-term social changes such as delayed marriage and an ageing population have led to more people living alone. However, Ms Conisbee points out that the pandemic also showed that many people prefer to live alone for lifestyle reasons. “Shorter term, the pandemic has shown that given the chance, many people prefer to live alone with a record increase in single-person households during the time. This trend may influence housing preferences, with a potential rise in demand for smaller dwellings and properties catering to individuals rather than traditional family units.”

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