Michele Bullock to become next RBA governor
The decision to replace Philip Lowe follows criticism of his messaging around rises in the cash rate
2 min
The Federal Government has announced that Michele Bullock will replace Philip Lowe as governor of the Reserve Bank of Australia. She will be the ninth governor and the first woman appointed to the role in the central bank’s 62-year history. Treasurer Jim Chalmers said in a press conference today that Ms Bullock will take on the role from September 18 following a consultative process with cabinet, the business community and the opposition.
The news that Philip Lowe will step down comes after 14 months and 12 interest rate hikes that have taken some borrowers off guard. However, Mr Chalmers was careful to thank Dr Lowe for his work over a long career.
“We thank Phil Lowe for more than four decades of dedication and commitment and service to the country,” Mr Chalmers said. “He goes with our respect and gratitude and dignity. I have really valued my working relationship with Phil. He is a terrific guy and he has handled himself impeccably.”
While most central banks around the world failed to predict the persistent inflation rises, most analysts point to Dr Lowe’s messaging around potential interest rate increases as sealing his fate. Prior to the rises in the cash rate that started in May 2022, Dr Lowe had told borrowers that interest rates would remain steady until 2024, leading many to believe that it was a safe time to borrow. Instead, repayments for an average mortgage have risen by $1,264 since increases began. At least 25 percent of mortgage holders are now believed to be experiencing mortgage distress.
Speculation has been rife for weeks now that Dr Lowe’s tenure would not be extended and three front runners had emerged including Treasury secretary Steven Kennedy and Finance Department secretary Jenny Wilkinson. However, Opposition Leader Peter Dutton said he would not support candidates with close ties to government. Ms Bullock is perceived as a more independent choice. Mr Chalmers described the Michele Bullock as a “first class economist”.
“This is the right call but it is not an easy call,” he said. “This is one of the most important appointments that we will make as a government,” he said.
Prime Minister Anthony Albanese described Ms Bullock as “imminently qualified”.
“Michele Bullock is an accomplished economist with wide experience at the Reserve Bank,” he said. “I very much congratulate Michele Bullock on this appointment.”
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As interest rates, inflation and market sentiment fluctuate, investors are being urged to focus on data, not panic.
Australia’s housing affordability crisis is being fuelled by chronic undersupply, planning delays and rising development costs, as politicians continue to focus on the wrong solutions.
3 min
Australia’s housing crisis will not be solved by first-home buyer incentives or tax changes alone, with leading property figures warning governments must tackle supply constraints if affordability is to improve.
Speaking at the Kanebridge Quarterly Property Leadership Summit in Sydney last week, expert project marketing specialist Sam Elbanna, property investor and fund manager Paul Miron and property consultant Karla McNeice said that a lack of housing supply remained the central issue facing the market.
Elbanna, Director of CPM Realty with more than 30 years’ experience in project sales, argued that successive governments had focused too heavily on stimulating demand rather than addressing the barriers preventing new housing from being delivered.
“The misconception is that politicians think the way to solve the housing crisis is to drive demand,” he said.
“The reality is that’s not the way. This is a supply-side problem, and it needs to be solved on the supply side.”
Drawing on his experience in project sales, Elbanna said policies designed to help first-home buyers often had unintended consequences, pointing to previous grants that ultimately flowed through to higher property prices.
Instead, he said developers were facing increasing red tape, approval delays and rising costs, which were discouraging new housing supply.
“In the absence of stock, demand exceeds supply,” he said.
Miron, a Co-Founder and Fund Manager of Msquared Capital, said the housing debate had become overly focused on tax policy while overlooking broader structural issues.
He argued that affordability challenges stemmed from a combination of factors, including planning constraints, supply shortages, migration levels and interest rates.
“No-one can be 100 per cent certain on the real reason for property prices is going up,” he said.
“The reason why property prices are higher is a combination of interest rates, lack of supply, migration, vacancy rates and maybe taxes play a role.”
Miron was critical of recent federal housing policy changes, warning they could reduce the number of new homes being built and further constrain supply that was even highlighted in the budget.
He also highlighted the importance of the property sector to the broader economy, noting that residential real estate and related industries employed more than one million Australians.
McNeice, who advises developers on sales strategy and market intelligence, said understanding buyers had become increasingly important as affordability pressures intensified.
While affordability remained a major consideration, she said today’s buyers were focused on value rather than simply price.
“People are looking for value for money,” she said.
She said buyers were increasingly evaluating factors such as transport connections, walkability, nearby amenities and flexible living spaces that could accommodate changing family needs.
“What infrastructure is going on? Can I walk to the shops? Can I meet people at the local cafe?” she said.
The panel also discussed the mounting pressures facing developers, with Elbanna arguing that many projects become financially unviable from the moment a site is purchased.
“The viability of a development happens at the moment the site is bought,” he said.
He said rising construction costs, higher interest rates and overly optimistic feasibility assumptions had left some developers exposed as market conditions changed.
While acknowledging the growing number of smaller and first-time developers entering the market, Elbanna said property development required expertise across finance, construction, marketing and legal disciplines.
“It is actually a business that requires a level of expertise,” he said.
Looking ahead, the panel agreed opportunities remained in the market despite current challenges.
Miron said property should continue to be viewed as a long-term investment and cautioned against trying to time short-term market movements.
McNeice said success would increasingly depend on identifying projects that genuinely met changing buyer expectations.
Elbanna said affordable housing remained achievable, but developers needed to deliver more than just homes.
“We can provide affordable housing in this country,” he said.
“But we’ve got to wrap that affordable housing with the things that people want.”
As Australia’s housing affordability debate intensifies, the panellists agreed on one point: without a meaningful increase in housing supply, demand-side measures alone are unlikely to solve the nation’s property challenges.
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