Home Building To Decline 20%

Australia is staring into the headwinds of a ‘shallow’ 20% decline in housing construction over the next three years as building materials and labour shortages extend building timeframes — despite higher borrowing costs and affordability problems cutting demand, according to the Housing Industry Association (HIA).

The decline from 229,000 housing commencements in the 2021 calendar year to an estimated 183,800 in 2024 is projected based on unemployment remaining at low levels and an extension of construction times from 8.3 months to 12.2 months on average.

However, different sectors of the housing market should be expected to behave differently. A 34% decline in detached houses starts through to 2025 will be offset by an increase in apartment commencements and other attached homes — buy 14% — by 2026 as immigration increases, according to HIA’s quarterly forecast.

“Ongoing strong demand for homes is assisting builders to trade through this cycle, but rising borrowing costs and slowing demand will increase cash flow pressures, before the availability of materials improves,” the HIA report says.

“The combined impact of higher interest rates, increased cost of a new home and capacity constraints will see the volume of homes commencing construction slow to a trough in 2025.”

The decline in home building is forecast to last for 13 quarters — longer than the typical two-year fall according to the HIA.

Following a peak of 141,150 detached home starts, the total will fall to 128,790 this year and then slip 5.2% in 2022. Higher interest rates will dampen demand with commencements cut to 108,890 in 2024 before bottoming out at 99,350 in 2025.

Attached home starts will rise 1.2% in the financial year 2023, and 3.9% in 2024 to reach 80,700 from last year’s 74,350.

The market should expect 4.3% of further growth in 2025 and 4% in 2026 bringing the total to 87,560.

Tucked away in Byron Bay’s coveted hinterland, Whimsy Farm is a traditional rural homestead surrounded by more than 16ha of lush fertile grounds with equestrian facilities and a host of whimsical additions including a fairytale-inspired maze.

Just listed with Sotheby’s International Realty Byron Bay, agents Denzil Lloyd and Will Phillips are running an expressions of interest campaign on the glamorous getaway with a price guide of $5.25 million to $5.75 million.

The romantic estate in Federal, 25 kms from Byron Bay dates back more than a century, but has been meticulously renovated by its current owners to attain modern day dream home status.

Back in 2016, the enviable property even featured on Foxtel’s short-lived reality TV show I Own Australia’s Best Home. The picturesque parcel has also been appreciated by location scouts and has appeared in a long list of fashion brand and magazine shoots such as Country Style and Queensland Homes.

Owner Melinda Boundy, founder of boutique interiors firm Melinda Boundy Design, was instrumental in reviving the historic Federal homestead. She has described the rural property as a “a respite from the world” where she and her husband have raised their two sons over the past decade.

“I brought my boys down 10 years ago to nurture their creativity, their boyhood,” Boundy said in a recent Instagram post announcing the impending sale.

“We found our farm with its double-storey treehouse and 40 acres the perfect place for two young boys to thrive.”

In addition to hiring out the estate for formal events, Boundy said the family had celebrated several milestones at the address.

“Many parties, sleepovers, friends staying and events have been held [here]. It has seen the filming of a TV show or two, music videos, location shoots and weddings,” she added.

“Now it’s time to pass the baton to another family to share the magic and wonderment of this beautiful compound.”

Lloyd agreed that the listing is a magical estate, ripe for the picking.

“It’s a wonderland. There’s the maze, but it’s also got the treehouse, teepee, dams, beautiful established veggie gardens and it’s perfect for those who love horse riding,” Mr Lloyd said.

“It really is an oasis with plenty of classical charm as well. It’s not an ostentatious home; it’s an original Queenslander from 1910.”

Living up to its storybook name, Whimsy Farm is home to a preserved traditional Queenslander residence with five bedrooms, plus a freestanding guest cottage. There is also a separate pool house and a combined shed or office on site, all capturing scenic hinterland views.

The main single-storey residence has a choice of entertaining spaces inside and out as well as bedrooms opening to private alfresco areas. A grand kitchen and the large living room both open to a vast terrace and pool area.

In the primary bedrooms suite there is a bay window overlooking the natural surrounds, an ensuite with double vanities, and out on the covered deck an outdoor bathtub is an idyllic spot for soaking under the stars.

The playful property has also operated as a holiday rental and offers up unique bonus features including a solar-heated semi circle pool, a double-storey treehouse, a teepee, horse stables, paddocks and a an Olympic-sized dressage arena.

A true tree change destination, the Federal address is home to 10 acres of regenerated forest, eight water tanks, two lagoons, extensive raised veggie gardens and a citrus orchard.

It is conveniently located a scenic 30-minute drive to Byron Bay and 20 minutes to Bangalow.

Whimsy Farm at 711 Federal Dr, Federal is listed through Sotheby’s International Realty Byron Bay through an expressions of interest campaign closing February 20, 5pm.

Home Building To Decline 20%

Labour and materials shortages are set to pinch home supply.

Whimsy Farm is a playful period estate positioned in Byron Bay’s picturesque hinterland.