Unit prices prove resilient in a post COVID property market
It’s easy to think that it’s all doom and gloom for Australian property values, but for long term owners and investors, there’s still reasons to be cheerful
It’s easy to think that it’s all doom and gloom for Australian property values, but for long term owners and investors, there’s still reasons to be cheerful
There were so many aspects about COVID 19 that were unprecedented, from the changes to daily working life to the impacts on mental health of extended periods of lockdown.
In the property world, it was also an untested period, with some sectors of the market predicting prices would fall. What happened instead was an escalation in prices from March 2020 onwards as the notion of home as sanctuary accelerated interest in property in urban and regional areas.
As governments around Australia moved away from zero COVID targets and life began to look a little more normal, property values appeared to dramatically fall in 2022. However, for those in the property market for the long haul, the news is positive.
Latest research from property data provider, CoreLogic reveals that while national unit values fell -6.1 percent in the past nine months, they are still 7.3 percent higher than those recorded in March 2020. National house values are 17.3 percent higher than they were prior to the pandemic.
Results are mixed across the capitals, however. While most markets continue to record values between 10 percent and 50 percent above pre- covid levels, CoreLogic reports that units in Sydney and Melbourne are almost back to their pre pandemic values.
Outside the major capitals, regional growth for units remained positive, however, consecutive interest rate rises are expected to take a toll.
“Following a temporary reprieve in interest rate rises in January, the RBA’s 25 basis point increase announced in February was accompanied by a marked change in tone,” the report said. “Previously optimistic, the Board reiterated its commitment to fighting inflation, noting that further rate hikes would be needed to get inflation under control.
With many economists now expecting the cash rate to settle closer to 4 percent than 3 percent, the outlook for unit values, and the broader property market, remains skewed to the negative.”
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A new AI-driven account by leading landscape architect Jon Hazelwood pushes the boundaries on the role of ‘complex nature’ in the future of our cities
Drifts of ground cover plants and wildflowers along the steps of the Sydney Opera House, traffic obscured by meadow-like planting and kangaroos pausing on city streets.
This is the way our cities could be, as imagined by landscape architect Jon Hazelwood, principal at multi-disciplinary architectural firm Hassell. He has been exploring the possibilities of rewilding urban spaces using AI for his Instagram account, Naturopolis_ai with visually arresting outcomes.
“It took me a few weeks to get interesting results,” he said. “I really like the ephemeral nature of the images — you will never see it again and none of those plants are real.
“The AI engine makes an approximation of a grevillea.”
Hazelwood chose some of the most iconic locations in Australia, including the Sydney Opera House and the Harbour Bridge, as well as international cities such as Paris and London, to demonstrate the impact of untamed green spaces on streetscapes, plazas and public space.
He said he hopes to provoke a conversation about the artificial separation between our cities and the broader environment, exploring ways to break down the barriers and promote biodiversity.
“A lot of the planning (for public spaces) is very limited,” Hazelwood said. “There are 110,000 species of plants in Australia and we probably use about 12 in our (public) planting schemes.
“Often it’s for practical reasons because they’re tough and drought tolerant — but it’s not the whole story.”
Hazelwood pointed to the work of UK landscape architect Prof Nigel Dunnett, who has championed wild garden design in urban spaces. He has drawn interest in recent years for his work transforming the brutalist apartment block at the Barbican in London into a meadow-like environment with diverse plantings of grasses and perennials.
Hazelwood said it is this kind of ‘complex nature’ that is required for cities to thrive into the future, but it can be hard to convince planners and developers of the benefits.
“We have been doing a lot of work on how we get complex nature because complexity of species drives biodiversity,” he said.
“But when we try to propose the space the questions are: how are we going to maintain it? Where is the lawn?
“A lot of our work is demonstrating you can get those things and still provide a complex environment.”
At the moment, Hassell together with the University of Melbourne is trialling options at the Hills Showground Metro Station in Sydney, where the remaining ground level planting has been replaced with more than 100 different species of plants and flowers to encourage diversity without the need for regular maintenance. But more needs to be done, Hazelwood said.
“It needs bottom-up change,” he said. ““There is work being done at government level around nature positive cities, but equally there needs to be changes in the range of plants that nurseries grow, and in the way our city landscapes are maintained and managed.”
And there’s no AI option for that.
Consumers are going to gravitate toward applications powered by the buzzy new technology, analyst Michael Wolf predicts
Chris Dixon, a partner who led the charge, says he has a ‘very long-term horizon’