The state leading Australia economically for the first time
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The state leading Australia economically for the first time

Tripled population growth has turbocharged economic demand, jobs and housing starts

By Bronwyn Allen
Thu, Feb 8, 2024 10:19amGrey Clock 2 min

South Australia is leading the country economically, with a population surge post-COVID boosting economic demand, lowering unemployment and creating a property market boom. Amid a national housing undersupply crisis, South Australia has the best rate of new home building activity and house prices have risen 10 percent in Adelaide and 9 percent in regional South Australia over the past 12 months.

CommSec’s quarterly State of the States report compares the states and territories on eight economic measures: economic growth, retail spending, equipment investment, unemployment, construction, population growth, housing finance and dwelling commencements. The report compares each measure against the long-term trends for each state and territory to determine the out performers.

According to the latest report, South Australia is the best-performing economy and comes out on top in four categorieseconomic growth, unemployment, construction work and dwelling starts.

The states and territories were ranked in the following order:

South Australia
NSW and Victoria (equal second)
Western Australia
Tasmania
ACT
Queensland
Northern Territory

CommSec chief economist Craig James said this is the first time in the 15-year history of the report that South Australia has emerged as Australia’s leading state economy.

“Population growth in South Australia has tripled over the past two years, which is showing up in a strong housing market and overall economic activity,” Mr James said. He commented that Australia’s resilient jobs market and strong population growth are underpinning all state and territory economies, however high interest rates and the cost-of-living crisis have led to a slower pace of economic growth in all of them.

Economic activity in South Australia in the September quarter was 9 percent above its four-year average level of output. NSW was in second spot at 8.3 percent above its four-year average. Trend unemployment in South Australia was 3.8 percent in December, which was 36.5 percent below the state’s decade-average. Tasmania ranked second at 3.9 percent, 32.8 percent below its norm.

South Australia ranked first for construction work, based on the total real value of residential, commercial and engineering work completed in trend terms in the September quarter. South Australia completed just over $4 billion of construction during the period, which was 23.4 percent above its decade average, ahead of NSW with $19.7 billion of work, 18.3 percent above its average.

South Australia is also building new homes at a more rapid rate than any other state or territory. In the September quarter, South Australia booked 2,852 dwelling starts, which was just 2.3 percent below its decade average. Tasmania was second with 703 starts, 3.2 percent below its average. Dwelling starts in the two most populous states in Australia were woefully below their decade averages. In NSW, 10,536 starts were recorded, down 28.8 percent on the decade average. In Victoria, there were 12,666 starts, down 20.7 percent on normal trends.

The downside to South Australia’s economic growth has been a greater rate of inflation. Adelaide recorded the highest annual inflation rate in the September quarter at 5.9 percent, ahead of Perth at 5.8 percent. But this was only slightly above the national inflation rate of 5.4 percent. Last week, the Australian Bureau of Statistics released the December quarter national inflation figures, which revealed a substantial fall from 5.4 percent to 4.1 percent. This was among the reasons that the Reserve Bank kept interest rates on hold after its first meeting of the new year this week.



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Winning neighbourhoods where home values rose most in FY24

We reveal the No. 1 areas for price growth in each capital city

By Bronwyn Allen
Thu, Jul 18, 2024 3 min

Home values across Australia rose by a median 8 percent in FY24, delivering the equivalent of $59,000 in new capital growth to the two-thirds of the population that owns a home, according to CoreLogic data. Investors received total returns of 12.2 percent over the year, including capital gains and gross rental income.

Very tight supply and demand in most capital cities except Melbourne and Hobart was a significant driver of the capital growth, with the smaller and more affordable capital cities of Perth, Brisbane and Adelaide experiencing the most price appreciation over the year. A lack of properties for sale trumped the usual dampening effect of higher interest rates.

As usual, some areas outperformed their city’s median growth benchmark. Here are the top SA3 areas for capital growth in each capital city of Australia in FY24. SA3 areas are large suburbs, or districts incorporating clusters of suburbs, with more than 20,000 residents.

 

Sydney

Home values across Sydney rose by a median 6.3 percent in FY24. The No. 1 area for growth was Mount Druitt. Its median value rose by 13.96 percent to $859,939. Mount Druitt is located 33km west of the CBD. It incorporates the suburbs of Mount Druitt, Ropes Crossing, Whalan and Minchinbury. The Mount Druitt community is very multicultural with almost one in two residents born overseas. It is home to many young families, with the median age of residents being 33 compared to the NSW median of 39.

 

Melbourne

Home values across Melbourne rose by a median 1.3 percent in FY24. The top area for capital growth was Moreland-North with 4.71 percent growth. This took the district’s median home value to $746,488. Moreland-North includes the suburbs of Hadfield, Pascoe Vale and Glenroy. It’s a multicultural community with a particularly large contingent of residents with Italian ancestry. One or both parents of 66 percent of residents were born overseas, according to the 2021 Census.

 

Brisbane

Home values across Brisbane rose by a median 15.8 percent in FY24. The No. 1 area for growth was Springwood-Kingston in Logan City. Its median value swelled by 25.55 percent to $710,569. Springwood-Kingston is approximately 22km south of Brisbane CBD. It incorporates the suburbs of Springwood, Kingston, Rochedale South and Slacks Creek. It is a multicultural community with one or both parents of 55 percent of the residents born overseas, according to the 2021 Census. More than 15 percent of residents have Irish or Scottish ancestry.

 

Adelaide

Home values across Adelaide rose by a median 15.4 percent in FY24. The best area for capital growth was Playford in Playford City. Its median value soared by 19.94 percent to $530,991. Playford is approximately 40km north of Adelaide. It incorporates the suburbs of Elizabeth Downs, Elizabeth Grove, Angle Vale and Virginia. It is home to many young people under the age of 40. The median age of residents is 33 compared to the state median of 41.

 

Perth 

Home values across Perth rose by a median 23.6 percent in FY24. The No. 1 area for growth was Kwinana in Kwinana City. Its median value skyrocketed by 33.19 percent to $618,925. Kwinana is approximately 37km south of Perth CBD. It includes the suburbs of Leda, Medina, Casuarina and Mandogalup. Henderson Naval Base is located here and there is a significant community of servicemen and ex-servicemen living in the area. It is home to many young families, with the median age of residents being 33 compared to the state median of 38.

 

Canberra

Home values across the nation’s capital rose by a median 2.2 percent in FY24. The best area for capital growth was Weston Creek. Its median value rose by 5.24 percent to $937,740. Weston Creek is approximately 13km south-west of the CBD. It includes the suburbs of Weston Creek, Holder, Duffy, Fisher and Chapman. Approximately 43 percent of residents have a bachelor’s degree, which is on par with the ACT median but much higher than the national median of 26 percent. Household incomes are about 35 percent higher than the national median. Almost one in five residents work in government administration jobs.

 

Hobart

Home values across Hobart fell 0.1 percent in FY24. The top performing area for capital gains was Sorell-Dodges Ferry with 2.78 percent growth. This took the area’s median home value to $615,973. Sorell-Dodges Ferry is approximately 25km north-west of Hobart. It incorporates the suburbs of Richmond, Sorell, Dodges Ferry, Carlton and Primrose Sands. The area has a large community of baby boomers and retirees, with the median age of residents being 43 compared to the Australian median of 38.

 

Darwin

Home values across Darwin rose by a median 2.4 percent in FY24. The No. 1 area for growth was Litchfield. Its median value moved 3.21 higher to $672,003. Litchfield is about 37km south-east of Darwin and includes the suburbs of Humpty Doo, Acacia Hills and Southport.  It has a high proportion of middle-aged residents, with the median age being 39 compared to the territory median of 33. About 12 percent of residents are Indigenous Australians. The biggest industries are government administration and defence. Median household incomes are about 35 percent higher than the national median.

 

MOST POPULAR
11 ACRES ROAD, KELLYVILLE, NSW

This stylish family home combines a classic palette and finishes with a flexible floorplan

35 North Street Windsor

Just 55 minutes from Sydney, make this your creative getaway located in the majestic Hawkesbury region.

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