The Australian capitals experiencing world-class price growth in luxury real estate
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The Australian capitals experiencing world-class price growth in luxury real estate

The latest wealth report reveals two Australian capitals posted above average results compared with the rest of the world

By Bronwyn Allen
Thu, Feb 29, 2024 10:14amGrey Clock 3 min

Luxury real estate in Perth and the Gold Coast delivered above-average price growth compared to the rest of the world in 2023, but this year Sydney and Melbourne are expected to outshine the other Australian capitals, according to Knight Frank’s newly released global research report, The Wealth Report 2024.

Knight Frank’s Prime International Residential Index (PIRI 100), which measures price growth among luxury homes in the top 5 percent of the market in 100 prime locations, found luxury residential property prices were surprisingly resilient in the turbulent global economy last year, rising by 3.1 percent on average.

This was down on the 5.2 percent average recorded in 2022 and 8.4 percent in 2021. However, given the rapid rise of interest rates during the world’s fight against inflation, Knight Frank analysts said the growth rate was “solid”, with 80 cities recording flat or positive annual price rises. The resilience was largely due to a lack of supply, which created more buyer competition for fewer homes on the market.

Leading the PIRI 100 for growth was Manila, up 26 percent, followed by Dubai at 16 percent, The Bahamas at 15 percent; and Algarve in Portugal and Cape Town in South Africa both at 12.3 percent. In Australia, Perth and the Gold Coast recorded price rises that were higher than the global average at 5.2 percent and 4.1 percent, placing them in 28th and equal 38th place among the 100 PIRI cities. Sydney ranked equal 49th with 2.7 percent growth, followed by Brisbane in 58th place with a 2.3 percent price rise. Melbourne was the laggard among Australian cities, ranking equal 63rd with growth of 1.4 percent.

Knight Frank global head of research, Liam Bailey, said wealthy people targeted luxury residential property in 2023 as their portfolios began to recover. Mr Bailey said 24 percent of the world’s ultra-high-net-worth individuals (UHNWIs), defined as having a net worth of US$30 million or more, were actively looking to buy last year. The report finds that demand will likely be similar in 2024.

Looking ahead, Knight Frank analysts have provided their 2024 forecasts for luxury residential house price growth in 25 of the world’s most in-demand markets. They predict an average growth rate of 2.5 percent for the group, up from 1.7 percent in 2023. They think Auckland will record the strongest growth at 10 percent, followed by Mumbai in India at 5.5 percent. Among Australian cities, Sydney will lead the way with 5 percent growth, followed by Melbourne with 3 percent. This would place both cities in the top 10 out of the 25 cities canvassed.

The analysts also predict that Sydney will experience the highest prestige property rental price growth in 2024 at 12 percent, far ahead of any other city in the world. The next strongest prestige rental markets are tipped to be Auckland and Toronto in Canada with 6 percent growth, London at 5.5 percent and New York at 5 percent.

The Wealth Report finds that lack of stock was a key driver of price growth for both sales and rental markets last year, and this will remain the case in 2024. For example, Sydney’s luxury home sales were down by 37 percent in 2023, with similar volume declines also seen in London, New York, Dubai, Singapore and Hong Kong.

Knight Frank Partner Erin van Tuil said: “Whilst volumes have dropped for Sydney’s prime residential market, values have not, demonstrating once again that Sydney remains a popular location to live and invest ... The fundamentals of the Sydney market, such as lifestyle, transparent government and taxes and the sheer beauty of living in the Harbour City are unlikely to change, and therefore Sydney’s popularity is likely set to remain. With only so many waterfront locations available owning a slice of Sydney Harbour real estate remains a popular investment.”The report also reveals what US$1 million buys in prime global cities and popular second-home areas in sun and ski holiday locations. In Sydney, US$1 million buys 43 sqm, and on the Gold Coast, it buys 112 sqm. By comparison, US$1 million buys 20 sqm in Aspen, 22 sqm in Hong Kong, 32 sqm in St Tropez, 33 sqm in London, 34 sqm in New York, 38 sqm in Los Angeles, 40 sqm in Paris and 42 sqm in Shanghai.



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Australia’s top 10 most affordable regional property markets investors should watch

Whether you prefer the country or the coast, there are plenty of east coast options for cashed up buyers

By Bronwyn Allen
Fri, Apr 19, 2024 3 min

There are 10 local council areas scattered along the East Coast of Australia that offer both affordability and solid fundamentals for sustainable future growth, according to the research team at residential property network, PRD. The areas have been selected based on five criterion. They are affordability – defined as a median house price below $600,000, rising house values, strong rental yields to encourage investment, a strong pipeline of residential, commercial and infrastructure projects to facilitate local economic development, and low unemployment.

Here are Australia’s 10 most affordable regional property markets with great future potential.

Mackay, QLD

Mackay is a tropical coastal area located in north Queensland. It’s known for its closeconnection to the Great Barrier Reef. The median house price is $462,750, up 8.9 percent in 2023. Mackay attracts a lot of interstate migrants and is home to more than 120,000 people. It has a healthy economy with an unemployment rate of 3.7 percent and $1.7 billion worth of projects due to commence this year.

Toowoomba, QLD

The Toowoomba median house price was up 10.9 percent in 2023.

Toowoomba is located west of Brisbane and is known for its Victorian buildings, street artand surrounding national parks. The median house price is $560,000, up 10.9 percent in 2023. The city has a population of more than 180,000. The unemployment rate is 4 percentand there is $6.1 billion in projects commencing in 2024.

Townsville, QLD

Townsville is a coastal city in north-eastern Queensland. The median house price is $420,000, up 5 percent in 2023. It is home to more than 200,000 people. Unemployment is very low at 2.5 percent and there is $3.2 billion of projects commencing this year.

Dubbo, NSW

Dubbo is located west of Newcastle in the Orana Region and is home to the Western Plains Zoo. The median house price is $530,000, up 11.6 percent in 2023. The population has exploded in recent years to more than 56,000 people. The unemployment rate is just 2.2percent and the economy is thriving. There is a pipeline of $4.7 billion in projects commencing this year.

Tamworth, NSW

Located in north-east NSW, Tamworth is known for its popular annual Country Music Festival. It’s also the largest retail centre for the New England and Northwest Slopes regions. The median house price is $490,000, up 14 percent in 2023. With a population of more than 65,000 people, the economy is strong with unemployment of just 2 percent and $112.4million worth of projects commencing this year.

Griffith, NSW

Located west of Sydney and northwest of Canberra, Griffith is known for its prime produce production and wine cultivation. The median house price is $531,000, up 2.1 percent in 2023. Griffith’s population is about 27,000 people. The city boasts high economic resilience with a 2 percent unemployment rate and $258.7 million in projects in the pipeline.

Ballarat, VIC

Ballarat, Victoria

Ballarat is a 1.5hour drive west of Melbourne. It’s popular with city commuters who move here for housing affordability and a relaxed lifestyle with easy access to the city via train. The median house price is $570,000, down 4.2 percent in 2023 but up 92.9 percent over the past decade. The city has the third highest population in Victoria at about 118,000. Ballarat has an unemployment rate of 3 percent and a total projects pipeline worth $2.3 billion for 2024.

Shepparton, VIC

Shepparton is a rural area about two hours north of Melbourne. It is popularly referred to as the food bowl of Australia. The median house price is $475,000, up 4.4 percent in 2023. The population is about 70,000. The unemployment rate is just 2 percent and there is $1.8 billion in projects for 2024.

Wodonga, VIC

Wodonga is located on the border of NSW on the southern side of the Murray River. It is approximately 320km from Melbourne and 345km from Canberra. The median house price is $567,250, up 4.7 percent in 2023. With a population of about 44,000, the city’s jobless rate is 3 percent and there is $388.2 million in development set to commence in 2024, primarily new infrastructure.

Burnie, TAS

Burnie is a bustling port city located in Emu Bay in Tasmania’s north-west. Overlooking beaches and parklands, the area is known for its rich agriculture and mining projects. The median house price is $435,000, up 3.6 percent. Despite a rising population, the unemployment rate is falling and is currently 5.6 percent. In 2024, Burnie’s project pipeline is valued at approximately $1.6 billion. A significant portion is commercial development, primarily renewable energy projects.

MOST POPULAR
35 North Street Windsor

Just 55 minutes from Sydney, make this your creative getaway located in the majestic Hawkesbury region.

11 ACRES ROAD, KELLYVILLE, NSW

This stylish family home combines a classic palette and finishes with a flexible floorplan

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