Record Listings Push Clearance Rate Down
An unprecedented number of auctions tested buyer depth.
2 min
The penultimate weekend auction market for 2021 tested the depth of buyers with a record number of listings.
National auction numbers were significantly higher — rising from the previous Saturday’s 3096 to a new weekend record of 3632 — well ahead of the 2078 auctioned over the same weekend last year.
The high volume of auctions sent the national clearance rate down to 75.4% at the weekend — lower than the 76.8% reported the previous weekend and lower than the 78.4% recorded over the same weekend last year.
Sydney’s market recorded a clearance rate of 67.4% — well down on the previous weekend’s 76.6% and significantly lower than the 80.1% recorded over the same weekend last year.
A record 1371 homes were listed for auction on Saturday— well ahead of the previous weekend’s 1189 and higher than the 870 auctioned over the same weekend last year.
Sydney’s median price of $1,707,500 for houses sold at auction at the weekend was higher than the $1,622,500 reported over the previous Saturday and 20.7% higher than the $1,415,000 recorded over the same weekend last year.
In Melbourne, the weekend auction market produced an all-time high number of auctions, breaking recorded for the volume and value of weekend auction sales.
The Victorian capital recorded 1765 homes auctioned at the weekend — well ahead of the 1491 reported over the previous weekend and significantly higher than the 979 auctioned over the same weekend last year.
Despite the surge in listings, Melbourne reported a clearance rate of 70.1% on Saturday – higher than the previous weekend’s 68.5% yet lower than the 73.4% recorded over the same weekend last year.
Melbourne recorded a median price of $1,112,500 for houses sold at auction at the weekend — lower than the $1126,000 recorded over the previous weekend but 7.9% higher than the $1,031,000 recorded over the same weekend last year.
Data powered by Dr Andrew Wilson, myhousingmarket.com.au
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New research suggests spending 40 percent of household income on loan repayments is the new normal
3 min
Requiring more than 30 percent of household income to service a home loan has long been considered the benchmark for ‘housing stress’. Yet research shows it is becoming the new normal. The 2024 ANZ CoreLogic Housing Affordability Report reveals home loans on only 17 percent of homes are ‘serviceable’ if serviceability is limited to 30 percent of the median national household income.
Based on 40 percent of household income, just 37 percent of properties would be serviceable on a mortgage covering 80 percent of the purchase price. ANZ CoreLogic suggest 40 may be the new 30 when it comes to home loan serviceability. “Looking ahead, there is little prospect for the mortgage serviceability indicator to move back into the 30 percent range any time soon,” says the report.
“This is because the cash rate is not expected to be cut until late 2024, and home values have continued to rise, even amid relatively high interest rate settings.” ANZ CoreLogic estimate that home loan rates would have to fall to about 4.7 percent to bring serviceability under 40 percent.
CoreLogic has broken down the actual household income required to service a home loan on a 6.27 percent interest rate for an 80 percent loan based on current median house and unit values in each capital city. As expected, affordability is worst in the most expensive property market, Sydney.
Sydney
Sydney’s median house price is $1,414,229 and the median unit price is $839,344.
Based on 40 percent serviceability, households need a total income of $211,456 to afford a home loan for a house and $125,499 for a unit. The city’s actual median household income is $120,554.
Melbourne
Melbourne’s median house price is $935,049 and the median apartment price is $612,906.
Based on 40 percent serviceability, households need a total income of $139,809 to afford a home loan for a house and $91,642 for a unit. The city’s actual median household income is $110,324.
Brisbane
Brisbane’s median house price is $909,988 and the median unit price is $587,793.
Based on 40 percent serviceability, households need a total income of $136,062 to afford a home loan for a house and $87,887 for a unit. The city’s actual median household income is $107,243.
Adelaide
Adelaide’s median house price is $785,971 and the median apartment price is $504,799.
Based on 40 percent serviceability, households need a total income of $117,519 to afford a home loan for a house and $75,478 for a unit. The city’s actual median household income is $89,806.
Perth
Perth’s median house price is $735,276 and the median unit price is $495,360.
Based on 40 percent serviceability, households need a total income of $109,939 to afford a home loan for a house and $74,066 for a unit. The city’s actual median household income is $108,057.
Hobart
Hobart’s median house price is $692,951 and the median apartment price is $522,258.
Based on 40 percent serviceability, households need a total income of $103,610 to afford a home loan for a house and $78,088 for a unit. The city’s actual median household income is $89,515.
Darwin
Darwin’s median house price is $573,498 and the median unit price is $367,716.
Based on 40 percent serviceability, households need a total income of $85,750 to afford a home loan for a house and $54,981 for a unit. The city’s actual median household income is $126,193.
Canberra
Canberra’s median house price is $964,136 and the median apartment price is $585,057.
Based on 40 percent serviceability, households need a total income of $144,158 to afford a home loan for a house and $87,478 for a unit. The city’s actual median household income is $137,760.
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