Weekend auction results hold promise for spring vendors
Auction numbers, clearance rates on the up as spring market warms
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Last weekend continued to see improvement in both the number of houses up for auction and their clearance rates, CoreLogic reports.
After market disruptions caused by football grand finals and public holidays, the market once again found its feet, with 1,799 homes going under the hammer across the country over the weekend. This represents a 11.2 percent increase on the previous weekend and 36.7 percent higher than the weekend prior to that.
Melbourne led the way last weekend, with 721 homes going under the hammer, with a clearance rate of 68.4 percent, the highest since May. In Sydney, 686 homes were auctioned, up 41.7 percent on the Labour Day long weekend the previous week. Clearance rates also improved, with 61.3 percent of homes being sold, the highest rate since August. However, withdrawal rates in Sydney also increased from 17 percent to 21.1 percent, showing vendor uncertainty remains.
The smaller capitals all experienced greater auction activity, except for Perth. No auctions were held in Tasmania.
While the steady rise is encouraging, head of research at CoreLogic Tim Lawless points out numbers are not as strong as the same time last year.
“There has been a consistent improvement in the auction success rate since the last week of July when the combined capitals clearance rate was recorded at 51.9 percent (based on finalised numbers),” Mr Lawless said. “Melbourne came in at 66 percent, Sydney and 61 percent and Adelaide nearly broke the 70 percent mark this week based on the preliminary numbers.
“The volume of auctions is holding lower than last year – a reflection of less stock flowing onto the market, as well as more vendors choosing to use a private treaty campaign over auctions.”
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New research suggests spending 40 percent of household income on loan repayments is the new normal
3 min
Requiring more than 30 percent of household income to service a home loan has long been considered the benchmark for ‘housing stress’. Yet research shows it is becoming the new normal. The 2024 ANZ CoreLogic Housing Affordability Report reveals home loans on only 17 percent of homes are ‘serviceable’ if serviceability is limited to 30 percent of the median national household income.
Based on 40 percent of household income, just 37 percent of properties would be serviceable on a mortgage covering 80 percent of the purchase price. ANZ CoreLogic suggest 40 may be the new 30 when it comes to home loan serviceability. “Looking ahead, there is little prospect for the mortgage serviceability indicator to move back into the 30 percent range any time soon,” says the report.
“This is because the cash rate is not expected to be cut until late 2024, and home values have continued to rise, even amid relatively high interest rate settings.” ANZ CoreLogic estimate that home loan rates would have to fall to about 4.7 percent to bring serviceability under 40 percent.
CoreLogic has broken down the actual household income required to service a home loan on a 6.27 percent interest rate for an 80 percent loan based on current median house and unit values in each capital city. As expected, affordability is worst in the most expensive property market, Sydney.
Sydney
Sydney’s median house price is $1,414,229 and the median unit price is $839,344.
Based on 40 percent serviceability, households need a total income of $211,456 to afford a home loan for a house and $125,499 for a unit. The city’s actual median household income is $120,554.
Melbourne
Melbourne’s median house price is $935,049 and the median apartment price is $612,906.
Based on 40 percent serviceability, households need a total income of $139,809 to afford a home loan for a house and $91,642 for a unit. The city’s actual median household income is $110,324.
Brisbane
Brisbane’s median house price is $909,988 and the median unit price is $587,793.
Based on 40 percent serviceability, households need a total income of $136,062 to afford a home loan for a house and $87,887 for a unit. The city’s actual median household income is $107,243.
Adelaide
Adelaide’s median house price is $785,971 and the median apartment price is $504,799.
Based on 40 percent serviceability, households need a total income of $117,519 to afford a home loan for a house and $75,478 for a unit. The city’s actual median household income is $89,806.
Perth
Perth’s median house price is $735,276 and the median unit price is $495,360.
Based on 40 percent serviceability, households need a total income of $109,939 to afford a home loan for a house and $74,066 for a unit. The city’s actual median household income is $108,057.
Hobart
Hobart’s median house price is $692,951 and the median apartment price is $522,258.
Based on 40 percent serviceability, households need a total income of $103,610 to afford a home loan for a house and $78,088 for a unit. The city’s actual median household income is $89,515.
Darwin
Darwin’s median house price is $573,498 and the median unit price is $367,716.
Based on 40 percent serviceability, households need a total income of $85,750 to afford a home loan for a house and $54,981 for a unit. The city’s actual median household income is $126,193.
Canberra
Canberra’s median house price is $964,136 and the median apartment price is $585,057.
Based on 40 percent serviceability, households need a total income of $144,158 to afford a home loan for a house and $87,478 for a unit. The city’s actual median household income is $137,760.
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