Slight Fall For Sydney House Prices
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Slight Fall For Sydney House Prices

NSW capital on track to record first dip since September 2020.

By Terry Christodoulou
Wed, Feb 23, 2022 12:00pmGrey Clock < 1 min

Slight falls of over 0.2% over the past four months, undoing a small gain recorded in January amid a surge in listings and weakening demand from buyers according to CoreLogic data.

The 28-day rolling tally in the CoreLogic daily index shows Sydney prices slipped into negative territory on February 19 for the first time since October 2020.

With the month almost at an end, the NSW capital is on track to post its first monthly drop in prices since the market bottomed out in September 2020.

“It’s likely we will be reporting the first month-on-month decline in Sydney’s home value index since September 2020,” according to Tim Lawless, CoreLogic’s research director.

“It’s certainly not showing evidence that the market is crashing, it’s probably best described as a levelling out in price, similar to what we’re seeing in Melbourne.”

According to Mr Lawless, the weakening trend in prices is likely to continue as stock is pushed onto the market through to Easter.

“One of the best leading indicators – the comparative market analysis generated by real estate agents on CoreLogic’s RP Data portal when they prepare properties for sale – had risen by 23 per cent over the year and 45 per cent higher than 2020,” he said.

Melbourne too is showing signs of softening with CoreLogic’s daily index reading indicating no change over the past four weeks following a 0.2% price gain in January.

Perth is only recording 0.2% growth over the rolling four-week measures, while housing values continue to record higher gains in Brisbane and Adelaide — up 2.1% and 1.6% respectively over the 28 days ending February 22.


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House values continued to fall last month, but the pace of decline has slowed, CoreLogic reports.

In signs that the RBA’s aggressive approach to monetary policy is making an impact, CoreLogic’s Home Value Index reveals national dwelling values fell -1.0 percent in November, marking the smallest monthly decline since June.

The drop represents a -7.0 percent decline – or about $53,400 –  since the peak value recorded in April 2022. Research director at CoreLogic, Tim Lawless, said the Sydney and Melbourne markets are leading the way, with the capital cities experiencing the most significant falls. But it’s not all bad news for homeowners.

“Three months ago, Sydney housing values were falling at the monthly rate of -2.3 percent,” he said. “That has now reduced by a full percentage point to a decline of -1.3 percent in November.  In July, Melbourne home values were down -1.5 percent over the month, with the monthly decline almost halving last month to -0.8%.”

The rate of decline has also slowed in the smaller capitals, he said.  

“Potentially we are seeing the initial uncertainty around buying in a higher interest rate environment wearing off, while persistently low advertised stock levels have likely contributed to this trend towards smaller value falls,” Mr Lawless said. “However, it’s fair to say housing risk remains skewed to the downside while interest rates are still rising and household balance sheets become more thinly stretched.” 

The RBA has raised the cash rate from 0.10 in April  to 2.85 in November. The board is due to meet again next week, with most experts still predicting a further increase in the cash rate of 25 basis points despite the fall in house values.

Mr Lawless said if interest rates continue to increase, there is potential for declines to ‘reaccelerate’.

“Next year will be a particular test of serviceability and housing market stability, as the record-low fixed rate terms secured in 2021 start to expire,” Mr Lawless said.

Statistics released by the Australian Bureau of Statistics this week also reveal a slowdown in the rate of inflation last month, as higher mortgage repayments and cost of living pressures bite into household budgets.

However, ABS data reveals ongoing labour shortages and high levels of construction continues to fuel higher prices for new housing, although the rate of price growth eased in September and October. 


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