The Australian home sector outperforming the rest
Pandemic fuelled renovations have only strengthened prices at this end of the market
Pandemic fuelled renovations have only strengthened prices at this end of the market
Luxury houses have experienced a far stronger rate of capital growth than the rest of the market over the past 10 years, according to a historical analysis by Australia’s largest agency network, Ray White. Family houses at the median price point have increased by 78 percent in value over the past decade, while prestige houses priced within the top five percent of homes have doubled in value.
Ray White chief economist Nerida Conisbee said land was a large component of prestige homes’ value and this created stronger rates of capital growth.
“There are only so many properties you can build in our most expensive suburbs, which tend to be located close to beaches, bays and rivers,” Ms Conisbee said. “Anything with even more unique characteristics that are hard to replicate, such as a view or close proximity to the water, are likely to have increased even further.”
Strong renovation activity during and after the pandemic accelerated capital growth.
“Luxury homes have become even more expensive over time as more investment has taken place,” Ms Conisbee said. “And while it is not possible to measure, it is likely a higher proportion of well-located luxury homes have been renovated than the rest of the market and almost certainly true that more has been spent on them.”
Luxury apartments have also grown in value at a much higher rate than average units. Ms Conisbee said this indicated the rising popularity of apartment living among wealthy Australians. Developers are increasingly catering to this trend by producing high-quality lifestyle apartments with large floorplans, many luxurious inclusions and access to world-class amenities and services.
Ms Conisbee said prestige home values also had a higher rate of appreciation because Australia’s rich were getting richer.
“A recent report from Oxfam has found that the wealth of Australia’s richest people has increased at a rate of $1.5 million per hour since 2020,” she said. “A lot of this wealth has been invested in luxury homes around Australia.”
CoreLogic data shows the most expensive suburb in Australia for houses is Bellevue Hill in Sydney, with a median value of $9.73 million. Nearby Point Piper is the most expensive suburb for apartments with a median of $3.32 million. In 2023, Australia’s top five sales occurred in Bellevue Hill, nearby Vaucluse and Hawthorn in Melbourne, ranging from $39 million to $76 million.
In regional Australia, the most expensive suburbs are Sunshine Beach in Queensland with a median house price of $2.38 million, Gerroa in NSW ($2.34 million), Surfers Paradise in Queensland ($2.27 million), Burradoo in NSW ($2.25 million) and Noosa Heads in Queensland ($2.24 million).
During the pandemic, the highest capital growth was seen in the most desirable and expensive regional markets, as wealthy city dwellers bought large lifestyle homes and holiday residences in prime seachange and treechange areas. Last year, this trend reversed, with the greatest capital gains seen in more affordable regional coastal towns, according to a new CoreLogic report released today.
The report shows that 35% of Australia’s regional coastal markets had record-high median values at the end of 2023, despite rising interest rates and cost of living pressures. The study analysed 368 coastal markets located at least 50km from the nearest capital city to reveal the top 20 gainers. All of these suburbs had a median value well below $1 million and Western Australia dominated the list.
CoreLogic Research Director Tim Lawless said: “The performance of those with the largest gains and the highest growth rates are not the glamorous hot spots that rose to prominence during COVID. The past 12 months has seen markets that offer a combination of value and lifestyle attributes, such as commuting distance to a major city, great beaches, and quality housing at a more affordable price point, outperform more well-known areas.
“Suburbs in areas such as Western Australia and more northern regions of Queensland where it’s still possible to make a seachange for less than $1 million were the strongest performers last year. Although home values in these regions are mostly at record highs, they remain relatively affordable for seachangers selling out of more expensive metro markets.”
Source: CoreLogic
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New research shows a widening divide across Australia and New Zealand’s property markets, with investors increasingly forced to look beyond traditional strongholds to find real returns.
By any traditional measure, Australia’s property market should be moving in sync. Instead, it is fragmenting.
New research from MaxCap, led by Head of Research Bruce Wan, paints a picture of a market no longer defined by national trends, but by sharp regional divergence, where performance gaps between cities are widening, and the smartest capital is moving accordingly.
At the top end of the ladder, Perth and southeast Queensland are surging ahead. At the other, Melbourne and Auckland are only just beginning to recover from recent downturns. And sitting squarely in the middle is Sydney, steady but constrained.
The takeaway is clear: the era of relying on headline markets is over.
The rise of the unexpected leaders
Brisbane and the broader southeast Queensland region have emerged as standout performers, driven by population growth, infrastructure investment and a sustained undersupply of housing.
According to the report, housing values in the region have continued to accelerate, supported by long-term tailwinds including the 2032 Olympic Games and a decade of relatively subdued price growth prior.
Perth is telling a similar story, albeit for different reasons. Once heavily tied to commodity cycles, the Western Australian capital is now benefiting from a broader base of economic drivers, including defence spending and sustained resource sector strength.
The result is a housing market that remains one of the strongest in the country, even as price growth begins to ease from its peak.
Sydney holds, but doesn’t lead
For Sydney, the story is more nuanced.
While prices continue to climb and the city remains Australia’s most expensive market, affordability constraints are clearly limiting its pace. Residential growth, while positive, lags behind smaller capitals, and commercial sectors are being held back by softer demand in key industries.
There are, however, signs of momentum building. New infrastructure, including the western Sydney Airport and expanded rail networks, is expected to unlock development opportunities and support future growth, particularly in emerging precincts.
Still, the report positions Sydney firmly in the “middle of the pack”, no longer the automatic frontrunner for investors.
Melbourne’s slow reset
Melbourne, once a consistent performer, has spent recent years recalibrating.
Extended lockdowns, combined with new state property taxes, have weighed heavily on investor sentiment and pricing, particularly across the commercial office sector. Residential values have also underperformed, though for different structural reasons.
Now, there are early signs of recovery.
Improved affordability, population growth and a stabilising economic backdrop are beginning to draw buyers back into the market, with both residential and commercial sectors showing tentative signs of improvement.
Auckland’s turning point
Across the Tasman, Auckland has faced its own challenges, particularly from an outflow of younger workers to Australia, which has dampened demand and stalled price growth.
But here too, the tide appears to be shifting.
A return to positive migration, lower interest rates and policy changes — including the easing of foreign buyer restrictions — are expected to support a gradual recovery, alongside renewed interest from offshore capital.
A market that rewards precision
If there is one unifying theme, it is this: broad-brush strategies no longer work.
MaxCap’s research highlights that the most compelling opportunities are increasingly found outside the traditional powerhouses of Sydney and Melbourne, requiring investors to take a more targeted, locally informed approach.
“Given these persistent performance gaps, there is plentiful scope for alpha returns, just by picking the right locations and market segments,” the report notes.
In other words, success in this market is no longer about being in property — it is about being in the right property, in the right place, at the right time.
And increasingly, that place may not be where you expect.
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