The state leading Australia economically for the first time
Tripled population growth has turbocharged economic demand, jobs and housing starts
2 min
South Australia is leading the country economically, with a population surge post-COVID boosting economic demand, lowering unemployment and creating a property market boom. Amid a national housing undersupply crisis, South Australia has the best rate of new home building activity and house prices have risen 10 percent in Adelaide and 9 percent in regional South Australia over the past 12 months.
CommSec’s quarterly State of the States report compares the states and territories on eight economic measures: economic growth, retail spending, equipment investment, unemployment, construction, population growth, housing finance and dwelling commencements. The report compares each measure against the long-term trends for each state and territory to determine the out performers.
According to the latest report, South Australia is the best-performing economy and comes out on top in four categories — economic growth, unemployment, construction work and dwelling starts.
The states and territories were ranked in the following order:
CommSec chief economist Craig James said this is the first time in the 15-year history of the report that South Australia has emerged as Australia’s leading state economy.
“Population growth in South Australia has tripled over the past two years, which is showing up in a strong housing market and overall economic activity,” Mr James said. He commented that Australia’s resilient jobs market and strong population growth are underpinning all state and territory economies, however high interest rates and the cost-of-living crisis have led to a slower pace of economic growth in all of them.
Economic activity in South Australia in the September quarter was 9 percent above its four-year average level of output. NSW was in second spot at 8.3 percent above its four-year average. Trend unemployment in South Australia was 3.8 percent in December, which was 36.5 percent below the state’s decade-average. Tasmania ranked second at 3.9 percent, 32.8 percent below its norm.
South Australia ranked first for construction work, based on the total real value of residential, commercial and engineering work completed in trend terms in the September quarter. South Australia completed just over $4 billion of construction during the period, which was 23.4 percent above its decade average, ahead of NSW with $19.7 billion of work, 18.3 percent above its average.
South Australia is also building new homes at a more rapid rate than any other state or territory. In the September quarter, South Australia booked 2,852 dwelling starts, which was just 2.3 percent below its decade average. Tasmania was second with 703 starts, 3.2 percent below its average. Dwelling starts in the two most populous states in Australia were woefully below their decade averages. In NSW, 10,536 starts were recorded, down 28.8 percent on the decade average. In Victoria, there were 12,666 starts, down 20.7 percent on normal trends.
The downside to South Australia’s economic growth has been a greater rate of inflation. Adelaide recorded the highest annual inflation rate in the September quarter at 5.9 percent, ahead of Perth at 5.8 percent. But this was only slightly above the national inflation rate of 5.4 percent. Last week, the Australian Bureau of Statistics released the December quarter national inflation figures, which revealed a substantial fall from 5.4 percent to 4.1 percent. This was among the reasons that the Reserve Bank kept interest rates on hold after its first meeting of the new year this week.
Ophora Tallawong has launched its final release of quality apartments priced under $700,000.
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Ophora Tallawong has launched its final release of quality apartments priced under $700,000.
3 min
Ophora Tallawong has launched its final release of apartments, positioning itself as one of the last opportunities for buyers to secure a new Sydney home below $700,000.
The project, located in one of the city’s fastest-growing corridors, is offering rare buyer protections at a time when affordability is tightening and competition for quality stock is intensifying.
According to JLL’s Q2 2025 Apartment Market Overview, Sydney’s median apartment price has already climbed to $795,000, setting a record.
With interest rates now on a downward trend and supply still heavily constrained, experts warn that today’s price brackets may not exist next year.
Ronnie Rahme, Development Manager at KDMC, said buyers were responding to the combination of quality and value.
“You simply don’t see this level of finish at these price points anymore,” Rahme said. “That’s why demand has been so strong for this final release.”
Dr Andrew Wilson, Chief Economist at My Housing Market, says the economic drivers are clear. “High rents and higher prices continue to provide clear incentives for first-home buyers and investors chasing solid investment returns,” he told Kanebridge News.
“New government initiatives to support first-home buyers will also act to place upward pressure on prices.”
The bigger picture
JLL’s research reinforces that point. While over 15,700 apartments are expected to be delivered nationally this year, a 40% uplift on 2024, Sydney remains undersupplied, with demand continuing to outpace completions.
The report also notes that reductions in the RBA cash rate are expected to further fuel buyer activity, with constrained supply continuing to push prices higher into 2026.
With construction costs soaring, Government contributions climbing, and interest rates remaining high, projects are harder than ever to bring to market, putting upward pressure on newly completed apartments.
The pipeline of new supply is shrinking as developers delay or abandon projects that no longer stack up financially.
According to JLL’s overview, only 2,554 completions are forecast for Sydney this year – against annual demand exceeding 30,000 dwellings.
At the same time, population growth, rental demand, and first-home buyer incentives are intensifying competition for limited stock. The imbalance between constrained supply and resilient demand is leaving new apartments scarcer and more expensive across Sydney.
Ophora: Last Chance In Sydney’s northwest
Developed by KDMC and designed by Architex, the $50 million project has launched its final release, with limited availability of 81 brand-new residences from just $545,000 for a one-bedroom, or $695,000 for a two-bedroom, which is far below Sydney’s median and significantly cheaper than nearby competition.
The five-storey development at 37 Reis St, Tallawong, combines affordability with premium inclusions more often seen in luxury builds: ducted air-conditioning, timber floors, premium finishes, fridge cavities with water plumbing, video intercom systems, fibre internet, EV charging, landscaped gardens and a rooftop terrace with sweeping views.
It also comes with something almost unheard of at this price point, a 10-year Latent Defects Insurance (LDI) policy. Typically reserved for multimillion-dollar projects, LDI guarantees structural integrity for a decade and is only awarded to developers with a strong building track record.
SHC Insurance Brokers founder Stefan Hicks acknowledged the rarity of obtaining LDI, particularly for entry-level residential apartment complexes like Ophora.
“Gaining LDI is no mean feat. It’s offered selectively to developers and builders with a quality building history, and it requires both parties to employ an independent inspection service throughout construction,” he said.
“While this insurance is well-established around the world in about 40 countries, in Australia, we’re typically seeing high-end buildings covet LDI. The fact that Ophora has joined this exclusive list of quality-assured builds is a coup for entry-level home buyers.”
Raising the standard for affordable luxury
Rahme says the KDMC team wanted to set a new benchmark.
“Our mission with Ophora has always been clear: to raise the standard of what buyers should expect, regardless of budget,” he said.
“We’ve delivered a collection of apartments with finishes and features you’d usually only find in luxury projects, and we’ve backed it with one of the most stringent insurances available in the market. That gives buyers peace of mind that their investment is protected for the long term.
“People are walking through and realising you simply don’t see this level of quality at these price points anymore, as it’s effectively replacement cost in 2025.
“With rates coming down and limited competition, buyers and investors are moving quickly because they know the window won’t stay open. Investors, who have recently purchased at Ophora, have reported a strong rental demand, with minimum rental yields exceeding five per cent.”
Developments like Ophora, move-in ready, competitively priced and backed by rare structural protections (LDI), may represent the last chance for buyers to secure a sub-$700,000 apartment in Sydney.
View Ophora on cpmrealty.com.au
To arrange a private viewing or request more information, contact Sam Elbanna from CPM Realty: 0411 222 260
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